Osasuna vs Getafe
Budimir's penalty seals Osasuna win
A solitary spot-kick just after the break edges Osasuna past Getafe.
Osasuna secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Getafe thanks to A. Budimir's penalty in stoppage time of the first half. The late first-half strike proved decisive in a tight contest where chances were at a premium. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw, making it a slim upset against the forecast.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Osasuna facing Getafe in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have made some summer moves and will be eager to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Osasuna have signed Diego Rico on a free transfer ahead of the new season.
- 2.Getafe have added J. Mojica permanently and V. Birmančević on loan to their squad.
- 3.Getafe have lost Luis Milla, M. Arambarri, and Juan Iglesias during the summer.
- 4.The predicted final score is a 1-1 draw between Osasuna and Getafe.
- 5.Four total cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
- 6.Draw outcomes have the highest single scoreline probability at 21.5%.
- 7.1-1 is the most probable fulltime scoreline for this fixture.
The context
Osasuna have strengthened their squad with the free-agent signing of Diego Rico, aiming to bolster their defensive options. Getafe, meanwhile, have been busy in the transfer market, bringing in J. Mojica on a permanent deal and V. Birmančević on loan, while parting ways with Luis Milla, M. Arambarri, and Juan Iglesias. These changes set the stage for an intriguing clash as both sides look to find their rhythm early in the season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Osasuna
Away — Getafe
Analysis
The match is expected to be finely balanced, with probabilities favouring a draw. Both teams have shown resilience in past campaigns, and the addition of new players could add fresh dynamics. The predicted 1-1 scoreline reflects a game where both sides find the net but also cancel each other out defensively. With four cards anticipated, it suggests a competitive but controlled affair.
Prediction
We foresee Osasuna and Getafe sharing the points with a 1-1 draw. This outcome aligns with the highest probability scoreline and balanced chances for both teams. Fans can expect a tight contest with moments of attacking promise from both sides.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this draw sets a cautious but fair tone for both Osasuna and Getafe. Each side will look to build on this foundation in their upcoming fixtures, aiming to convert draws into wins as the campaign progresses.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Herrando
Yellow Card
Herrando
Budimir
Penalty
Dakonam
Yellow Card
García
Goal Disallowed - offside
Mojica
Yellow Card
Ünal
Yellow Card
Mangala
Yellow Card
García
Muñoz
Yellow Card
Muñoz
Oroz
Serrano
Moi Gómez
García
Yellow Card
Satriano
Herrera
Yellow Card
Kike Barja
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Osasuna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 5Jorge HerrandoD
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 10Aimar OrozM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 24CatenaD
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
Substitutes
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 15Diego RicoD
- 18Raul MoroF
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 48R. YeboahD
Getafe
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2D. DakonamD
- 10M. SatrianoF
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 13David SoriaG
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 17Kiko FemeníaD
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 21Andrés GarcíaM
- 22J. MojicaD
- 23O. MangalaM
- 24Z. RomeroD
Substitutes
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 3DavinchiD
- 4S. SazonovD
- 8N. GudeljM
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 15S. BoselliD
- 26J. ValouD
- 28A. R. AlcantaraM
- 30Óscar LópezM
- 32JoseluF
- 35Diego FerrerG
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ante Budimir | F | 93 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iñigo Arguibide | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Moi Gómez | M | 77 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jon Moncayola | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alejandro Catena | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abel Bretones | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Rubén García(C) | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | 39 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Aitor Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Osambela | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Moro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rockson Yeboah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Raúl García de Haro | F | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Torró | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Boyomo | D | 54 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dubasin | F | 48 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
Getafe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Soria | G | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kiko Femenía | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Zaid Romero | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Orel Mangala | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andrés García | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Francho Serrano | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Martín Satriano | F | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Enes Ünal | F | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Djené(C) | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Davinchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Ives Valou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Lopez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Luis Pérez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Ferrer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Mayoral | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jiří Letáček | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saba Sazonov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Boselli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Risco | M | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Osasuna vs Getafe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Osasuna and Getafe.
- What score did Fipster predict for Osasuna vs Getafe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Osasuna 1–1 Getafe.
- What were the win probabilities for Osasuna vs Getafe?
- Fipster's model gave Osasuna a 3% chance of winning, Getafe a 2% chance, and a 95% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.