Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras steamroll Vasco DA Gama
J. López shines with a brace as Palmeiras dominate the Serie A clash.
Palmeiras delivered a commanding 4-1 victory over Vasco DA Gama, with J. López starring by netting twice, including the opener just after the break and a late goal to seal the win. Vitor Roque added a penalty shortly after the restart, and Maurício contributed to the home side's dominance. Vasco's F. Colidio managed a consolation goal deep into stoppage time, but it was too little too late. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for a Palmeiras win was spot on, though the margin of victory was far more emphatic than the modest 1-0 forecast.
Outcome probability
As the Brazilian Serie A season rolls on, Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama prepare to clash in what promises to be a closely fought contest. Palmeiras, sitting comfortably at the top of the league, will look to maintain their momentum against a Vasco side struggling to find consistent form.
Match factors
Palmeiras' attacking midfielders in strong scoring form
Maurício and R. Sosa have scored 4 goals each recently, providing multiple scoring threats beyond the striker.
Andreas Pereira's superior assist record
Pereira leads with 9 assists this season, well above league average for midfielders, boosting Palmeiras' chance to create chances.
Vasco DA Gama missing key defender Cuiabano
Cuiabano's confirmed absence weakens Vasco's defense, increasing Palmeiras' scoring opportunities.
J. López consistent scoring and assisting form
López has 6 goals and 3 assists this season, showing consistent offensive contribution for Palmeiras.
Palmeiras' defensive contributions from attacking fullback
J. Piquerez provides 3 assists and solid defensive work, aiding both defense and attack.
The context
Palmeiras currently lead the league with 48 points from 23 games, showcasing a potent combination of attacking flair and defensive resilience. Vasco DA Gama, meanwhile, have endured a tougher campaign, reflected in their negative goal difference and lower position in the standings. Historical encounters favour Palmeiras, who have won 11 of their 20 meetings with Vasco, adding an extra psychological edge to this fixture.
Key insights
Maurício
Palmeiras
Maurício has scored 4 goals recently, providing a strong attacking threat from midfield.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 19 appearances, 0.21 avg per game
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
Leads the team with 9 assists, well above average for midfielders, enhancing Palmeiras' chance creation.
Serie A 26/279 assists in 21 appearances, 0.43 avg per game
J. López
Palmeiras
Top scorer with 6 goals and also contributes assists, showing consistent offensive impact.
Serie A 26/276 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances
A. Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
Key offensive player with 4 goals, but doubtful availability may impact Vasco's attacking options.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 18 appearances, 0.22 avg per game
R. Sosa
Palmeiras
Good recent scoring form with 2 goals in last 5 games, important attacking contributor.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 18 appearances, 0.22 avg per game
Analysis
Palmeiras boast a +21 goal difference this season, a stark contrast to Vasco's -8, highlighting the gulf in both offensive and defensive capabilities. Key players like J. López, the team's top scorer with 6 goals, and midfielder Maurício, who has netted 4 goals in recent matches, provide multiple attacking threats. Andreas Pereira's 9 assists underline Palmeiras' creative prowess, while Vasco's defensive frailties are exacerbated by the confirmed absence of key defender Cuiabano. These factors collectively suggest Palmeiras will control the game, but Vasco's resilience means the match is likely to be tight and low-scoring.
Key facts
- 1.Palmeiras rank 1st in the league with 48 points from 23 games.
- 2.Palmeiras have won 11 of 20 head-to-head matches against Vasco DA Gama.
- 3.Palmeiras have a +21 goal difference compared to Vasco DA Gama's -8 this season.
- 4.J. López is Palmeiras' top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 5.Andreas Pereira leads Palmeiras with 9 assists, boosting their attacking threat.
- 6.Vasco DA Gama's key defender Cuiabano is confirmed out, weakening their defense.
- 7.Maurício and R. Sosa have scored 4 goals each recently, adding to Palmeiras' scoring options.
Prediction
Expect Palmeiras to take an early lead and hold on for a 1-0 victory. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with the fulltime forecast, indicating Palmeiras will likely manage the game well after scoring. The match is also expected to be moderately physical, with around four cards shown, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Palmeiras
Away — Vasco DA Gama
The verdict
In summary, Palmeiras' superior form, attacking options, and defensive stability should see them edge out Vasco DA Gama by a narrow margin. Vasco will put up a fight, but the home side's quality and consistency are expected to prevail in this one.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Freitas
Yellow Card
Gómez
Yellow Card
Barboza
López
Assist: Allan
Thiago Mendes
Yellow Card
Vitor Roque
Penalty
Maurício
Assist: Andreas Pereira
Cuiabano
Thiago Mendes
Adson
David
Allan
Freitas
Vitor Roque
Gómez
Giay
Robert Renan
Yellow Card
López
Assist: Arias
Colidio
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 18 |  Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 23 |
| 19 |  Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Palmeiras
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 2A. BarbozaD
- 4A. GiayD
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 9Vitor RoqueF
- 15G. GómezD
- 17Marlon FreitasM
- 18MaurícioF
- 40AllanM
- 42J. LópezF
- 56ArthurM
Substitutes
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 7Felipe AndersonM
- 11J. AriasM
- 12KhellvenD
- 14Marcelo LombaG
- 26MuriloD
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 32E. MartínezM
- 37Riquelme FillipiF
- 39HeittorF
- 45Erick MachadoM
- 50Luis FelipeM
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 5S. SosaM
- 7DavidF
- 11A. GómezM
- 23Thiago MendesM
- 28AdsonM
- 30Robert RenanD
- 46C. CuestaD
- 66CuiabanoD
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
Substitutes
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 9F. ColidioF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 77C. SpinelliF
- 80Bruno AndreD
- 82AvellarD
- 83Ramon RiqueM
- 88Cauan BarrosM
Palmeiras
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Manuel López | F | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Carlos Miguel | G | 82 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio | F | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 71 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 82 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Gómez(C) | D | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Alexander Barboza | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Heittor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Pacheco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khellven | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Belé | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 37 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Mendes(C) | M | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Adson | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Santiago Sosa | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| David | F | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| Andrés Gómez | M | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Carlos Cuesta | D | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 58 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Léo Jardim | G | 82 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Freitas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ramon Rique | M | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Riquelme Avellar | D | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Facundo Colidio | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |