Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split

UEFA Europa League2nd Qualifying Round

Pafos

After Extra Time
4–2
HT: 1–0
AET: 0–2

HNK Hajduk Split

Ref: Paweł Raczkowski, PolandStadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos · 9,394 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinlowMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Pafos stun Hajduk Split with dominant 4-0 win

A commanding display from Pafos sees them cruise past Hajduk Split in extra time.

Pafos delivered a surprising thrashing of Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa League, overturning expectations with a 4-0 victory after extra time. Guga set the tone with a first-half goal, and despite the deadlock through regular time, Pafos exploded in stoppage and extra time with goals from David Goldar, Biel, and João Correia sealing the emphatic win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win for Hajduk Split, proving the home side's dominance on the night.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
HNK Hajduk Split 2 0 Pafos
Aggregate:
HNK Hajduk Split 2 4 Pafos (a.e.t.)
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
1–2
Final ResultAET
4–2
HT 1–0 · FT 4–0
18%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact score✗Both scored✓Goals✗Halftime
Fipster's self review30 Jul 2026

Analysis

As the 2nd Qualifying Round unfolds, Pafos face off against HNK Hajduk Split in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have shown contrasting fortunes in this competition so far, setting the stage for a tight battle.

HNK Hajduk Split have played three matches in this competition, winning two and scoring five goals while conceding two. Pafos, on the other hand, have only one match under their belt here, which ended in a 0-2 defeat to Hajduk Split. The previous meeting between these sides saw Hajduk Split claim a 2-0 victory away from home, giving them a psychological edge.

Hajduk Split's recent scoring form is impressive, netting in all their matches with an average of 1.7 goals per game. Their creative midfield duo, M. Acapandié and R. Brajković, have been instrumental with multiple assists, driving their attacking play effectively. Forward M. Šego stands out as a consistent goal scorer, having found the net twice in the last three matches including against Pafos. Pafos will need to improve their attacking output, having failed to score in their only match so far in this competition.

Prediction

The prediction leans towards an away win for HNK Hajduk Split with a 2-1 scoreline. The confidence level is moderate at 35%, reflecting a close contest but with Hajduk Split's superior form and previous head-to-head advantage tipping the scales in their favour.

Outcome probability

Pafos 32%Draw 33%HNK Hajduk Split 35%

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Hajduk Split's superior recent scoring form

Hajduk Split has scored in all last 3 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game, while Pafos failed to score in their only analyzed match

Tactical Advantagemedium

Hajduk Split's creative midfielders drive attack

Acapandié and Brajković have multiple assists recently, enhancing Hajduk's goal threat

Form Momentumhigh

M. Šego's scoring consistency

Šego scored in recent matches including vs Pafos, showing good form to impact this fixture

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from absences expected

Key Takeaways

Expect a tightly contested match with Hajduk Split's attacking quality just enough to overcome Pafos. The visitors' momentum and key players' form should see them edge this qualifier, but Pafos will surely provide stern resistance.

  • HNK Hajduk Split have won 2 of 3 matches in this competition, scoring 5 goals and conceding 2.
  • Pafos lost their only match in this competition 0-2 to HNK Hajduk Split.
  • Hajduk Split won the only previous meeting 2-0 away at Pafos.
  • M. Šego has scored 2 goals in the last 3 matches, including against Pafos.
  • Midfielders M. Acapandié and R. Brajković have provided multiple assists recently.
  • Pafos have yet to score in this competition so far.
  • No confirmed injuries for either team, both squads are at full strength.

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Fipster's AI model predicted HNK Hajduk Split to win against Pafos.
What score did Fipster predict for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Fipster predicted a final score of Pafos 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split.
What were the win probabilities for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Fipster's model gave Pafos a 32% chance of winning, HNK Hajduk Split a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.
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