Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon
Paris Saint Germain secure comfortable win over Lyon
Late goals from Senny Mayulu and M. Godts seal a 2-0 victory for PSG.
Paris Saint Germain claimed a solid 2-0 victory against Lyon in Ligue 1, with Senny Mayulu breaking the deadlock in the 72nd minute before M. Godts doubled the lead in the 84th. The match was settled in the second half as PSG asserted control and secured the three points. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed slightly.
Outcome probability
Paris Saint Germain and Lyon face off in the eighth round of the regular season, promising a competitive encounter between two sides with solid form. Expect a match where goals come at a premium but quality shines through.
Match factors
PSG's Marquinhos offers set-piece threat
Marquinhos scores 3 goals in 5 games, unusually high for a defender, adding aerial threat
Ferran Torres' strong scoring form
Torres has 4 goals in 6 games, showing consistent finishing ability for PSG
Ernest Nuamah's home scoring streak
Nuamah has scored 3 goals in 3 home games, indicating strong form at home for Lyon
Lyon missing key attacker Loïs Openda
Openda is confirmed out, removing a top scorer and assist provider from Lyon's lineup
PSG's Fabian Ruiz creative midfield role
Ruiz has 2 assists in 6 games with high passing accuracy, key for PSG's chance creation
The context
Paris Saint Germain currently lead the league with 14 points from 7 games, while Lyon sit in sixth place with 11 points from 6 matches. Historically, PSG have the upper hand, having won 13 of their last 20 meetings against Lyon, with their encounters averaging 3.4 goals per game.
Key insights
Marquinhos
Paris Saint Germain
Marquinhos offers a significant set-piece threat with 3 goals in 5 games, unusually high for a defender.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in 5 appearances
Ferran Torres
Paris Saint Germain
Torres is in strong scoring form, netting 4 goals in 6 games and acting as PSG's key attacking focal point.
Ligue 1 26/274 goals in 6 appearances
- E
Ernest Nuamah Appiah
Lyon
Nuamah has a strong home scoring streak with 3 goals in 3 home games, making him Lyon's top scorer.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in 5 appearances
- L
Loïs Openda
Lyon
Lyon will miss key attacker Loïs Openda due to injury, weakening their offensive options.
Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain
Ruiz plays a creative midfield role with 2 assists in 6 games, crucial for PSG's chance creation.
Ligue 1 26/272 assists in 6 appearances
Analysis
The data points to a closely fought match, with a predicted halftime score of 1-1. PSG's attacking threat is led by Ferran Torres, who boasts 4 goals in 6 appearances, while Marquinhos adds an unusual goal threat from defence with 3 goals in 5 games. Lyon's Ernest Nuamah Appiah is their top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games, particularly effective at home. The absence of Lyon's key attacker Loïs Openda due to injury could tip the scales in PSG's favour.
Key facts
- 1.Paris Saint Germain have won 13 of 20 matches against Lyon.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals, supporting a 2-1 scoreline.
- 3.PSG lead the league with 14 points from 7 games.
- 4.Lyon are sixth with 11 points from 6 games.
- 5.Ferran Torres has scored 4 goals in 6 appearances for PSG.
- 6.Marquinhos has 3 goals in 5 games, an impressive tally for a defender.
- 7.Ernest Nuamah Appiah is Lyon's top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games.
- 8.Loïs Openda is out injured for Lyon, removing a key attacking threat.
Prediction
We anticipate Paris Saint Germain to secure a 2-1 win after a balanced first half. The home side's attacking prowess and set-piece threat should be enough to overcome Lyon's resilience, despite the visitors' strong recent form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Paris Saint Germain
Away — Lyon
The verdict
This fixture promises a tight contest with moments of quality from both sides. PSG's edge in scoring options and league position suggests they will take the three points, but Lyon will not make it easy.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 20:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vitinha
Yellow Card
Akliouche
Yellow Card
João Neves
Torres
Zaïre-Emery
Mayulu
Assist: Godts
Nuamah
Yellow Card
Merah
Tolisso
Duranville
Doué
Akliouche
Godts
Assist: Ndjantou Mbitcha
Morton
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. HakimiD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 11M. AklioucheF
- 14D. DouéF
- 17VitinhaM
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryD
- 39M. SafonovG
- 51W. PachoD
- 87João NevesM
Substitutes
- 4BeraldoD
- 12L. DigneD
- 21L. HernándezD
- 22M. GodtsF
- 24Senny MayuluM
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 30L. ChevalierG
- 42D. BolyD
- 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF
Lyon
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1D. GreifG
- 6T. TessmannM
- 7E. NuamahF
- 8C. TolissoM
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 16AbnerD
- 18K. MerahF
- 19M. NiakhatéD
- 20F. BacherD
- 23T. MortonM
- 24J. DuranvilleF
Substitutes
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 21R. KluivertD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 26K. BoudacheF
- 40R. DescampsG
- 44A. HamdaniF
- 45R. HimbertF
- 85N. KamaraD
- 99N. NarteyM
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senny Mayulu | M | 25 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Godts | F | 33 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Safonov | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Zabarnyi | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | D | 65 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 25 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| João Neves | M | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Beraldo | D | 9 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Akliouche | F | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| D. Doué | F | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ferran Torres | F | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — |
| D. Boly | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chevalier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lyon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Niakhaté | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| C. Tolisso | M | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bacher | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Duranville | F | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| R. Kluivert | D | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abner | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Morton | M | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| K. Boudache | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Nuamah | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| T. Tessmann | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Merah | F | 76 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Descamps | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Kamara | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Himbert | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hamdani | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clinton Mata | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Paris Saint Germain to win against Lyon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Lyon.
- What were the win probabilities for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
- Fipster's model gave Paris Saint Germain a 66% chance of winning, Lyon a 17% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 66% confidence — a high-confidence call.