Osasuna vs Sevilla
Match recap
Osasuna beat Sevilla 2–1 in their La Liga fixture. García and Catena scored for Osasuna; Maupay replied for Sevilla. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.44 for Osasuna versus 0.43 for Sevilla. Osasuna sit 17th in the La Liga table while Sevilla are 13th.
Analysis
Osasuna host Sevilla in what promises to be a tightly contested La Liga fixture. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, setting the stage for a balanced encounter.
Osasuna sit comfortably mid-table in 10th place with 39 points, while Sevilla are struggling near the relegation zone in 17th with 34 points. Osasuna boast a better goal difference (+12) compared to Sevilla, hinting at a slight edge in overall performance this season.
Osasuna's top scorer A. Budimir is a key threat at home with 16 goals this season and a strong recent scoring run. However, injuries and suspensions to key attackers like Raúl García and creative midfielders such as Rubén García and Moncayola limit their attacking options. Sevilla, missing their top scorer A. Adams and top assister R. Vargas due to injury, also face challenges in attack. Defensive absences for Osasuna, including Catena and Boyomo, may give Sevilla opportunities. Víctor Muñoz’s consistent contributions for Osasuna could be pivotal. Overall, both sides have enough firepower and defensive vulnerabilities to suggest a balanced game.
Prediction
The prediction is a 1-1 draw with a 36% confidence level. The halftime score is expected to be 0-0, reflecting a cautious start from both teams. The match is likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Osasuna's key attackers unavailable
Budimir and Raúl García are injured/suspended, reducing Osasuna's scoring threat significantly.
Sevilla missing key creative players
R. Vargas and A. Adams injuries limit Sevilla's attacking options and assist potential.
Defensive absences weaken Osasuna's backline
Suspensions and injuries to Catena and Boyomo reduce defensive solidity, favoring Sevilla's attack.
Budimir's home scoring form stands out
Budimir's 0.75 goals/game at home last 10 matches is well above league average for attackers.
Víctor Muñoz consistent contributor
Muñoz shows steady goal and assist involvement, likely to impact match offensively.
Key Takeaways
With both teams evenly matched and key players missing, a draw seems the fairest outcome. Fans can expect a tactical battle with moments of attacking flair but ultimately shared points.
- Osasuna are 10th in La Liga with 39 points from 32 games.
- Sevilla are 17th with 34 points from 32 games, flirting with relegation.
- Osasuna have a superior goal difference (+12) compared to Sevilla.
- A. Budimir is Osasuna's top scorer with 16 goals this season.
- Sevilla's top scorer A. Adams is currently injured and unavailable.
- Osasuna's Raúl García and creative midfielders are sidelined due to injury and suspension.
- The predicted total cards for the match is four, suggesting a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Osasuna
Away — Sevilla
No standout top scorers flagged for Sevilla
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Suazo
Yellow Card
Budimir
Yellow Card
Oroz
Sow
Yellow Card
Maupay
Assist: Sow
García
Sow
Muñoz
Vargas
García
Oso
Maupay
Isaac
García
Yellow Card
Catena
Assist: Moi Gómez
Javi Galán
Muñoz
Match Statistics
Osasuna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 10Aimar OrozM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 19V. RosierD
- 20Javi GalánD
- 21Víctor MuñozM
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 24CatenaD
Substitutes
- 5Jorge HerrandoD
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 16Moi GómezF
- 18Raul MoroF
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 31D. StamatakisG
- 41Íñigo ArguibideD
Sevilla
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2José Ángel CarmonaD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 7IsaacF
- 11R. VargasM
- 12G. SuazoD
- 17N. MaupayF
- 18L. AgouméM
- 20D. SowM
- 32Andrés CastrínD
- 36OsoM
Substitutes
- 5T. NianzouD
- 6N. GudeljM
- 9A. AdamsF
- 10A. SánchezF
- 13Ø. NylandG
- 14Peque FernándezF
- 16Juanlu SánchezM
- 19B. MendyM
- 21C. EjukeF
- 22F. GattoniD
- 24A. JanuzajM
- 28Manu BuenoM
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Catena | D | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jon Moncayola | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Victor Muñoz | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4/7 |
| Valentin Rosier | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Ruben Garcia(C) | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Flavien Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ante Budimir | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Torro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Arguibide | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Osambela | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stamatakis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl García de Haro | F | 19 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 1/1 |
| Raúl Moro | F | 28 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Moi Gomez | F | 19 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Abel Bretones | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Maupay | F | 87 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucien Agoumé | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Oso | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ruben Vargas | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Gabriel Suazo(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Romero | F | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/5 |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Manu Bueno | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adnan Januzaj | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ørjan Nyland | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Gattoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanguy Nianzou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Akor Adams | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Batista Mendy | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |