Osasuna vs Racing Santander
Osasuna seals solid win over Racing Santander
Budimir's early penalty and Osambela's late strike secure a comfortable home victory.
Osasuna delivered a confident performance in La Liga, opening the scoring with a penalty from A. Budimir in the 9th minute and sealing the win with a late goal by Asier Osambela in the 88th. The 2-0 result was a clear home success, comfortably keeping Racing Santander at bay. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was a bit more decisive than the forecasted 1-0.
Outcome probability
Osasuna and Racing Santander, both sitting mid-table with identical points, face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. With both teams showing similar form, expect a tactical battle where a single goal could decide the outcome.
Match factors
Budimir's scoring form vs Racing's defense
Ante Budimir's 6 goals this season and strong recent form pose a significant threat to Racing's defense, which concedes 2.88 goals per game
Racing's home scoring strength
Racing scores 2.25 goals per game at home, boosted by Mohamed Zabiri's 6 home goals in 4 games, indicating offensive potential despite overall struggles
Osasuna's recent scoring streak
Osasuna has scored in 3 of last 5 games with a positive scoring streak at home, supporting their predicted narrow win
Iñigo Vicente's creative influence for Racing
Vicente's 3 assists and high passing volume make him a key playmaker who can unlock Osasuna's defense
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so predicted lineups likely at full strength
The context
Both Osasuna and Racing Santander have accumulated 8 points from 8 games, placing them 16th and 15th respectively in the league standings. This regular season 9 fixture is crucial for either side to gain momentum and climb the table.
Key insights
Ante Budimir
Osasuna
Budimir's 6 goals this season and strong recent form pose a significant threat to Racing's defence, which concedes 2.88 goals per game.
La Liga 26/276 goals in 8 appearances, 5 in last 5 games
Mohamed Zabiri
Racing Santander
Zabiri's 7 goals, including 6 at home, highlight his offensive threat despite Racing's overall struggles.
La Liga 26/277 goals in 8 appearances, 6 at home
Iñigo Vicente
Racing Santander
Vicente's 3 assists and high passing volume make him a key playmaker who can unlock Osasuna's defence.
La Liga 26/273 assists in 8 appearances, avg 62.9 passes/game
Analysis
Osasuna's Ante Budimir leads the charge with 6 goals in 8 games, including a strong recent run of 5 goals in the last 5 matches, making him a significant threat to Racing's defence, which concedes nearly 3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Racing's Mohamed Zabiri boasts 7 goals, with 6 scored at home, highlighting his offensive prowess. Creative midfielder Iñigo Vicente, with 3 assists and high passing volume, will be key for Racing to unlock Osasuna's defence. Both teams have full squads available, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Key facts
- 1.Osasuna and Racing Santander both have 8 points from 8 games, ranked 16th and 15th respectively.
- 2.Ante Budimir is Osasuna's top scorer with 6 goals in 8 appearances, including 5 in the last 5 games.
- 3.Mohamed Zabiri leads Racing with 7 goals in 8 games, scoring 6 at home.
- 4.Iñigo Vicente has provided 3 assists for Racing, showcasing his creative influence.
- 5.Osasuna concedes an average of 2.88 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
- 6.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, both squads likely at full strength.
- 7.Predicted total cards in the match are 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 win for Osasuna, with the halftime score also predicted to be 1-0. The match is expected to be tightly contested with around four cards shown, reflecting a competitive but disciplined encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Osasuna
Away — Racing Santander
The verdict
Expect Osasuna to leverage their recent scoring form and home advantage to edge out Racing Santander in a close match. Racing's attacking threats will keep the game interesting, but Osasuna's defence and Budimir's finishing could make the difference.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 06:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Mantilla
Yellow Card
Budimir
Penalty
Rosier
Yellow Card
André Almeida
Salinas
Yellow Card
Budimir
Yellow Card
Muñoz
Moi Gómez
Canales
Dubasin
Rosier
Martín
Yellow Card
Salinas
Martín
Osambela
García
Zabiri
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Osasuna
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 14Rubén GarcíaF
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 19V. RosierD
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 24CatenaD
Substitutes
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 15Diego RicoD
- 18Raul MoroF
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 31Rafa FernándezG
- 35U. SantosD
- 48R. YeboahD
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Álvaro MantillaD
- 5Pablo RamónD
- 8André AlmeidaM
- 10Iñigo VicenteM
- 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
- 17Jorge SalinasD
- 18M. PratiM
- 20Sergio CanalesM
- 21M. ZabiriF
- 23Iván MartínM
- 24J. BelocianD
Substitutes
- 3Aarón MartínD
- 6Íñigo Sainz-MazaM
- 7G. GuliashviliF
- 9Juan Carlos AranaF
- 11Andrés MartínF
- 12Asier VillalibreF
- 14M. GueyeM
- 15Pablo GarcíaF
- 16Facundo GonzálezD
- 19Iker LuqueF
- 22Pedro FelipeD
- 31Laro GómezG
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asier Osambela | M | 23 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| F. Boyomo | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Arguibide | D | 14 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Catena | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Abel Bretones | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Budimir | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Rubén García | F | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 7 | — |
| V. Rosier | D | 76 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Torró | M | 23 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Moi Gómez | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Aitor Fernández | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moncayola | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Raul Moro | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dubasin | F | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yeboah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl García | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Racing Santander
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julen Agirrezabala | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Martín | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| André Almeida | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| M. Prati | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Pablo Ramón | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Belocian | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sergio Canales | M | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Pablo García | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Vicente | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Asier Villalibre | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zabiri | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Aarón Martín | D | 7 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Mantilla | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Salinas | D | 83 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Iván Martín | M | 83 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Facundo González | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gueye | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Felipe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Laro Gómez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Guliashvili | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Sainz-Maza | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Carlos Arana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Osasuna to win against Racing Santander.
- What score did Fipster predict for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Osasuna 1–0 Racing Santander.
- What were the win probabilities for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
- Fipster's model gave Osasuna a 48% chance of winning, Racing Santander a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.