Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
Match recap
Paris FC beat Paris Saint Germain 2–1 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Gory and Gory scored for Paris FC; Barcola replied for Paris Saint Germain. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.13 for Paris FC versus 0.62 for Paris Saint Germain. Paris FC sit 11th in the Ligue 1 table while Paris Saint Germain are 1st.
Analysis
The upcoming clash between Paris FC and Paris Saint Germain promises an intriguing battle, with PSG expected to continue their dominant league form on the road.
Paris Saint Germain lead the league with 76 points and boast a +46 goal difference, while Paris FC have struggled defensively at home. PSG have won two of the three previous encounters this season, highlighting their historical edge.
PSG's attacking trio of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, and Désiré Doué have been in fine form, combining for numerous goals and assists recently. Paris FC's Willem Geubbels remains a threat at home, but PSG's superior goal scoring and defensive record suggest they will prevail. The predicted halftime score of 0-2 aligns with PSG's early dominance, with Paris FC likely pulling one back late.
Prediction
We confidently predict a 2-1 away win for Paris Saint Germain, with a halftime lead of 0-2. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
PSG's attacking trio in strong form
Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, and Doué show high recent scoring and assist rates, likely to break down Paris FC defense
PSG's superior goal scoring and defensive record
PSG averages 2.21 goals scored and 0.82 conceded vs Paris FC's 1.36 scored and 1.48 conceded
Paris FC's recent home scoring streak
Paris FC scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing resilience despite weaker defense
Nuno Mendes' offensive support from defense
Mendes' high assist count and crossing ability provide PSG extra width and creativity
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have no reported injuries, so full squads expected, maintaining tactical stability
Key Takeaways
In summary, PSG's quality and form should see them through a tight contest against Paris FC. Expect a strong start from the visitors and a late consolation goal from the hosts, making for an entertaining finish.
- Paris Saint Germain lead Ligue 1 with 76 points and a +46 goal difference.
- PSG have won 2 of 3 matches against Paris FC this season.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, supporting a 2-1 scoreline.
- Paris FC have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- PSG averages 2.21 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game this season.
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has 15 goals this season with multiple multi-goal games.
- Ousmane Dembélé boasts 12 goals and 6 assists with recent match ratings up to 8.7.
- Nuno Mendes contributes 6 assists and provides offensive width from defense.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Paris FC
Away — Paris Saint Germain
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dembélé
Lucea
Barcola
Assist: Ruiz
Kvaratskhelia
Barcola
Zaïre-Emery
Ikoné
Simon
Munetsi
Geubbels
Vitinha
Gory
Assist: Lees-Melou
Matondo
Otávio
Lopez
Yellow Card
Gory
Yellow Card
Gory
Assist: Koleosho
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 70 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 39 |
Match Statistics
Paris FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6OtávioD
- 9Willem Davnis Louis Didier GeubbelsF
- 17Adama Mohamed CamaraD
- 18Marshall Nyasha MunetsiF
- 23Rudy MatondoM
- 27Moses Daddy-Ajala SimonM
- 31Samir Sophian CherguiD
- 33Pierre Lees-MelouM
- 35Kevin Christian TrappG
- 42Diego CoppolaD
- 93Nanitamo Jonathan IkonéM
Substitutes
- 4Vincent MarchettiM
- 7Alimami GoryF
- 10Ilan Kais KebbalM
- 13Mathieu CafaroM
- 14Hamari TraoréD
- 16Obed NkambadioG
- 21Maxime Baila LopezM
- 24Luca Warrick Daeovie KoleoshoF
- 28Thibault De SmetD
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4BeraldoM
- 5MarquinhosD
- 6Illia ZabarnyiD
- 7Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 10Masour Ousmane DembéléF
- 17VitinhaM
- 29Bradley BarcolaF
- 33Warren Zaïre-EmeryD
- 39Matvey SafonovG
- 54D. LuceaD
Substitutes
- 9Gonçalo RamosF
- 14Désiré DouéF
- 19Lee Kang-InM
- 21Lucas François Bernard HernándezD
- 24Senny MayuluM
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 49Ibrahim MbayeF
- 87João NevesM
- 89Renato BellucciG
Paris FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio | D | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Pierre Lees Melou(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Marshall Munetsi | F | 67 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Adama Camara | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jonathan Ikoné | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Moses Simon | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Diego Coppola | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Rudy Matondo | M | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willem Geubbels | F | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samir Sophian Chergui | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Trapp | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mathieu Cafaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thibault De Smet | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Nkambadio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alimami Gory | F | 23 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luca Koleosho | F | 22 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vincent Marchetti | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Maxime López | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamari Traoré | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilan Kebbal | M | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | G | 90 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bradley Barcola | F | 58 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/4 |
| Vitinha | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | D | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marquinhos(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitri Lucea | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | F | 58 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Désiré Doué | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kang-in Lee | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | F | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Senny Mayulu | M | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dro Fernández | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| João Neves | M | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 63 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |