Parma vs Pisa
Match recap
Parma beat Pisa 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Elphege scored for Parma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.57 for Parma versus 1.28 for Pisa. Parma sit 13th in the Serie A table while Pisa are 20th.
Analysis
As the Serie B season nears its climax, Parma host Pisa in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Both teams have their quirks, but Parma's home advantage and recent form give them the slight edge.
Parma and Pisa have met eight times recently, with Parma winning three, Pisa two, and three draws. Parma boast a superior goal difference (+20) and average more points per game (1.18) compared to Pisa's 0.55, highlighting their stronger campaign so far.
Despite the absence of Parma's top scorer Mateo Pellegrino due to suspension, their attack remains potent thanks to Gabriel Strefezza's creative flair and assist prowess. Pisa, on the other hand, are missing key defensive leader Antonio Caracciolo, weakening their backline. Parma's recent home scoring streak and Pisa's limited attacking options suggest a narrow home win is on the cards.
Prediction
We predict a 1-0 victory for Parma, with a goalless first half reflecting cautious play. The match is expected to be competitive but disciplined, with around four cards likely. Parma's confidence at home and Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities tip the scales in favour of the hosts.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Parma's top scorer Mateo Pellegrino suspended
Pellegrino's absence due to yellow card suspension reduces Parma's main goal threat, lowering scoring probability.
Gabriel Strefezza's creative form boosts Parma attack
Strefezza's high assist rate and set-piece role provide Parma a key creative edge against Pisa's defense.
Pisa's defensive leader Caracciolo suspended
Caracciolo's suspension weakens Pisa's defense, increasing Parma's chances to score despite Pellegrino's absence.
Parma's recent scoring streak at home
Parma has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing positive attacking momentum for this fixture.
Pisa's limited attacking options due to injuries
Pisa's top attackers like Nzola are missing, reducing their offensive threat and aiding Parma's defensive confidence.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Parma's home form and tactical advantages should see them edge out Pisa in a close encounter. While the scoreline may be tight, the hosts have the quality and momentum to claim all three points.
- Parma have won 3 of 8 matches against Pisa, with 3 draws and 2 Pisa wins.
- Parma hold a +20 goal difference advantage this season over Pisa.
- Parma average 1.18 points per game, significantly higher than Pisa's 0.55.
- Mateo Pellegrino, Parma's top scorer with 8 goals, is suspended for this match.
- Gabriel Strefezza has provided 8 assists in the last 5 games, boosting Parma's creativity.
- Pisa's defensive leader Antonio Caracciolo is suspended, weakening their defence.
- Parma have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Parma
Away — Pisa
No standout top scorers flagged for Pisa
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Canestrelli
Yellow Card
Vural
Yellow Card
Vural
Keita
Léris
Gabriel Strefezza
Stojilković
Bernabé
Nicolussi
Bozhinov
Akinsanmiro
Del Prato
Elphege
Assist: Sørensen
N'Diaye
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Parma
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3A. N'DiayeD
- 7Gabriel StrefezzaF
- 9Mateo PellegrinoF
- 10Adrián BernabéM
- 14E. ValeriM
- 15E. Del PratoM
- 16M. KeitaM
- 31Z. SuzukiG
- 37M. TroiloD
- 39A. CircatiD
- 41H. NicolussiM
Substitutes
- 5L. ValentiD
- 8N. EstévezM
- 11P. AlmqvistF
- 17J. OndrejkaF
- 21G. OristanioM
- 22O. SørensenM
- 23N. ElphegeF
- 24C. OrdoñezM
- 27S. BritschgiD
- 29F. CarboniD
- 40E. CorviG
- 66F. RinaldiG
Pisa
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 2R. BozhinovD
- 3S. AngoriM
- 4A. CaraccioloD
- 5S. CanestrelliD
- 7M. LérisM
- 14E. AkinsanmiroM
- 20M. AebischerM
- 21İ. VuralM
- 32S. MoreoF
- 81F. StojilkovićF
Substitutes
- 8M. HøjholtM
- 9H. MeisterF
- 11J. CuadradoM
- 12NícolasG
- 15I. TouréM
- 19S. Iling-JuniorF
- 22S. ScuffetG
- 23C. StengsM
- 26F. CoppolaD
- 33A. CalabresiD
- 35F. LoyolaD
- 36G. PiccininiM
- 39Raúl AlbiolD
- 99LorranM
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 94 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Emanuele Valeri | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Enrico Delprato(C) | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jacob Ondrejka | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Rinaldi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Valenti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaetano Oristanio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Corvi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 28 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Oliver Sørensen | M | 16 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Pontus Almqvist | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nahuel Estévez | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Pisa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Moreo | F | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Isak Vural | M | 45 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rosen Bozhinov | D | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | M | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Adrian Šemper | G | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Angori | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Michel Aebischer | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Antonio Caracciolo(C) | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mehdi Léris | M | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Simone Canestrelli | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Filip Stojilković | F | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Malthe Højholt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arturo Calabresi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Coppola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Iling Junior | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Albiol | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Scuffet | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Stengs | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Loyola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Touré | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorran | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Henrik Wendel Meister | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriele Piccinini | M | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Cuadrado | M | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |