Parma vs Monza
Parma and Monza share spoils in Serie A stalemate
Jay Robinson's opener met by S. Lontani's reply as neither side could claim all three points.
Monza took the lead through Jay Robinson's first-half strike, but Parma responded after the break with a goal from S. Lontani to secure a 1-1 draw. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Monza, the hosts managed to deny them victory, resulting in a well-earned point for Parma and a slight upset against the forecast.
Outcome probability
The Serie A season kicks off with Parma facing newly promoted Monza in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both sides are eager to set the tone for the campaign ahead, with Monza looking to make a strong impression in the top flight.
Key facts
- 1.Parma finished 13th in Serie A last season with 45 points from 38 games.
- 2.Monza are newly promoted to Serie A this season.
- 3.Monza have strengthened their squad with the signing of Gustavo Varela.
- 4.Parma have added E. Touré on loan and lost A. Circati in the summer.
- 5.The predicted outcome is a 1-0 away win for Monza.
- 6.Halftime score is expected to be 0-1, consistent with the fulltime prediction.
- 7.The match is expected to see around four cards, indicating a competitive game.
The context
Parma finished 13th in Serie A last season with 45 points from 38 games, while Monza are stepping up after promotion. The visitors have bolstered their squad with the arrival of Gustavo Varela, aiming to add fresh impetus to their ranks. Parma, meanwhile, have added E. Touré on loan but parted ways with A. Circati, shaping their squad for the new challenge.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Parma
Away — Monza
Analysis
Monza's chances look promising given the probabilities favouring an away win, with 53.5% likelihood and a 1-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome. The halftime score is also expected to be 0-1, suggesting Monza could take an early lead and hold on. Parma's experience in Serie A will be tested by Monza's ambition and new signings, making this a fascinating tactical battle.
Prediction
Expect Monza to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, likely securing the lead before halftime and managing the game effectively thereafter. The match is also predicted to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.
The verdict
As the new Serie A season begins, Monza look set to make a statement with a hard-fought win over Parma. This fixture could set the tone for both teams' campaigns, with Monza's fresh energy and Parma's top-flight experience providing an intriguing clash.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Robinson
Assist: Ricardo Mangas
Folorunsho
Yellow Card
Fabbian
Diego Carlos
Ordoñez
Forson
Romero
Lontani
Mota
Keita
Yellow Card
Colombo
Yellow Card
Britschgi
Kouadio
Carboni
Robinson
Almqvist
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Parma
3-5-2Starting XI
- 9D. RomeroF
- 14E. ValeriM
- 15E. Del PratoD
- 16M. KeitaM
- 19E. TouréF
- 27S. BritschgiM
- 32C. OrdoñezM
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 37M. TroiloD
- 40E. CorviG
- 80G. FabbianM
Substitutes
- 3A. N'DiayeD
- 4V. SierroM
- 5L. ValentiD
- 8B. CremaschiM
- 11P. AlmqvistF
- 20M. FriganF
- 23N. ElphegeF
- 25T. De MartisF
- 29F. CarboniD
- 30G. DaffaraG
- 47Abdou KonateM
- 72D. DrobnicD
- 76S. LontaniF
Monza
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3L. LucchesiD
- 7Ricardo MangasM
- 11O. ForsonM
- 14E. AkinsanmiroM
- 19S. BirindelliM
- 20D. ThiamG
- 44A. CarboniD
- 46Jay RobinsonM
- 47Dany MotaF
- 60E. KouadioD
- 90M. FolorunshoM
Substitutes
- 1N. TörnqvistG
- 2S. GoglichidzeD
- 6V. AntovD
- 8M. OndoaM
- 21L. ColomboM
- 24A. BakouneD
- 28A. ColpaniM
- 43A. StrajnarG
- 80M. MoutM
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lontani | F | 35 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| E. Corvi | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Troilo | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Romero | F | 55 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Frigan | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| V. Sierro | M | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Touré | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| S. Britschgi | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| E. Valeri | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| P. Almqvist | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Valenti | D | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Del Prato | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ordoñez | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Keita | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Fabbian | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Daffara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Cremaschi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. De Martis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Elphege | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Carboni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Drobnic | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. N'Diaye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou Konate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Monza
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Robinson | M | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| S. Birindelli | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Colpani | M | 36 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| E. Kouadio | D | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Forson | M | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Bakoune | D | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Mout | M | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Thiam | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Colombo | M | 28 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Törnqvist | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Goglichidze | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Strajnar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ondoa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Antov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Parma vs Monza?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Monza to win against Parma.
- What score did Fipster predict for Parma vs Monza?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Parma 0–1 Monza.
- What were the win probabilities for Parma vs Monza?
- Fipster's model gave Parma a 7% chance of winning, Monza a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.