Parma vs Monza

Serie AMatchweek 3
Full Time
1–1
HT: 0–1
Ref: Federico La Penna, ItalyStadio Ennio Tardini, Parma · 22,885 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinhighMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Parma and Monza share spoils in Serie A stalemate

Jay Robinson's opener met by S. Lontani's reply as neither side could claim all three points.

Monza took the lead through Jay Robinson's first-half strike, but Parma responded after the break with a goal from S. Lontani to secure a 1-1 draw. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Monza, the hosts managed to deny them victory, resulting in a well-earned point for Parma and a slight upset against the forecast.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Overconfident✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
0–1
HT 0–1
Final Result
1–1
HT 0–1
23%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact score✗Both scored✓Goals✓Halftime
Fipster's self review6 Sept 2026

Outcome probability

Parma 7%Draw 8%Monza 85%

The Serie A season kicks off with Parma facing newly promoted Monza in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both sides are eager to set the tone for the campaign ahead, with Monza looking to make a strong impression in the top flight.

Key facts

  1. 1.Parma finished 13th in Serie A last season with 45 points from 38 games.
  2. 2.Monza are newly promoted to Serie A this season.
  3. 3.Monza have strengthened their squad with the signing of Gustavo Varela.
  4. 4.Parma have added E. Touré on loan and lost A. Circati in the summer.
  5. 5.The predicted outcome is a 1-0 away win for Monza.
  6. 6.Halftime score is expected to be 0-1, consistent with the fulltime prediction.
  7. 7.The match is expected to see around four cards, indicating a competitive game.

The context

Parma finished 13th in Serie A last season with 45 points from 38 games, while Monza are stepping up after promotion. The visitors have bolstered their squad with the arrival of Gustavo Varela, aiming to add fresh impetus to their ranks. Parma, meanwhile, have added E. Touré on loan but parted ways with A. Circati, shaping their squad for the new challenge.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Parma

M. Troilo

M. Troilo

Defender

Parma

Total Passes
383
6 played
6 starts
535 mins
~89 mins/game
E. Del Prato

E. Del Prato

Defender

Parma

Total Passes
216
6 played
6 starts
540 mins
~90 mins/game
E. Corvi

E. Corvi

Goalkeeper

Parma

Total Passes
212
6 played
6 starts
540 mins
~90 mins/game

Away — Monza

A. Carboni

A. Carboni

Defender

Monza

Total Passes
269
5 played
5 starts
441 mins
~88 mins/game
E. Kouadio

E. Kouadio

Defender

Monza

Total Passes
208
5 played
5 starts
441 mins
~88 mins/game

Analysis

Monza's chances look promising given the probabilities favouring an away win, with 53.5% likelihood and a 1-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome. The halftime score is also expected to be 0-1, suggesting Monza could take an early lead and hold on. Parma's experience in Serie A will be tested by Monza's ambition and new signings, making this a fascinating tactical battle.

Prediction

Expect Monza to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, likely securing the lead before halftime and managing the game effectively thereafter. The match is also predicted to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.

The verdict

As the new Serie A season begins, Monza look set to make a statement with a hard-fought win over Parma. This fixture could set the tone for both teams' campaigns, with Monza's fresh energy and Parma's top-flight experience providing an intriguing clash.

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Parma vs Monza?
Fipster's AI model predicted Monza to win against Parma.
What score did Fipster predict for Parma vs Monza?
Fipster predicted a final score of Parma 0–1 Monza.
What were the win probabilities for Parma vs Monza?
Fipster's model gave Parma a 7% chance of winning, Monza a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.