Orlando City SC vs DC United
Orlando City SC dominate DC United with Griezmann brace
A commanding 4-1 victory sees Orlando City SC assert their MLS credentials emphatically.
Orlando City SC put on a dominant display against DC United, racing into a two-goal lead through A. Griezmann and M. Ojeda in the first half. Despite a penalty from T. Baribo just before half-time, Griezmann struck again early after the break to restore a comfortable advantage. Marco Pasalic sealed the emphatic win deep into stoppage time. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more convincing than forecast.
Outcome probability
Orlando City SC and DC United face off in the 30th round of the regular season, with both sides eager to make their mark. The fixture promises goals and attacking flair, given the history of high-scoring encounters between these two teams.
Match factors
Orlando's attacking trio in strong form
Ojeda, Griezmann, and Angulo show strong recent scoring and assist form, likely to exploit DC United's defense.
DC United's reliance on Tai Baribo
Baribo leads DC United with 14 goals but has limited recent scoring, indicating potential vulnerability.
Orlando City SC's positive scoring streak at home
Orlando has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum for this fixture.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing key players expected.
The context
This regular season clash sees Orlando City SC and DC United locked in a rivalry with an even head-to-head record: eight wins apiece from 20 meetings. Their matches typically produce plenty of goals, averaging 3.6 per game, setting the stage for an entertaining contest.
Key insights
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Leads team scoring with 13 goals, showing strong recent away form and key to Orlando's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 22 apps, 0.59 goals/game
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Exceptional scoring and assisting midfielder with 9 goals and 5 assists in 12 games, thriving at home.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals and 5 assists in 12 apps, 0.75 goals/game
Tai Baribo
DC United
DC United's leading scorer with 14 goals, vital offensive player despite a slight dip in recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 21 apps, 0.67 goals/game
Analysis
Orlando City SC enter this match with a potent attacking trio in fine form. Martín Ojeda leads the charge with 13 goals this season, boasting strong recent away performances. Antoine Griezmann complements him well, contributing nine goals and five assists in just 12 appearances, particularly thriving at home. Iván Angulo Cortés adds further threat, having scored four goals in his last five games. DC United rely heavily on Tai Baribo, their top scorer with 14 goals, though his recent form has dipped slightly. Orlando's consistent scoring in their last five home games suggests they will maintain offensive momentum, while both teams have full squads available, ensuring no disruptions from injuries.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC and DC United have each won 8 of their 20 meetings, with 4 draws.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 3.6 goals per game, indicating high-scoring affairs.
- 3.Martín Ojeda leads Orlando with 13 goals this season, showing strong away form.
- 4.Antoine Griezmann has 9 goals and 5 assists in 12 games, excelling at home.
- 5.Tai Baribo is DC United's top scorer with 14 goals but has slowed recently.
- 6.Orlando City SC have scored in their last 5 home games, showing good momentum.
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
- 8.The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a competitive but fair match.
Prediction
The prediction favours Orlando City SC to take an early lead, likely going 1-0 up by halftime. They are expected to extend their advantage in the second half, finishing with a 3-1 victory over DC United. The match should feature four cards in total, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Orlando City SC
Away — DC United
The verdict
In summary, Orlando City SC's attacking prowess and recent form make them the clear favourites to secure a 3-1 win against DC United. With key players firing on all cylinders and no injury concerns, this fixture should deliver the goals and excitement fans anticipate.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 01:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Griezmann
Assist: Ojeda
Ojeda
Assist: Griezmann
Luis Otávio
Yellow Card
Baribo
Penalty
Cartagena
Stroud
Griezmann
Servania
Luis Otávio
Atuesta
Dike
Nono
Yellow Card
Hefti
Peglow
Hopkins
Yellow Card
Ojeda
Baribo
Yellow Card
Pasalic
Assist: Ellis
Match Statistics
Orlando City SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 7A. GriezmannM
- 9D. DikeF
- 10M. OjedaM
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloD
Substitutes
- 3Adrián MarínD
- 8B. OjedaM
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 21N. MillerD
- 22Justin EllisF
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 87Marco PasalicF
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 2K. NonoM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 8J. StroudM
- 9T. BariboF
- 13S. NealisD
- 15K. RowlesD
- 21A. DozzellM
- 23B. ServaniaF
Substitutes
- 4M. PeltolaD
- 12C. AntleyD
- 22N. OrdazF
- 25J. HopkinsM
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 32O. AvilezF
- 40K. CastilloM
- 48Gavin TurnerM
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Griezmann | M | 90 | 9.6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| M. Ojeda | M | 86 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| E. Atuesta | M | 70 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 44 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Brekalo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 20 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Angulo | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| W. Cartagena | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Ojeda | M | 20 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Miller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| S. Hefti | D | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| S. Nealis | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Servania | F | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Ordaz | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Dozzell | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Avilez | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peglow | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Peltola | D | 12 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Stroud | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Rowles | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| J. Hopkins | M | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| S. Johnson | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Baribo | F | 90 | 5.6 | 1 | — | 7 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nono | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| A. Bono | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Turner | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Castillo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Antley | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Orlando City SC vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Orlando City SC to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Orlando City SC 3–1 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave Orlando City SC a 85% chance of winning, DC United a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.