Parma vs Genoa
Parma edge out Genoa in tight tussle
A late strike from P. Almqvist seals a 2-1 win for Parma.
Parma took the lead through D. Romero's first-half goal before Genoa's M. Osmajić levelled after the break. However, Parma's P. Almqvist restored the advantage with a decisive strike ten minutes from time. Fipster's prediction of a Parma win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was a bit livelier than the anticipated 1-0.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Parma facing Genoa in what promises to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, aiming to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Parma have brought in E. Touré and Diego Carlos on loan this summer.
- 2.Genoa have signed D. Sow and M. Osmajić, with M. Mitaj joining on loan.
- 3.Parma parted ways with Mateo Pellegrino, A. Circati, and Z. Suzuki.
- 4.Genoa lost Aarón Martín, R. Malinovskyi, and B. Norton-Cuffy during the off-season.
- 5.Parma finished last season ranked 13th with 45 points from 38 games.
- 6.Genoa finished 16th with 41 points from 38 games.
- 7.Genoa had a better goal difference (-10) than Parma (-18) last season.
- 8.The predicted scoreline is a 1-0 win for Parma, consistent at halftime and fulltime.
The context
Parma have strengthened their squad with the loan arrivals of E. Touré and Diego Carlos, while parting ways with Mateo Pellegrino, A. Circati, and Z. Suzuki. Genoa, meanwhile, have welcomed D. Sow and M. Osmajić on permanent deals and M. Mitaj on loan, but have lost Aarón Martín, R. Malinovskyi, and B. Norton-Cuffy. These changes set the stage for a tactical battle as both sides look to find their rhythm early in the season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Parma
Away — Genoa
Analysis
Parma's home advantage and summer signings give them a slight edge, especially in defence with Diego Carlos on loan. Genoa's better goal difference last season suggests they can be competitive, but Parma's ability to keep things tight at the back could be decisive. The predicted 1-0 halftime and fulltime scoreline reflects a match where Parma likely takes an early lead and holds firm, with a moderate number of cards expected as both sides test each other's resolve.
Prediction
We anticipate Parma to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, scoring early and maintaining their lead through disciplined defending. The match should see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Parma looking to build momentum from a solid defensive display and Genoa aiming to bounce back in future fixtures. Expect a tight game where a single goal makes all the difference.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Drobnic
Yellow Card
Otoa
Yellow Card
Romero
Assist: Touré
Marcandalli
Yellow Card
Touré
Romero
Otoa
Ehizibue
Lontani
Baldanzi
Osmajić
Assist: Colombo
Almqvist
Assist: Elphege
Diego Carlos
Sierro
Del Prato
Yellow Card
Sow
Junior Messias
Ellertsson
Yellow Card
Troilo
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Parma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4V. SierroM
- 9D. RomeroF
- 14E. ValeriM
- 15E. Del PratoM
- 16M. KeitaM
- 19E. TouréF
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 37M. TroiloD
- 40E. CorviG
- 72D. DrobnicD
- 76S. LontaniF
Substitutes
- 3A. N'DiayeD
- 7Ousmane DialloF
- 8B. CremaschiM
- 11P. AlmqvistF
- 20M. FriganF
- 22S. GhidottiG
- 23N. ElphegeF
- 27S. BritschgiD
- 29F. CarboniD
- 30G. DaffaraG
- 32C. OrdoñezM
- 47Abdou KonateM
- 80G. FabbianM
Genoa
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. BijlowG
- 3K. EhizibueM
- 5L. ØstigårdD
- 8T. BaldanziF
- 10Junior MessiasF
- 18M. OsmajićF
- 27A. MarcandalliD
- 32M. FrendrupM
- 34S. OtoaD
- 77M. EllertssonM
- 97D. SowM
Substitutes
- 2M. MitajD
- 4Alexsandro AmorimM
- 9VítinhaF
- 11E. MeichtryM
- 16C. DramehD
- 20S. SabelliD
- 25H. TraorèM
- 29L. ColomboF
- 31D. PuczkaD
- 39D. SommarivaG
- 71S. WiafeM
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 99F. StolzG
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Corvi | G | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Romero | F | 57 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/6 |
| Diego Carlos | D | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Emanuele Valeri | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Enrico Delprato(C) | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Bilal Touré | F | 57 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Simone Lontani | F | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Vincent Sierro | M | 81 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dominik Drobnic | D | 94 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdou-Salam Konate | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diallo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Ghidotti | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Cremaschi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Daffara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Frigan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pontus Almqvist | F | 37 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 37 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Genoa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Messias | F | 85 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 4/5 |
| Milutin Osmajić | F | 94 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Østigård | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | F | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Morten Frendrup(C) | M | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Bijlow | G | 94 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Samuel Wiafe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franz Stolz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Drameh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Mitaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Sommariva | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | F | 9 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Hamed Junior Traorè | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 25 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Puczka | D | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Parma vs Genoa?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Parma to win against Genoa.
- What score did Fipster predict for Parma vs Genoa?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Parma 1–0 Genoa.
- What were the win probabilities for Parma vs Genoa?
- Fipster's model gave Parma a 57% chance of winning, Genoa a 21% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.