Orlando City SC vs New York City FC

Major League SoccerMatchweek 31
Ref: Elijio ArreguinInter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida · 25,527 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winhigh

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Orlando City SC and New York City FC face off in the 31st round of the regular season, with Orlando looking to leverage their strong home form and attacking prowess.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
4–1
Half-time2–0
Orlando City SC Win
HIGH
Confidence
Orlando City SC 90%Draw 5%New York City FC 5%

The context

Historically, New York City FC have the upper hand with 9 wins out of 19 meetings, while Orlando City SC have managed only 2 wins and 8 draws. Matches between these sides average 3 goals, with New York City FC scoring more overall. However, current season dynamics suggest a shift in momentum.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Orlando City's potent home attack led by Ojeda and Griezmann

Ojeda and Griezmann combine for 22 goals this season with strong home form, likely to exploit NYCFC's defense.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Agustin Ojeda's creative influence for NYCFC

Ojeda's 10 assists and consistent starts make him a key playmaker to watch against Orlando's defense.

Statistical Edgehigh

Orlando City's higher average goals scored per game

Orlando averages 1.93 goals per game vs NYCFC's 1.45, supporting the predicted 4-1 scoreline.

Form Momentumhigh

Griezmann's recent scoring surge

Griezmann scored 4 goals in last 5 games, including 3 at home, indicating strong current form.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed absences for either team

Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans.

Analysis

Orlando City SC boast a higher average goals scored per game (1.93) compared to New York City FC's 1.45, underpinned by the impressive form of Martín Ojeda and Antoine Griezmann. Ojeda leads with 14 goals this season, including a strong home scoring rate, while Griezmann has netted 4 goals in his last 5 games, including 3 at home. New York City's creative force, Agustin Ojeda, with 10 assists, will look to unlock Orlando's defence, but the home side's attacking depth and recent momentum give them the edge.

Key insights

Prediction

Expect Orlando City SC to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted 2-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to a 4-1 fulltime victory. The match is also likely to see around 4 cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.In 19 meetings, New York City FC lead with 9 wins, Orlando City SC have 2 wins, and 8 draws.
  2. 2.Matches between these teams average 3.0 goals per game.
  3. 3.Orlando City SC average 1.93 goals per game this season, higher than New York City FC's 1.45.
  4. 4.Martín Ojeda is Orlando's top scorer with 14 goals, including strong home form.
  5. 5.Antoine Griezmann has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games, with 3 at home.
  6. 6.Agustin Ojeda leads New York City FC with 10 assists this season.
  7. 7.No confirmed absences for either team, ensuring full-strength lineups.

The verdict

With both teams fielding full-strength squads, the tactical battle will be fascinating, but Orlando City's home advantage and attacking form should see them comfortably through.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Orlando City SC

Martín Ojeda

Martín Ojeda

Attacker

Orlando City SC

Total Goals
14
League avg: 1.29
23 played
22 starts
1909 mins
~83 mins/game
Antoine Griezmann

Antoine Griezmann

Midfielder

Orlando City SC

Total Goals
8
League avg: 1.29
11 played
11 starts
951 mins
~86 mins/game
Iván Angulo Cortés

Iván Angulo Cortés

Forward

Orlando City SC

Total Goals
5
League avg: 1.29
27 played
26 starts
2378 mins
~88 mins/game

Away — New York City FC

Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Attacker

New York City FC

Total Goals
15
League avg: 1.29
28 played
28 starts
2495 mins
~89 mins/game
Hannes Tarn Wolf

Hannes Tarn Wolf

Attacker

New York City FC

Total Goals
6
League avg: 1.29
23 played
18 starts
1478 mins
~64 mins/game

Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 01:35 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
Fipster's AI model predicts Orlando City SC to win against New York City FC.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
Fipster predicts a final score of Orlando City SC 4–1 New York City FC.
What are the win probabilities for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
Fipster's model gives Orlando City SC a 90% chance of winning, New York City FC a 5% chance, and a 5% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 90% confidence — a high-confidence call.