Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans
PSG secure comfortable win over Le Mans
Beraldo's early penalty sets the tone for a solid home victory.
Paris Saint Germain took the lead through Beraldo's penalty in the first half and, despite a response from L. Mafouta for Le Mans after the break, PSG pulled away with goals from K. Kvaratskhelia and M. Akliouche. A missed penalty by D. Doué in stoppage time sealed the 3-1 result. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin was a bit wider than expected.
Outcome probability
Paris Saint Germain and Le Mans face off in what promises to be a high-scoring and closely fought match. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, making this encounter a potential goal fest.
Match factors
PSG missing key defender A. Hakimi
Hakimi is confirmed out with a thigh injury, weakening PSG's right flank defense and attack potential.
Vitinha's exceptional passing sets PSG's tempo
Vitinha's passing accuracy and volume far exceed league averages, enabling PSG's midfield dominance.
Le Mans' Mafouta in strong scoring form
Mafouta has scored 3 goals in 5 games, including 2 away goals, driving Le Mans' attack.
Marquinhos' aerial threat on set pieces
Marquinhos scored multiple goals recently, posing a threat on dead-ball situations against Le Mans.
Le Mans' defensive duo Bamba and Boissé key to stopping PSG attack
Bamba and Boissé lead Le Mans in tackles and interceptions, crucial to disrupting PSG's creative players.
The context
Currently, Paris Saint Germain sit 10th in the league with 5 points from 4 games, while Le Mans are just above them in 8th place with 6 points from 5 games. Both sides have had mixed results but are eager to climb the table in this regular season fixture.
Key insights
- V
Vitinha
Paris Saint Germain
Vitinha's exceptional passing accuracy and volume far exceed league averages, enabling PSG's midfield dominance.
Ligue 1 26/27Passing accuracy above 90%, averaging over 98 passes per game
Louis Didace Mafouta
Le Mans
Mafouta has scored 3 goals in 5 games, including 2 away goals, driving Le Mans' attack.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 goals/game
- M
Marquinhos
Paris Saint Germain
Marquinhos scored multiple goals recently, posing a threat on dead-ball situations against Le Mans.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals recently
Analysis
Paris Saint Germain will rely heavily on their midfield maestro Vitinha, whose exceptional passing accuracy and volume set the tempo for Les Parisiens. Defensively, Marquinhos offers an aerial threat on set pieces, having scored twice recently. However, PSG will miss key defender A. Hakimi due to a thigh injury, which could expose their right flank. Le Mans, on the other hand, will look to their top scorer Louis Didace Mafouta, who has netted 3 goals in 5 games including 2 away goals, to challenge PSG's defence. Midfielder A. Bourabaa also poses a dual threat with goals and assists, while defenders Bamba and Boissé will be crucial in disrupting PSG's attacking rhythm.
Key facts
- 1.Paris Saint Germain are 10th in the league with 5 points from 4 games (W1 D2 L1).
- 2.Le Mans are 8th with 6 points from 5 games (W1 D3 L1).
- 3.Louis Didace Mafouta is Le Mans' top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games.
- 4.Vitinha boasts over 90% passing accuracy and averages 98 passes per game for PSG.
- 5.Marquinhos has scored 2 goals recently, posing a set-piece threat.
- 6.PSG's A. Hakimi is out with a thigh injury, weakening their right flank.
- 7.Le Mans defenders Bamba and Boissé lead in tackles and interceptions.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for Paris Saint Germain with a final score of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, reflecting a competitive start. The match is likely to see around four cards, indicating a spirited contest but nothing too wild.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Paris Saint Germain
No standout top scorers flagged for Paris Saint Germain
Away — Le Mans
The verdict
Expect an entertaining clash with both teams pushing forward. PSG's home advantage and creative midfield should just edge out Le Mans' resilient defence and sharp attack. A 3-2 victory for Les Parisiens looks the most likely scenario in this thrilling encounter.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 20:44 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Beraldo
Penalty
Diallo
Guèye
Yellow Card
Mafouta
Assist: Calodat
Goal confirmed
João Neves
Fernández
Godts
Beraldo
Kvaratskhelia
Mafouta
Yellow Card
Vercruysse
Akliouche
Assist: Zaïre-Emery
Hakimi
Lauray
Mafouta
Calodat
Bamba
Yellow Card
Brahimi
Yellow Card
Boissé
Yellow Card
Doué
Missed Penalty
Penalty cancelled
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. HakimiD
- 4BeraldoM
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 11M. AklioucheF
- 12L. DigneD
- 21L. HernándezD
- 22M. GodtsF
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 39M. SafonovG
- 87João NevesM
Substitutes
- 5MarquinhosD
- 7K. KvaratskheliaF
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 14D. DouéF
- 17VitinhaM
- 30L. ChevalierG
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryM
- 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF
- 51W. PachoD
Le Mans
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 5H. VoyerD
- 8A. LaurayM
- 10J. VercruysseM
- 13H. DialloF
- 14L. MafoutaF
- 15N. BoisséD
- 17S. YohouD
- 22L. CalodatM
- 26R. BambaM
- 29L. BretelleM
- 98N. KocikG
Substitutes
- 1E. HatfoutG
- 7B. BrahimiF
- 9A. RabillardF
- 16Raúl TorrenteD
- 18L. BuadésD
- 20W. HarhouzF
- 23D. TraoréM
- 25D. GuèyeF
- 76Y. LarouciD
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 31 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Digne | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | M | 32 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Beraldo | M | 59 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Safonov | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Zabarnyi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Doué | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| A. Hakimi | D | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/5 |
| Ferran Torres | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Fernández | M | 58 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| João Neves | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chevalier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Le Mans
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mafouta | F | 72 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Kocik | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Calodat | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| W. Harhouz | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Diallo | F | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| B. Brahimi | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Rabillard | F | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bretelle | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Voyer | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Lauray | M | 72 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Guèye | F | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Vercruysse | M | 66 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Y. Larouci | D | 13 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Yohou | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| N. Boissé | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bamba | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| D. Traoré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Hatfout | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Buadés | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Torrente | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Paris Saint Germain to win against Le Mans.
- What score did Fipster predict for Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Paris Saint Germain 3–2 Le Mans.
- What were the win probabilities for Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
- Fipster's model gave Paris Saint Germain a 85% chance of winning, Le Mans a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.