Osasuna vs Espanyol
Espanyol's Fernández fires a double blow
A swift brace from Roberto Fernández silenced Osasuna early on.
Espanyol stunned Osasuna with two early goals from Roberto Fernández in the first 20 minutes, securing a 2-0 victory on the road. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, turning the fixture on its head with a commanding away performance.
Outcome probability
The new La Liga season kicks off with Osasuna facing off against Espanyol in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a tactical battle as they seek to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Osasuna have signed Diego Rico on a free transfer this summer.
- 2.Víctor Muñoz and Javi Galán have departed Osasuna ahead of the new season.
- 3.Espanyol have brought in Q. Hartman on loan.
- 4.Fernando Calero has left Espanyol as a free agent.
- 5.Osasuna have a better goal difference (-6) than Espanyol (-12) from last season.
- 6.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Osasuna.
- 7.Four cards are expected during the match, indicating a competitive game.
The context
Osasuna have strengthened their ranks with the arrival of Diego Rico on a free transfer, while parting ways with Víctor Muñoz and Javi Galán. Espanyol, meanwhile, have brought in Q. Hartman on loan but lost Fernando Calero to free agency. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides look to find their rhythm early on.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Osasuna
Away — Espanyol
Analysis
Looking at the probabilities, Osasuna hold the edge with a predicted 1-0 victory, reflecting their slightly better goal difference from last season. The forecast suggests a first-half goal will be enough to see them through, with a total of four cards expected, indicating a competitive but controlled match. Espanyol’s recent squad adjustments may take time to gel, giving Osasuna a subtle advantage.
Prediction
The prediction is for Osasuna to clinch a narrow 1-0 win, with the decisive goal coming in the first half. The match is expected to be tight, with both teams cautious but Osasuna’s home advantage and summer reinforcements tipping the scales in their favour.
The verdict
As the season opener unfolds, Osasuna look poised to start with a win, setting a positive tone for their campaign. Espanyol will need to regroup quickly after this fixture to bounce back, but for now, the spotlight is on Osasuna’s slim but significant victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fernández
Assist: Fernández
Fernández
Assist: El Hilali
Kike Barja
Yellow Card
Moncayola
Yellow Card
Riedel
Yellow Card
El Hilali
Yellow Card
Rico
Arguibide
García
Kike Barja
Fernández
Dolan
García
Javier Hernandez
Fernández
Hinojo
Yellow Card
Edu Expósito
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Osasuna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 9Raúl GarcíaM
- 11Kike BarjaM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 15Diego RicoD
- 17A. BudimirF
- 24CatenaD
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
- 48R. YeboahD
Substitutes
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 18Raul MoroF
- 20R. Del CastilloM
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 30Asier BonelF
- 35U. SantosD
Espanyol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Urko GonzálezM
- 5C. RiedelD
- 6L. CabreraD
- 8Edu ExpósitoM
- 9Roberto FernándezF
- 13M. DmitrovićG
- 18Marcos FernándezM
- 21Roger HinojoD
- 23O. El HilaliD
- 24T. DolanM
- 28Javier HernandezM
Substitutes
- 1Ángel FortuñoG
- 3Q. HartmanD
- 10Pol LozanoM
- 11Pere MillaM
- 14Unai NúñezD
- 15Bryan ZaragozaF
- 16V. DrkušićD
- 17Jofre CarrerasF
- 20Gabriel MoscardoM
- 22Álex CalatravaF
- 26Rafel BauzàM
- 32J. A. LopezD
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Yeboah | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Raul Moro | F | 30 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/6 |
| Catena | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abel Bretones | D | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Kike Barja | M | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| Moncayola | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diego Rico | D | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rubén García | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Dubasin | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Raúl García | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Íñigo Arguibide | D | 59 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| R. Del Castillo | M | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Osambela | M | 31 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Bonel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Espanyol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Fernández | F | 80 | 8.8 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| O. El Hilali | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Marcos Fernández | M | 66 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Cabrera | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dmitrović | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| V. Drkušić | D | 1 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Riedel | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Javier Hernandez | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/6 |
| Urko González | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Calatrava | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bryan Zaragoza | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Dolan | M | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| J. A. Lopez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafel Bauzà | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q. Hartman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Fortuño | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jofre Carreras | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Osasuna vs Espanyol?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Osasuna to win against Espanyol.
- What score did Fipster predict for Osasuna vs Espanyol?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Osasuna 1–0 Espanyol.
- What were the win probabilities for Osasuna vs Espanyol?
- Fipster's model gave Osasuna a 57% chance of winning, Espanyol a 21% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.