Paris FC vs Rennes
Paris FC edge Rennes in seven-goal thriller
Lopez and Sinayoko shine as Paris FC hold on in a pulsating Ligue 1 encounter.
Paris FC secured a narrow 4-3 victory over Rennes in a match brimming with drama and goals. M. Lopez's brace and L. Sinayoko's late contributions, including a stoppage-time penalty, proved decisive against E. Lepaul's hat-trick of penalties for Rennes. Despite the high-scoring nature, Fipster's confident prediction of a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was far from the anticipated clean sheet.
Outcome probability
Paris FC and Rennes face off in the seventh round of the league stage, with Paris FC currently sitting fourth and Rennes sixth in the standings. Both teams have shown competitive form, but Paris FC's home performances and goal difference give them the edge in this encounter.
Match factors
Sinayoko's scoring form vs Rennes' defense
Sinayoko's 4 goals in 5 games and strong finishing pose a major threat to Rennes' leaky defense
Paris FC's home scoring superiority
Paris FC averages 1.67 goals at home, above league average, supporting predicted 3-0 win
Lopez and Kebbal's creative synergy
Lopez and Kebbal both have assists and high passing accuracy, enhancing Paris FC's attacking threat
Lees Melou's defensive dominance
Lees Melou's tackling and duel success can disrupt Rennes' midfield creativity
Full squad availability boosts Paris FC
No confirmed injuries for Paris FC ensures strongest lineup possible, aiding dominant predicted result
The context
Paris FC have accumulated 11 points from six games (three wins, two draws, one loss), while Rennes have 10 points from five games (three wins, one draw, one loss). Despite Rennes' unbeaten head-to-head record against Paris FC in their two previous meetings, the current league form and goal difference favour Paris FC.
Key insights
Lassine Sinayoko
Paris FC
Sinayoko's 4 goals in 5 games and strong finishing pose a major threat to Rennes' leaky defence.
Ligue 1 26/274 goals in 5 games, 0.8 goals/game
Maxime Baila Lopez
Paris FC
Lopez's high passing accuracy (93%) and assist contribution enhance Paris FC's attacking creativity.
Ligue 1 26/271 assist in 5 games, 93% passing accuracy
- P
Pierre Lees Melou
Paris FC
Lees Melou's tackling and duel success rate disrupt Rennes' midfield creativity effectively.
Ligue 1 26/274 tackles/game, 66.7% duel win rate
Samir Chergui
Paris FC
Chergui offers a scoring threat from defence and contributes well on set pieces.
Ligue 1 26/271 goal in 3 games, 0.33 goals/game
Analysis
Paris FC boast a significantly better goal difference (+5) compared to Rennes, reflecting their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Lassine Sinayoko leads the charge with four goals in five games, including a recent hat-trick, making him a key threat against Rennes' defence. Midfielders Maxime Baila Lopez and Ilan Kebbal provide creative support with assists and high passing accuracy, enhancing Paris FC's attacking threat. Defensively, Pierre Lees Melou's tackling prowess will be crucial in disrupting Rennes' midfield rhythm. Paris FC's full squad availability further strengthens their chances of a dominant performance.
Key facts
- 1.Paris FC are ranked 4th with 11 points from 6 games (W3 D2 L1).
- 2.Rennes are ranked 6th with 10 points from 5 games (W3 D1 L1).
- 3.Paris FC have a superior goal difference (+5) compared to Rennes.
- 4.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Rennes have won both matches against Paris FC.
- 5.Lassine Sinayoko has scored 4 goals in 5 games this season.
- 6.Paris FC average 1.67 goals per home game this season.
- 7.Maxime Baila Lopez has a passing accuracy of 93% and 1 assist in 5 games.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Paris FC with a 3-0 scoreline. The model suggests an early lead at halftime, likely 1-0, setting the tone for a comfortable victory. The expected total of four cards indicates a competitive but controlled match. Paris FC's home scoring average of 1.67 goals per game supports the forecasted margin.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Paris FC
Away — Rennes
No standout top scorers flagged for Rennes
The verdict
All signs point to Paris FC capitalising on their home advantage and current form to secure a comprehensive 3-0 win over Rennes. With key players firing on all cylinders and a solid defensive setup, Paris FC look set to extend their strong league stage showing.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:09 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lopez
Assist: Sinayoko
Frankowski
Yellow Card
Lepaul
Penalty
Cissé
Yellow Card
Thomasson
Yellow Card
Rouault
Yellow Card
Chergui
Yellow Card
Lopez
Assist: Sinayoko
Blas
Thomasson
Frankowski
Goal cancelled
Cissé
Kebbal
Yellow Card
Pagis
Lepaul
Penalty
Sinayoko
Kebbal
Traoré
Soumaré
Chergui
Koleosho
Lepaul
Penalty
Penalty confirmed
Traoré
Yellow Card
Sinayoko
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Paris FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. TrappG
- 7P. PagisM
- 9L. SinayokoF
- 10I. KebbalM
- 14H. TraoréD
- 15L. KoleoshoM
- 17A. CamaraD
- 20M. LopezM
- 31S. CherguiD
- 33P. Lees-MelouM
- 42D. CoppolaD
Substitutes
- 3E. MbembaD
- 5M. MbowD
- 6OtávioD
- 8E. ZabiM
- 11J. KrassoF
- 16O. NkambadioG
- 18O. SissokoF
- 23R. MatondoM
- 27M. SimonF
Rennes
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4C. CresswellD
- 6D. CisséM
- 9E. LepaulF
- 10L. BlasF
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 17S. SzymańskiM
- 24A. RouaultD
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 30B. SambaG
- 90I. SoumaréF
- 95P. FrankowskiD
Substitutes
- 11Mousa TamariF
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 18M. NagidaD
- 21V. RongierM
- 22B. DiaF
- 45M. CamaraM
- 48A. Ait BoudlalD
- 60Kilian BelazzougG
- 70A. NordinF
Paris FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sinayoko | F | 90 | 9.5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0/1 |
| M. Lopez | M | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| K. Trapp | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Camara | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| M. Simon | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Lees-Melou | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Kebbal | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4/6 |
| D. Coppola | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pagis | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3/3 |
| S. Chergui | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Traoré | D | 79 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Koleosho | M | 86 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Mbow | D | 4 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otávio | D | 11 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Mbemba | D | 4 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Matondo | M | 20 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Zabi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Krasso | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Nkambadio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sissoko | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rennes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lepaul | F | 90 | 8.3 | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | — |
| V. Rongier | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Blas | F | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| M. Camara | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| B. Samba | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mousa Tamari | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Dia | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Soumaré | F | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Szymański | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Reynolds | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| P. Frankowski | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Cresswell | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Rouault | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Cissé | M | 62 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Thomasson | M | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Nagida | D | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Kilian Belazzoug | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ait Boudlal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliezer Mayenda | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nordin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Paris FC vs Rennes?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Paris FC to win against Rennes.
- What score did Fipster predict for Paris FC vs Rennes?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Paris FC 3–0 Rennes.
- What were the win probabilities for Paris FC vs Rennes?
- Fipster's model gave Paris FC a 95% chance of winning, Rennes a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.