Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
Palmeiras secure solid win over Sao Paulo
Murilo and Vitor Roque strike to seal a confident home victory.
Palmeiras delivered a composed performance to claim a 2-0 victory against Sao Paulo in Serie A. Murilo opened the scoring in stoppage time of the first half, setting the tone for the second half where Vitor Roque doubled the lead shortly after the break. While Fipster predicted a 3-0 win with high confidence, the actual 2-0 scoreline still confirmed the expected home success.
Outcome probability
This clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo promises to be a showcase of Palmeiras' current dominance in the league. With Palmeiras sitting comfortably in second place and Sao Paulo languishing in tenth, the stage is set for a one-sided affair.
Match factors
Palmeiras' attacking midfield strength
Maurício and Andreas Pereira provide strong goal and assist threat from midfield, outpacing Sao Paulo's midfield creativity
José López's consistent scoring form
López has 7 goals this season with strong recent home form, likely to capitalize in predicted 3-0 win
Palmeiras' home scoring streak
Palmeiras scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted multiple goals
Absence of Paulinho weakens Palmeiras' attack depth
Paulinho is confirmed out, reducing attacking options but López and Roque remain key
Sao Paulo's reliance on Luciano for goals
Luciano leads Sao Paulo with 7 goals but recent away form is weak, limiting scoring chances
The context
Both teams come into this match with contrasting league positions and form. Palmeiras have been consistent, accumulating 52 points from 25 games, while Sao Paulo have struggled to find their rhythm, sitting on 33 points. This match is part of the regular season's 27th round, where every point counts.
Key insights
José López
Palmeiras
López has been a consistent scorer with 7 goals this season and strong recent home form, making him a key threat in this match.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 22 apps, 0.32 goals/game
Maurício
Palmeiras
Maurício provides a strong goal and assist threat from midfield, outpacing Sao Paulo's creativity with 5 goals this season.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 22 apps, 0.23 goals/game
Luciano
Sao Paulo
Luciano leads Sao Paulo with 7 goals but has been less effective away from home, limiting Sao Paulo's scoring chances.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 20 apps, 0.35 goals/game
Analysis
Palmeiras have a clear edge in this fixture, having won 11 of their 20 encounters against Sao Paulo. Their goal difference of +24 compared to Sao Paulo's +3 highlights their stronger offense and defense. Key players like José López, with 7 goals this season and strong home form, and Maurício, contributing both goals and assists, are expected to lead the charge. Sao Paulo's reliance on Luciano for goals is notable, but his recent away form has been less effective, limiting their scoring chances.
Key facts
- 1.Palmeiras have won 11 of 20 head-to-head matches against Sao Paulo.
- 2.Palmeiras are ranked 2nd with 52 points from 25 games.
- 3.Sao Paulo are ranked 10th with 33 points from 25 games.
- 4.Palmeiras have a +24 goal difference compared to Sao Paulo's +3.
- 5.José López has scored 7 goals this season with strong home form.
- 6.Maurício has contributed 5 goals and is a key attacking midfielder for Palmeiras.
- 7.Luciano is Sao Paulo's top scorer with 7 goals but struggles away from home.
Prediction
We anticipate Palmeiras to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime score, and continue their dominance to finish 3-0. The home side's attacking midfield strength and consistent scoring form make them favourites to secure a comfortable victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Palmeiras
Away — Sao Paulo
The verdict
In summary, Palmeiras' superior league standing, goal difference, and key player performances suggest a straightforward win. Sao Paulo will need to tighten their defence and find new attacking options to challenge Palmeiras' dominance in this fixture.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Maia
Yellow Card
Card upgrade confirmed
Osorio Luis
Red Card
Murilo
Gómez
Yellow Card
Giay
Yellow Card
Piquerez
Giay
Cauly
Vitor Roque
Assist: Khellven
Silva
Wendell
Ferreira
Arias
Evangelista
Murilo
Yellow Card
Ferreira
López
Larson
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 4A. GiayM
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 9Vitor RoqueF
- 11J. AriasM
- 15G. GómezD
- 22J. PiquerezM
- 26MuriloD
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 42J. LópezM
Substitutes
- 7Felipe AndersonM
- 12KhellvenD
- 14Marcelo LombaG
- 29M. C. BilongF
- 32E. MartínezM
- 39HeittorF
- 43BenedettiD
- 45Erick MachadoM
- 48LarsonM
- 50Luis FelipeM
- 56ArthurD
Sao Paulo
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2R. TolóiD
- 11FerreiraM
- 17André SilvaF
- 18WendellD
- 27Victor SáD
- 28NewtonD
- 29Pablo MaiaM
- 31Carlos CoronelG
- 48D. FerreiraM
- 54Osorio LuisD
- 80CaulyM
Substitutes
- 5R. ArboledaD
- 8Marcos AntônioM
- 9J. CalleriF
- 12IagoD
- 19Lucas RamonD
- 23RafaelG
- 37ArturF
- 43G. SantanaF
- 46Pedro FerreiraM
- 53IsacD
- 94DanielzinhoM
Palmeiras
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Roque | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Piquerez | M | 46 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Khellven | D | 44 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 23 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Luis Felipe | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Giay | M | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 67 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Larson | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. López | M | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Arias | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| M. C. Bilong | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Machado | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benedetti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sao Paulo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferreira | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4/6 |
| Pablo Maia | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| André Silva | F | 64 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Ferreira | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Artur | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| R. Tolói | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Coronel | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Arboleda | D | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago | D | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Victor Sá | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newton | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wendell | D | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Danielzinho | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osorio Luis | D | 39 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rafael | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isac | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Santana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |