Paks vs Panathinaikos
- Aggregate:
- Panathinaikos 4 3 Paks
- Advances:
- Panathinaikos
Match recap
Panathinaikos beat Paks 2–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture. Böde scored for Paks; Bor and Andino replied for Panathinaikos. Paks held 40% possession to 60% for Panathinaikos.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Paks win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
This 2nd Qualifying Round fixture between Paks and Panathinaikos promises a competitive encounter, with both sides eager to progress further in the competition. Expect a tactical battle with moments of attacking flair from key players on both teams.
Match factors
Paks' top assister Kevin Horváth excels creatively
Horváth leads Paks with 2 assists in 2 games, well above league average for midfielders
Paks' Dániel Böde shows strong scoring impact off bench
Böde scored 1 goal in 2 appearances, mostly as substitute, indicating impact potential
Panathinaikos' Stefan de Vrij offers set-piece assist threat
De Vrij has 1 assist in 6 games from defense, adding attacking dimension
Panathinaikos' Adriano Jagušić contributes goals from midfield
Jagušić scored 2 goals in 6 games, providing midfield scoring support
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed absences affecting key players
The context
Paks have played two matches in this competition so far, without a win but showing some attacking promise with three goals scored. Panathinaikos come in with a more extensive run of six matches, unbeaten with one win and five draws, scoring nine goals along the way. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Panathinaikos claim victory, adding a bit of spice to this rematch.
Key insights
Kevin Horváth
Paks
Horváth leads Paks with 2 assists in 2 games, well above league average for midfielders, making him a key creative hub.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 assists in 2 games, 102 total mins
Dániel Böde
Paks
Böde has a high goal rate off the bench with 1 goal in 2 appearances, showing efficient finishing in limited playtime.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in 2 games, 45 total mins
Santino Andino
Panathinaikos
Andino is a consistent starter contributing both goals and assists, providing an above average attacking output for a winger.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 6 games, 360 total mins
Stefan de Vrij
Panathinaikos
De Vrij offers an attacking dimension from defense with 1 assist in 6 games, particularly threatening on set-pieces.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 6 games, 514 total mins
Analysis
Paks' creative midfielder Kevin Horváth stands out with two assists in just two games, making him a key figure in their attacking play. Dániel Böde has also made an impact off the bench, scoring once in limited minutes. Panathinaikos rely on winger Santino Andino, who contributes both goals and assists, and defender Stefan de Vrij, who adds an attacking threat from set-pieces. The match is expected to be close, with both sides capable of finding the net, but Paks' home advantage and recent attacking form give them a slight edge.
Key facts
- 1.Paks have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 4).
- 2.Panathinaikos have played 6 matches in this competition (W1 D5 L0, GF 9 / GA 8).
- 3.In 1 head-to-head meeting, Panathinaikos won 1, Paks 0, with 0 draws.
- 4.Kevin Horváth leads Paks with 2 assists in 2 games.
- 5.Dániel Böde scored 1 goal in this fixture for Paks.
- 6.Santino Andino scored 1 goal for Panathinaikos in this fixture.
- 7.Stefan de Vrij has 1 assist in 6 games for Panathinaikos.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team.
Prediction
Despite the tight probabilities, the prediction leans towards a 2-1 home win for Paks. This scoreline reflects a competitive game where Paks manage to edge out Panathinaikos by capitalising on their creative midfield and effective finishing. The low confidence in this call suggests the match could easily swing either way, but the home side's slight advantage in attacking contributions tips the scales.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Paks
Away — Panathinaikos
The verdict
In summary, expect a closely fought contest with Paks narrowly coming out on top. Key players like Kevin Horváth and Dániel Böde will be crucial for Paks, while Panathinaikos will look to Santino Andino and Stefan de Vrij to keep them in the game. A 2-1 scoreline seems a fitting conclusion to this intriguing qualifier.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bor (OG)
Szekszárdi
Tsapras
Yellow Card
Čerin
Yellow Card
Andino
Unknown
Hahn
Papp
Čerin
Unknown
Andino
Zaroury
Böde
Assist: Horváth
Jagusic
Lenzsér
Pantelidis
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Paks
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Á. KovácsikG
- 7J. Szalai
- 8B. BaloghM
- 9J. HahnF
- 12D. BorD
- 20M. ZekeM
- 21K. PappF
- 22J. WindeckerM
- 24B. LenzsérM
- 26M. SzekszárdiD
- 30J. SzabóD
Substitutes
- 4A. LapuM
- 5B. VécseiM
- 10Z. HarasztiF
- 11H. KuzmaD
- 13D. BödeF
- 17M. PetőM
- 18G. GyurkitsM
- 19K. HorváthM
- 28M. GyetvánG
Panathinaikos
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 5A. ToubaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 7A. Tetteh
- 8A. JagusicM
- 10Santino AndinoF
- 11A. ZarouryF
- 16A. ČerinM
- 19T. TsaprasD
- 22E. CamaraM
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
Substitutes
- 3G. Katris
- 4Pedro ChirivellaM
- 12L. ChavesG
- 17P. Pantelidis
- 18S. KontourisM
- 20V. TabordaF
- 28F. PellistriM
- 44P. BiniarisM
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 56Vasilios LavdasD
- 70K. Kotsaris
- 74E. RastoderF
Paks
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Márió Zeke | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| József Windecker | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ádám Kovácsik | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Balázs Balogh | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| János Szabó(C) | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Kristóf Papp | F | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Milán Szekszárdi | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bence Lenzsér | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| János Hahn | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| József Szalai | F | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Gabor Vas | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Zsolt Haraszti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andor Lapu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Márk Gyetván | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gergő Gyurkits | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bálint Vécsei | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milán Győrfi | M | 45 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Dániel Böde | F | 28 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Horváth | M | 29 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Milán Pető | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Hunor Kuzma | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Panathinaikos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santino Andino | F | 69 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Etienne Camara | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ahmed Touba | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Stefan de Vrij(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Gnezda Čerin | M | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Iñaki Peña | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Triantafyllos Tsapras | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Andreas Tetteh | F | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Jagušić | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Anass Zaroury | F | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vasileios Lavdas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Biniaris | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Kotsaris | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cháves | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vicente Taborda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Katris | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rick Van Drongelen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sotiris Kontouris | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Elmin Rastoder | F | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Pedro Chirivella | M | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Facundo Pellistri | M | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pavlos Pantelidis | F | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Paks vs Panathinaikos?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Paks to win against Panathinaikos.
- What score did Fipster predict for Paks vs Panathinaikos?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Paks 2–1 Panathinaikos.
- What were the win probabilities for Paks vs Panathinaikos?
- Fipster's model gave Paks a 35% chance of winning, Panathinaikos a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.