Paide vs Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna storm past Paide in dominant display
A penalty and a Haïdara brace secure a convincing away win for Rapid Vienna.
Rapid Vienna overturned expectations with a commanding 4-1 victory over Paide in the UEFA Europa Conference League. B. Bolla opened the scoring early from the penalty spot, and despite D. Luts pulling one back before half-time, Moulaye Haïdara's brace late in the game, complemented by P. Dahl's strike, sealed the emphatic win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Paide home win, proving the visitors' firepower too strong to contain.
- Aggregate:
- Rapid Vienna 6 1 Paide
- Advances:
- Rapid Vienna
Outcome probability
The upcoming 3rd Qualifying Round fixture between Paide and Rapid Vienna promises an intriguing contest. Both teams have shown attacking intent in this competition, but Paide's recent form and home advantage could be decisive.
Match factors
Rapid Vienna's attacking firepower led by E. Kara
E. Kara has scored 3 goals in 2 games, significantly above league average for attackers
Paide's strong home scoring streak
Paide has scored in their last 4 games overall and 2 consecutive home games, showing good offensive form
B. Bolla's creative threat from defense
Bolla has 2 assists in 2 games, providing key chances from wide defensive positions
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed outs, so full squads available for tactical deployment
The context
Paide have played four matches in this competition so far, remaining unbeaten with two wins and two draws, scoring six goals and conceding just two. Rapid Vienna have been equally impressive with two wins from two matches, netting nine goals but conceding three. This sets the stage for a competitive encounter as both sides look to progress.
Key insights
E. Kara
Rapid Vienna
E. Kara has been clinical with 3 goals in 2 games, well above the league average for attackers.
3 goals in 2 games, 1.5 goals/game
B. Bolla
Rapid Vienna
B. Bolla provides a creative spark from defence with 2 assists in 2 games, well above average for defenders.
2 assists in 2 games, 1 assist/game
M. Seidl
Rapid Vienna
Captain M. Seidl is a key playmaker with consistent starts and an assist in 2 games, influencing midfield play.
1 assist in 2 games, 0.5 assists/game
Analysis
Paide's strong home scoring streak and solid defensive record in this competition suggest they can keep Rapid Vienna at bay. Rapid's attacking firepower, led by E. Kara who has scored three goals in two games, poses a threat, but Paide's defensive organisation and ability to score consistently at home give them the edge. The predicted 2-0 scoreline reflects Paide's potential to dominate without conceding.
Key facts
- 1.Paide are unbeaten in this competition with 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 6 goals and conceding 2.
- 2.Rapid Vienna have won both their matches in this competition, scoring 9 goals and conceding 3.
- 3.The most probable full-time scoreline is 2-0 in favour of Paide.
- 4.Paide have scored in their last 4 games overall and 2 consecutive home games.
- 5.E. Kara of Rapid Vienna has scored 3 goals in 2 games, leading their attack.
- 6.B. Bolla from Rapid Vienna has provided 2 assists in 2 games, a creative threat from defence.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are available.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-0 victory for Paide. This result aligns with the most probable full-time scoreline and the overall probabilities favouring a home win. Paide's ability to score early and maintain a clean sheet is expected to be key, while Rapid Vienna may struggle to break through their defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Paide
No standout top scorers flagged for Paide
Away — Rapid Vienna
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards a Paide win, the low confidence level advises caution. Both teams have shown quality in this competition, so the match could still spring surprises. However, expect Paide to leverage their home form and secure a 2-0 victory to advance further.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bolla
Penalty
Luts
Hõim
Yellow Card
Bolla
Yellow Card
Cabral
Tilio
Badamosi
Schaub
Gulliksen
Wurmbrand
Baranov
Luts
Moulaye Haïdara
Dahl
Assist: Bolla
Bolla
Moulaye Haïdara
Match Statistics
Paide
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. LilanderD
- 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de SáD
- 6Daniel CabralM
- 7E. TurD
- 10M. MillerM
- 27N. BaranovD
- 28O. HõimM
- 30A. BadamosiF
- 77D. LutsM
- 99E. JarjuG
Substitutes
- 4Pedro Andrade DrozinaD
- 8H. OjamaaM
- 9H. AnierF
- 12M. MeeritsG
- 14M. JobartehM
- 15H. OjamaaD
- 16A. SuroginM
- 17Pa Abdou ChamM
- 20K. PihtF
- 21R. SmirnovM
- 44Kristofer KäitD
- 56M. SappG
Rapid Vienna
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 1N. HedlG
- 6S. Raux-YaoD
- 7M. TilioM
- 8T. AdamsenF
- 15Nikolaus WurmbrandM
- 17T. GulliksenF
- 18M. SeidlM
- 21L. SchaubM
- 23J. AuerD
- 55N. CvetkovićD
- 77B. BollaD
Substitutes
- 2E. RokaD
- 4J. SchöllerD
- 9E. KaraF
- 10P. DahlF
- 22Y. DemirF
- 25P. GartlerG
- 30N. BajliczM
- 38J. HornD
- 43Moulaye HaïdaraF
- 47Amìn-Elias GröllerD
- 51B. GöschlG
- 61F. DemirD
Paide
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Baranov | D | 80 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Luts | M | 80 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Martin Miller | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Daniel Cabral | M | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Abdourahman Badamosi | F | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Victor Hugo | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Lilander | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oskar Hoim(C) | M | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebrima Jarju | G | 89 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edgar Tur | D | 89 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marko Meerits | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hindrek Ojamaa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pa Abdou Cham | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramon Smirnov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristofer Kait | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandr Šurõgin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristofer Piht | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattias Sapp | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrik Ojamaa | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Henri Anier | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Momodou Jobarteh | M | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Andrade Drozina | D | 9 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rapid Vienna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao | D | 89 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Bendegúz Bolla | D | 87 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Niklas Hedl | G | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Auer | D | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Nenad Cvetković | D | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matthias Seidl(C) | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Louis Schaub | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | F | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marco Tilio | M | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tonni Adamsen | F | 89 | 5.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Furkan Demir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eaden Roka | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jannes Horn | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Gartler | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ercan Kara | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakob Schöller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Gröller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Göschl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moulaye Haïdara | F | 20 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Petter Nosakhare Dahl | F | 30 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Yusuf Demir | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Nicolas Bajlicz | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |