Oviedo vs Villarreal
Match recap
Oviedo and Villarreal drew 1–1 in their La Liga fixture. Chaira scored for Oviedo; Pépé replied for Villarreal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.88 for Oviedo versus 1.33 for Villarreal. Oviedo sit 20th in the La Liga table while Villarreal are 3rd.
Analysis
As Oviedo prepare to host Villarreal in this La Liga fixture, the stage is set for a clash of contrasting fortunes. Villarreal, sitting comfortably in third place, face a struggling Oviedo side near the relegation zone. Expect a tactical battle with the visitors likely to assert their dominance early on.
Villarreal come into this match with a significant points and goal difference advantage over Oviedo. The home side have struggled this season, ranking 20th with just 27 points, while Villarreal boast 61 points and a +20 goal difference. Both teams have full squads available, so it will be a test of quality and form.
Villarreal's attacking prowess, led by G. Mikautadze and supported by creative midfielders like Santi Comesaña, contrasts with Oviedo's defensive resilience anchored by captain David Costas. Oviedo's top scorer F. Viñas poses a threat with his strong away scoring form, but Villarreal's consistent home performances and superior stats suggest they will control the game. The predicted halftime score of 0-2 reflects Villarreal's ability to start strong and maintain pressure.
Prediction
We confidently predict a 2-1 away win for Villarreal, with the visitors likely to establish a lead by halftime. Oviedo may pull one back late on, but Villarreal's quality and form should see them through. Expect four cards in total, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Villarreal's attacking midfield creativity vs Oviedo's defense
Villarreal's Comesaña and Moleiro excel in assists and passing accuracy, likely to exploit Oviedo's defensive gaps.
F. Viñas' superior away scoring form
Viñas' 0.6 goals/90 in last 10 away games surpasses league average, making him a key threat despite Oviedo's overall low scoring.
Villarreal's recent strong home performances
Villarreal has won 4 of last 5 home games with multiple goal contributions from key attackers, indicating good form.
Defensive leadership of David Costas for Oviedo
Costas' high passing accuracy and defensive stats provide stability, crucial to counter Villarreal's attack.
No significant injuries reported for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed without key absences.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Villarreal's superior league position, goal difference, and recent form make them favourites to claim all three points at Oviedo. While the home side will fight hard, the visitors' attacking midfield creativity and clinical finishing should secure a narrow victory.
- Villarreal are 3rd in the league with 61 points from 31 games.
- Oviedo sit 20th with 27 points from 31 games.
- Villarreal have a +20 goal difference; Oviedo have -24.
- Villarreal average 1.97 points per game, Oviedo 0.87.
- F. Viñas is Oviedo's top scorer with 9 goals, strong away form.
- G. Mikautadze leads Villarreal with 9 goals and 5 assists.
- Santi Comesaña has 5 assists, key in Villarreal's creativity.
- David Costas provides defensive stability for Oviedo.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Oviedo
Away — Villarreal
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Pépé
Penalty
Escandell
Yellow Card
Buchanan
Alfon González
Oluwaseyi
Chaira
Fernández
Sibo
Reina
Mouriño
Dani Parejo
Chaira
Moleiro
Yellow Card
Javi López
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Oviedo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2E. BaillyD
- 5Alberto ReinaM
- 6K. SiboM
- 7I. ChairaM
- 9F. ViñasF
- 11S. ColombattoM
- 12Dani CalvoD
- 13Aarón EscandellG
- 15T. FernándezM
- 22Nacho VidalD
- 25Javi LópezD
Substitutes
- 1H. MoldovanG
- 3R. AlhassaneD
- 4David CostasD
- 8Santi CazorlaM
- 10H. HassanF
- 14O. EjariaF
- 16David CarmoD
- 17T. BorbasF
- 24Lucas AhijadoD
- 26Miguel NarváezG
- 27P. AgudinM
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 10Dani ParejoM
- 11Alfon GonzálezM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 17T. BuchananM
- 18P. GueyeM
- 19N. PépéF
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 25Arnau TenasG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 3A. FreemanD
- 4Rafa MarínD
- 5Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 16T. ParteyM
- 20Alberto MoleiroM
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 24PedrazaD
- 38A. DiattaM
Oviedo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilyas Chaira | M | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2/4 |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Eric Bailly | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Viñas | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Aaron Escandell | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Thiago Fernández | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/7 |
| Kwasi Sibo | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dani Calvo(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alberto Reina | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Miguel Narvaez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Borbas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Agudín | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ahijado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Costas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horațiu Moldovan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Carmo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ovie Ejaria | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Haissem Hassan | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Abdel Rahim | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Cazorla | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Pépé | F | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Santiago Mouriño | D | 78 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dani Parejo(C) | M | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Pape Gueye | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tajon Buchanan | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Pau Navarro | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnau Tenas | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | M | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luiz Júnior | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alassane Diatta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georges Mikautadze | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ayoze Perez | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |