Parma vs Bologna
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Challenge a friendParma and Bologna face off in a Serie A regular season match where Bologna's superior form and attacking prowess set the stage for a closely contested encounter.
The context
Bologna currently sit 9th in the league with 14 points from 10 games, while Parma struggle near the bottom in 18th place with just 5 points from 9 matches. Historically, Bologna have a slight edge in their head-to-head record, winning 6 of 19 meetings compared to Parma's 4, with 9 draws. Matches between these sides tend to be moderately high scoring, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Match factors
Bologna's prolific striker form
Samuel Mbangula's 3 goals in 5 games and strong away scoring give Bologna a clear attacking edge
Juan Miranda's creative influence
Miranda leads Bologna with 5 assists, well above league average for defenders, boosting attacking chances
Simone Lontani's recent scoring surge
Lontani scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, including 2 away goals, showing good form despite Parma's struggles
Parma missing key assister Nesta Elphege
Elphege is out due to illness, removing a potential assist threat and weakening Parma's attack
Analysis
Bologna's attacking threat is led by Samuel Mbangula, who has netted 3 goals in 5 appearances, showing excellent form especially away from home. Juan Miranda's creativity from defence, with 5 assists this season, adds to Bologna's offensive options. Parma's Simone Lontani has been a bright spot with 2 goals in his last 5 games, but Parma's overall form and goal difference lag behind Bologna's. The absence of Parma's key assister Nesta Elphege due to illness further weakens their attacking potential. Bologna's ability to take an early lead, as suggested by the predicted halftime score of 0-1, could prove decisive.
Key insights

Samuel Mbangula
Bologna
Mbangula's 3 goals in 5 games and strong away scoring give Bologna a clear attacking edge.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 goals/game last 5

Juan Miranda
Bologna
Miranda leads Bologna with 5 assists, well above league average for defenders, boosting attacking chances.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 9 appearances, 0.8 assists/game last 5

Simone Lontani
Parma
Lontani scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, including 2 away goals, showing good form despite Parma's struggles.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 8 appearances, 0.4 goals/game last 5
Prediction
We expect Bologna to take the lead by halftime and maintain their advantage to win 2-1. Parma will likely respond with a goal but fall short of overturning Bologna's lead. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, indicating a competitive and possibly tense affair.
Key facts
- 1.Bologna rank 9th with 14 points; Parma 18th with 5 points.
- 2.Bologna lead head-to-head with 6 wins to Parma's 4 in 19 matches.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals, with Bologna scoring more overall.
- 4.Bologna have a significantly better goal difference than Parma this season.
- 5.Simone Lontani scored 2 goals in last 5 matches for Parma.
- 6.Samuel Mbangula has 3 goals in 5 appearances for Bologna.
- 7.Juan Miranda leads Bologna with 5 assists this season.
- 8.Parma's Nesta Elphege is out due to illness, weakening their attack.
The verdict
Bologna's superior form, key attacking players, and Parma's injury setbacks point towards an away win. Expect a lively match with Bologna edging it 2-1 after taking an early lead.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Parma
Away — Bologna


Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Parma vs Bologna?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Bologna to win against Parma.
- What is the predicted score for Parma vs Bologna?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Parma 1–2 Bologna.
- What are the win probabilities for Parma vs Bologna?
- Fipster's model gives Parma a 9% chance of winning, Bologna a 81% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 81% confidence — a high-confidence call.



