Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC
Orlando City clinch narrow win over Nashville
T. Spicer's second-half strike secures a slender victory at home.
Orlando City SC edged out Nashville SC 1-0 thanks to T. Spicer's decisive goal in the 72nd minute. The match was a tight affair with neither side able to break the deadlock until after the break. This result defied Fipster's prediction, which had tipped Nashville SC to win 2-1 away from home.
Analysis
Orlando City SC face off against Nashville SC in what promises to be a lively MLS regular season fixture. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, but recent form and key player performances suggest Nashville might just have the edge.
Historically, Orlando City SC and Nashville SC have met 17 times, each side winning six matches with five draws. Their encounters tend to be goal-rich affairs, averaging 3.2 goals per game, reflecting an open style of play that fans relish.
Nashville SC's attack has been particularly potent, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Orlando City SC have conceded 2.9 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Sam Surridge leads Nashville's charge with five goals in his last five matches, making him a constant threat. Meanwhile, Martín Ojeda remains Orlando's key goal threat with three goals in his last five games. The doubtful status of Warren Madrigal for Nashville could slightly dampen their attacking options, but their overall form suggests they will start strong, likely leading 2-0 at halftime.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Nashville SC with a 2-1 final scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 0-2, indicating Nashville's early dominance. The match is also anticipated to be competitive with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity on the pitch.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Nashville's potent attack vs Orlando's leaky defense
Nashville averages 2.1 goals per game while Orlando concedes 2.9, favoring Nashville's forwards
Sam Surridge's hot scoring streak
Surridge has scored 5 goals in last 5 matches, driving Nashville's recent wins
Martín Ojeda's consistent goal threat for Orlando
Ojeda has 3 goals in last 5 matches, key to Orlando's scoring chances
Warren Madrigal doubtful but influential if fit
Madrigal's lower-body injury casts doubt; his absence reduces Nashville's attacking options
Key Takeaways
Expect a spirited contest with Nashville SC's attacking prowess likely to overcome Orlando City's home efforts. While Orlando will find the net, Nashville's clinical finishing and momentum should secure them the three points in this MLS showdown.
- Orlando City SC and Nashville SC have each won 6 of their 17 meetings, with 5 draws.
- Their head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game.
- Nashville SC average 2.1 goals scored per game this season.
- Orlando City SC concede an average of 2.9 goals per game, indicating defensive struggles.
- Sam Surridge has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches for Nashville SC.
- Martín Ojeda has netted 3 goals in his last 5 matches for Orlando City SC.
- The predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Nashville SC.
- The match is expected to see around 4 cards shown due to its competitive nature.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Orlando City SC
Away — Nashville SC
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tiago
Yellow Card
Muyl
Tiago
Mohammed
Acosta
Unknown
Brekalo
Spicer
Assist: Ellis
Najar
Luis Otávio
Ellis
Corcoran
Match Statistics
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 6R. JanssonD
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 8B. OjedaM
- 11TiagoM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 24G. DorseyD
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
Substitutes
- 3Adrián MarínD
- 12Javier OteroG
- 14T. SpicerF
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 29T. Reid-BrownD
- 57IagoD
- 65Gustavo Caraballo DelgadoM
Nashville SC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3M. WoledziD
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 14S. MohammedF
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 19A. MuylM
- 22J. BauerD
- 31A. NajarD
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 2D. LovitzD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 12C. BrunetM
- 13X. ValdezG
- 17W. PaciusF
- 20E. TagsethM
- 21T. WilliamsD
- 23J. KnightD
- 37A. QasemF
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Griezmann | F | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| D. Brekalo | D | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Angulo | M | 62 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Luis Otávio | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Jansson | D | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Dorsey | D | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Crépeau | G | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Spicer | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Ojeda | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tiago | M | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Justin Ellis | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Javier Otero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caraballo Delgado | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Cartagena | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Reid-Brown | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 62 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Maher | D | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Najar | D | 62 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| B. Acosta | M | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Corcoran | M | 62 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | F | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Qasem | F | 16 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Surridge | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Williams | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Pacius | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| X. Valdez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Knight | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |