Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC
Orlando City SC cruise to comfortable win
Griezmann and Sarajian lead the charge in a commanding 3-0 victory.
Orlando City SC secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Toronto FC, with Antoine Griezmann opening the scoring right before half-time. Harvey Sarajian extended the lead after the break, and I. Angulo sealed the win deep into stoppage time. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin was more generous than expected.
Outcome probability
Orlando City SC and Toronto FC face off in a regular season MLS clash that promises a tactical battle. Both teams have shown moments of attacking flair, but this encounter is expected to be a closely contested affair.
Match factors
Griezmann's dual threat in attack
Antoine Griezmann leads Orlando with 6 goals in last 5 games and 3 assists, providing both scoring and creative threat.
Ojeda's home scoring impact
Martín Ojeda has 11 goals this season with strong home scoring, vital for Orlando's predicted 1-0 win.
Justin Ellis' recent assist form
Justin Ellis has 3 assists in last 5 games, key in Orlando's attacking build-up and chance creation.
Sallói's playmaking for Toronto
Dániel Sallói provides 5 assists this season with 3 in last 5, crucial for Toronto's goal creation.
Sargent's scoring consistency
Joshua Sargent has 7 goals this season, including 4 in last 5, leading Toronto's attack despite away challenges.
The context
This match is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 25. Orlando City SC have been solid at home, while Toronto FC have relied on key players to spark their attack. The fixture offers a chance for Orlando to consolidate their position with a home win.
Key insights
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Leads Orlando with 6 goals in last 5 games and 3 assists, providing both scoring and creative threat.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals last 5 games, 3 assists this season
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Top scorer with 11 goals this season, strong home scoring impact vital for predicted win.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals this season in 17 appearances
Justin Ellis
Orlando City SC
Leading assister with 6 assists, including 3 in last 5 games, key in attacking build-up.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 16 appearances
Dániel Sallói
Toronto FC
Provides 5 assists this season with 3 in last 5, crucial for Toronto's goal creation.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 23 appearances
Joshua Sargent
Toronto FC
Top scorer with 7 goals, including 4 in last 5 games, leading Toronto's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals this season in 16 appearances
Analysis
Orlando City SC's recent form is bolstered by Antoine Griezmann, who has netted six goals in his last five games and contributed three assists this season. Martín Ojeda, the team's top scorer with 11 goals, adds further threat, especially on home turf. Justin Ellis's creativity with six assists this season, including three in the last five games, enhances Orlando's attacking options. Toronto FC will look to Joshua Sargent, their leading scorer with seven goals, and Dániel Sallói, who has five assists this season, to break down Orlando's defence. However, Orlando's defensive resilience and home advantage are likely to keep Toronto at bay.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC have a 61.2% probability of winning this match.
- 2.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Orlando City SC.
- 3.Halftime score of 1-0 aligns with the predicted fulltime result.
- 4.Four cards are expected during the match, indicating a competitive game.
- 5.Antoine Griezmann has scored 6 goals in his last 5 games for Orlando.
- 6.Martín Ojeda is Orlando's top scorer this season with 11 goals.
- 7.Joshua Sargent leads Toronto FC with 7 goals this season.
- 8.Justin Ellis has provided 6 assists for Orlando, including 3 in the last 5 games.
Prediction
The prediction is a 1-0 victory for Orlando City SC, with the goal likely coming in the first half. The match is expected to be tight, with a total of four cards anticipated, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Orlando City SC
Away — Toronto FC
The verdict
In summary, Orlando City SC's attacking prowess and home form give them the edge in this fixture. Toronto FC will pose challenges, but the predicted narrow win for Orlando reflects their ability to capitalise on key moments and maintain defensive discipline.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luis Otávio
Yellow Card
Gerbet
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Penalty cancelled
Griezmann
Assist: Taifi
Gerbet
Corbeanu
Etienne
Yellow Card
Coello
Yellow Card
Spicer
Ojeda
Etienne
Pereira
Griezmann
Cimermancic
Kuscevic
Pasalic
Sarajian
Assist: Dike
Iago
Yellow Card
Angulo
Assist: Ellis
Match Statistics
Orlando City SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 10M. OjedaM
- 14T. SpicerM
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloD
- 87Marco PasalicM
Substitutes
- 6R. JanssonD
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesF
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. GavranG
- 3Matheus PereiraD
- 6N. DorschM
- 7T. CorbeanuM
- 9J. SargentF
- 11D. EtienneM
- 13B. KuscevicD
- 20D. SallóiM
- 22R. LaryeaD
- 25W. ZimmermanD
- 71M. CimermancicM
Substitutes
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 14Alonso CoelloM
- 15N. GomisD
- 17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
- 19K. FranklinD
- 23W. YarbroughG
- 38J. GilmanD
- 44R. EdwardsD
- 78Malik HenryM
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Griezmann | F | 70 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 10 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| I. Angulo | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| D. Brekalo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Cartagena | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Iago | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 46 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 20 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Marco Pasalic | M | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| T. Spicer | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Bernardo Rhein Goncalves | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Dike | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Atuesta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Jansson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gavran | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Dorsch | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| T. Corbeanu | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| W. Zimmerman | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Cimermancic | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | D | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Sallói | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| R. Laryea | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kuscevic | D | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Gomis | D | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sargent | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Malik Henry | M | 25 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Etienne | M | 65 | 5.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Z. Monlouis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Franklin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Yarbrough | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gilman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |