Paide vs Zira

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round

Paide

Full Time
1–0
HT: 0–0

Zira

Ref: R. JitariPaide linnastaadion, Paide · 1,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinhighMiss
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Zira 1 2 Paide
Advances:
Paide

Match recap

Paide beat Zira 1–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

1-2 Zira win

Actual

1–0

✗ Missed

Outcome probability

Paide 7%Draw 8%Zira 85%

The 2nd Qualifying Round fixture between Paide and Zira promises a tight contest, with both sides eager to progress. Paide have shown resilience, but Zira's recent form suggests they can clinch the win.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Paide's Daniel Luts outperforms league midfielders in scoring

Luts has 1 goal in 2 games, well above the league midfielder average of 0.126 goals per game

Form Momentummedium

Zira's goalkeeper Ebrima Jarju in strong recent form

Jarju's 7.9 rating in last away game highlights defensive stability for Zira

Tactical Advantagemedium

Henri Anier's recent goal vs Zira suggests attacking threat

Anier scored recently against Paide's opponent, indicating potential impact if starting

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team maintains full attacking options

Both teams have no confirmed outs, so all top scorers and assisters remain available

The context

Paide have played six matches in this competition so far, with a balanced record of two wins, two draws, and two losses, scoring seven and conceding eight goals. Zira have been slightly more efficient, with two wins, one draw, and one loss, netting seven and conceding just two. The teams have met once before, with Paide winning that encounter.

Analysis

Despite Paide's home advantage and a narrow 1-0 lead at halftime in the last meeting, the prediction leans towards an away win for Zira by 2-1. Zira's goalkeeper Ebrima Jarju has been a key figure in maintaining defensive solidity, while Henri Anier's recent goal against Paide highlights his potential threat. Paide's Daniel Luts remains their standout offensive player, outperforming league midfielders in scoring. The predicted outcome reflects Zira's ability to overturn deficits and capitalise on their defensive strengths.

Key facts

  1. 1.Paide have played 6 matches in this competition (W2 D2 L2, GF 7 / GA 8)
  2. 2.Zira have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L1, GF 7 / GA 2)
  3. 3.In 1 head-to-head meeting, Paide have won 1, Zira have won 0, with 0 draws
  4. 4.Predicted fulltime score is 1-2 in favour of Zira
  5. 5.Halftime score predicted as 0-1, consistent with the final outcome
  6. 6.Three cards are expected during the match

Prediction

We expect Zira to come from behind to win 2-1, overturning a halftime deficit of 0-1. The match is likely to feature three cards, reflecting a competitive and physical encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Paide

Daniel Luts

Daniel Luts

Midfielder

Paide

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.16
2 played
2 starts
164 mins
~82 mins/game
Henri Anier

Henri Anier

Forward

Paide

Total Goals
0
League avg: 0.16
2 played
1 starts
107 mins
~54 mins/game

Away — Zira

No standout top scorers flagged for Zira

The verdict

This fixture should provide an entertaining battle with Zira's resilience and tactical edge giving them the upper hand. Paide will need to tighten their defence and find more from their key players to avoid elimination.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Paide vs Zira?
Fipster's AI model predicted Zira to win against Paide.
What score did Fipster predict for Paide vs Zira?
Fipster predicted a final score of Paide 1–2 Zira.
What were the win probabilities for Paide vs Zira?
Fipster's model gave Paide a 7% chance of winning, Zira a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.
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