Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
Panathinaikos edge Borac in tight tussle
A penalty and a second-half strike secure a narrow win for the hosts.
Panathinaikos claimed a 2-1 victory over Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with C. Dessers converting a first-half penalty and K. Kangwa adding a second-half goal. Despite an early missed penalty by V. Taborda, Panathinaikos held on as M. Jojić pulled one back for Borac late on. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved slightly off.
Outcome probability
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka face off in what promises to be an entertaining group stage match. Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent fixtures, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Jagusic's strong scoring form boosts Panathinaikos attack
A. Jagusic has scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, above midfielder average, enhancing scoring chances
De Vrij's set-piece threat adds creative edge from defense
S. de Vrij provides assists at a rate above league average for defenders, key for set-piece goals
Panathinaikos maintains scoring streak at home
Team has scored in last 3 home games, supporting multiple goal prediction
Full squad availability strengthens Panathinaikos lineup
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, ensuring best attacking options available
The context
In this competition, Panathinaikos have played six matches with a record of one win and five draws, scoring nine goals and conceding eight. Borac Banja Luka have been more prolific with four wins, one draw, and one loss, netting thirteen goals while conceding six. This contrast in form adds an intriguing dynamic to the fixture.
Key insights
A. Jagusic
Panathinaikos
Jagusic's strong scoring form boosts Panathinaikos' attack with 2 goals in last 5 matches, well above the midfielder average.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 avg per game last 5
S. de Vrij
Panathinaikos
De Vrij's set-piece threat adds a creative edge from defence, providing assists at a rate above the league average for defenders.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 6 appearances, 0.25 avg per game last 5
Analysis
Panathinaikos have maintained a scoring streak at home, finding the net in their last three home games. Midfielder A. Jagusic stands out with two goals in the last five matches, providing a significant attacking threat. Defender S. de Vrij offers creativity from set-pieces, boasting an assist rate above the league average for defenders. Borac Banja Luka's strong away record and goal-scoring prowess suggest they will not make it easy for the home side, setting up a potentially thrilling contest.
Key facts
- 1.Panathinaikos have played 6 matches in this competition with 1 win, 5 draws, scoring 9 and conceding 8 goals.
- 2.Borac Banja Luka have played 6 matches in this competition with 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 6 goals.
- 3.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 3-2 in favour of Panathinaikos with a 14.04% chance.
- 4.Panathinaikos have scored in their last 3 home games, showing good attacking form at home.
- 5.A. Jagusic has scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches, above the midfielder average in this competition.
- 6.S. de Vrij provides assists at a rate above the league average for defenders, adding set-piece threat.
- 7.Borac Banja Luka have a strong away record with 4 wins out of 6 matches in this competition.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win with a 3-2 scoreline, reflecting the highest probability among home win outcomes. Despite the low confidence due to limited data and loose calibration, the 3-2 result stands out as the most likely specific outcome. Expect Panathinaikos to edge this one in a closely fought match with goals at both ends.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Panathinaikos
Away — Borac Banja Luka
No standout top scorers flagged for Borac Banja Luka
The verdict
With both teams capable of finding the net, this group stage clash should provide plenty of excitement. Panathinaikos' home scoring form and key players like Jagusic and de Vrij could just tip the balance in their favour for a narrow 3-2 victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Herrera
Yellow Card
Taborda
Missed Penalty · Assist: Taborda
Meijers
Yellow Card
Dessers
Penalty
Hiroš
Yellow Card
Kangwa
Assist: Andino
Hiroš
Roguljić
Jojić
Assist: Juričić
Ounahi
Andino
Unknown
Juričić
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 19 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 9C. DessersF
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
Substitutes
- 7A. TettehF
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 19T. TsaprasM
- 26I. LouzaM
- 28F. PellistriM
- 34V. KristiansenD
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 71C. GeitonasG
- 74E. RastoderF
- 99L. GarcíaF
Borac Banja Luka
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2B. MeijersD
- 6S. SaničaninD
- 7L. JuričićF
- 12A. HirošM
- 16S. HerreraD
- 18M. JojićM
- 44A. RoguljićM
- 72M. JurkasG
- 77S. SavićM
- 98S. OgrinecM
Substitutes
- 1D. ShishkovskiG
- 3Abel PascualD
- 10D. VukoviÄF
- 13A. EsitiM
- 19V. RoganD
- 20E. RidjanD
- 23S. VranješM
- 24J. CarolinaD
- 47A. MilakF
- 89M. DeketF
- 99Dani RomeraF
Panathinaikos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azzedine Ounahi | M | 80 | 8.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7/10 |
| Kings Kangwa | M | 87 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Cyriel Dessers | F | 67 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Santino Andino | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Davide Calabria | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Rick Van Drongelen | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Etienne Camara | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Vicente Taborda | M | 67 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | — |
| Stefan de Vrij(C) | D | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Iñaki Peña | G | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sotiris Kontouris | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Kotsaris | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Palmer Brown | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Pellistri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Gitonas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Kristiansen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Triantafyllos Tsapras | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elmin Rastoder | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Imrân Louza | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levi García | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Andreas Tetteh | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borac Banja Luka
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladen Jurkas | G | 87 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miloš Jojić | M | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Luka Juričić | F | 87 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Siniša Saničanin(C) | D | 87 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ante Roguljić | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandi Ogrinec | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Savić | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Sebastian Herrera | D | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Amer Hiroš | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Bart Meijers | D | 87 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amar Milak | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Romera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stojan Vranješ | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damjan Siskovski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Vuković | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jurich Carolina | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Riđan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anderson Esiti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abel Pascual | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Rogan | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matej Deket | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Panathinaikos to win against Borac Banja Luka.
- What score did Fipster predict for Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Panathinaikos 3–2 Borac Banja Luka.
- What were the win probabilities for Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
- Fipster's model gave Panathinaikos a 35% chance of winning, Borac Banja Luka a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.