Osasuna vs Barcelona
Match recap
Barcelona beat Osasuna 2–1 in their La Liga fixture. García scored for Osasuna; Lewandowski and Torres replied for Barcelona. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.91 for Osasuna versus 1.20 for Barcelona. Osasuna sit 17th in the La Liga table while Barcelona are 1st.
Analysis
As La Liga approaches its 34th round, Osasuna hosts Barcelona in a match where the Catalan giants are clear favourites. With Barcelona leading the league and Osasuna sitting mid-table, this clash promises a tactical battle with an expected away win.
Osasuna currently ranks 9th with 42 points and a negative goal difference, struggling to maintain consistency. Barcelona, on the other hand, top the table with 85 points and a formidable +57 goal difference, showcasing dominance throughout the season.
Barcelona's attacking depth, featuring prolific scorers and creative midfielders, contrasts sharply with Osasuna's injury-hit squad. Key players like A. Budimir for Osasuna face fitness doubts, while Barcelona's consistent scoring and defensive solidity give them a clear edge.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Barcelona, reflecting their superior form and tactical advantage. The match is expected to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome stands at a robust 86%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Barcelona's superior attacking depth
Barcelona's multiple high-scoring attackers and creative midfielders provide a tactical edge over Osasuna's depleted attack.
Osasuna's key attackers unavailable
Injuries and suspensions to Budimir and Raúl García reduce Osasuna's goal threat significantly.
Barcelona's higher scoring and assist rates
Barcelona averages 2.6 goals per game with top assist providers, outperforming Osasuna's 1.2 goals per game.
Barcelona's strong recent form
Barcelona is on a 5-game winning streak with consistent scoring, while Osasuna struggles with inconsistent results.
Defensive absences weaken Osasuna
Suspensions and injuries to key defenders like Catena and Boyomo weaken Osasuna's defensive resilience against Barcelona's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Barcelona's quality and consistency should see them through against a resilient but weakened Osasuna side. Expect a closely fought game with Barcelona ultimately prevailing 2-1 to maintain their lead at the top of La Liga.
- Barcelona lead La Liga with 85 points and a +57 goal difference.
- Osasuna sit 9th with 42 points and a negative goal difference.
- Barcelona average 2.58 points per game, Osasuna 1.27.
- A. Budimir is Osasuna's top scorer with 16 goals but is injury doubtful.
- Barcelona is on a 5-game winning streak.
- Osasuna's key defenders Catena and Boyomo are suspended or injured.
- Predicted fulltime score is 1-2 in favour of Barcelona.
- Total cards expected around 4, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Osasuna
Away — Barcelona
No standout top scorers flagged for Barcelona
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gavi
Yellow Card
García
Yellow Card
Gavi
Dani Olmo
Bardghji
Budimir
Moi Gómez
Moncayola
Yellow Card
Lewandowski
Assist: Rashford
García
Moncayola
Torró
Torres
Assist: Fermín
García
García
Assist: Bretones
Pedri
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
Match Statistics
Osasuna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 7MoncayolaM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 18Raul MoroM
- 19V. RosierD
- 20Javi GalánD
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 24CatenaD
Substitutes
- 2Iker BenitoF
- 3Juan CruzD
- 5Jorge HerrandoD
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 10Aimar OrozM
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 31D. StamatakisG
- 41Íñigo ArguibideD
Barcelona
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2João CanceloD
- 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
- 6GaviM
- 8PedriM
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 13Joan GarcíaG
- 16FermínM
- 18Gerard MartínD
- 19R. BardghjiM
- 20Dani OlmoM
- 24Eric GarcíaD
Substitutes
- 3Alejandro BaldeD
- 4R. AraújoD
- 7Ferran TorresF
- 11RaphinhaF
- 14M. RashfordF
- 17Marc CasadóM
- 21F. de JongM
- 22Marc BernalM
- 25W. SzczęsnyG
- 33Eder AllerG
- 42X. EspartD
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Catena | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Moi Gómez | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4/5 |
| Javi Galán | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rubén García(C) | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Moro | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| Jon Moncayola | M | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ante Budimir | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Valentin Rosier | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Juan Cruz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stamatakis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Benito | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Arguibide | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl García de Haro | F | 20 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Abel Bretones | D | 12 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Osambela | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Barcelona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fermín López | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Pedri(C) | M | 88 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Pau Cubarsí | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Robert Lewandowski | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Pablo Gavi | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eric García | D | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joan García | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roony Bardghji | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Dani Olmo | M | 62 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Raphinha | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Balde | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wojciech Szczęsny | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eder Aller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xavi Espart | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 28 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Frenkie de Jong | M | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Rashford | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ronald Araújo | D | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Bernal | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |