Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew
Orlando City edge Columbus in five-goal thriller
Sarajian and Griezmann set the pace before Angulo seals the win.
Orlando City SC secured a narrow 3-2 victory over Columbus Crew in a lively Major League Soccer encounter. Harvey Sarajian's early strike was quickly answered by T. Habroune, but Antoine Griezmann restored the lead for Orlando before the break. Brais Méndez levelled for Columbus after the interval, only for I. Angulo to clinch the win late on. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for an Orlando win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew face off in the 28th round of the regular season, with Orlando City looking to leverage their recent attacking prowess to secure a comfortable win.
Match factors
Orlando City's attacking trio in strong form
Ojeda, Griezmann, and Angulo show excellent recent scoring form, likely to exploit Columbus defense
Justin Ellis' assist prowess boosts Orlando's attack
Ellis leads assists with 8 this season, providing key chances to top scorers
Griezmann's recent goal surge
Griezmann scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, indicating peak form
Columbus Crew's creative midfielders provide assist threat
Arfsten and Farsi lead assists for Columbus, offering creativity despite team's lower scoring
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
The context
Historically, Orlando City SC have edged Columbus Crew in their head-to-head encounters, winning 9 of 20 matches. These fixtures tend to be lively affairs, averaging over three goals per game, suggesting an open and attacking contest.
Key insights
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Leads team scoring with 12 goals, well above league average for attackers, showing strong recent form with multiple multi-goal games.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 20 apps, 0.6 avg per game
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Exceptional scoring rate for a midfielder with 8 goals in 10 games, including 4 goals in the last 5 matches, indicating peak form.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 10 apps, 0.8 avg per game
Justin Ellis
Orlando City SC
Top assister with 8 assists in 19 games, providing key chances to top scorers and showing strong home assist rate.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 19 apps, 0.42 avg per game
Maximilian Arfsten
Columbus Crew
Leads Columbus Crew in assists with 4 in 17 games, offering creativity despite the team's lower scoring record.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 17 apps, 0.24 avg per game
Analysis
Orlando City's attacking trio of Martín Ojeda, Antoine Griezmann, and Iván Angulo Cortés have been in excellent form, combining for numerous goals recently. Justin Ellis's creativity and assist tally further bolster their offensive threat. Columbus Crew's midfielders, Maximilian Arfsten and Mohamed Ramzdine Farsi, offer some creative spark, but their overall scoring record is less convincing. Both teams have full squads available, so expect Orlando City's firepower to shine through.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC have won 9 of 20 meetings against Columbus Crew, with 7 losses and 4 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.2 total goals, indicating a relatively high scoring fixture historically.
- 3.Martín Ojeda leads Orlando City with 12 goals this season, showing strong recent form.
- 4.Antoine Griezmann has scored 8 goals in 10 games, including 4 in the last 5 matches.
- 5.Justin Ellis tops Orlando City's assists with 8 in 19 games, enhancing their attacking threat.
- 6.Columbus Crew's Maximilian Arfsten leads their assists with 4 in 17 games.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, ensuring full-strength lineups.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 3-0 victory for Orlando City SC, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Orlando City SC
Away — Columbus Crew
The verdict
Orlando City SC's attacking momentum and historical edge over Columbus Crew make them the clear favourites to claim all three points in this fixture. Columbus will need to tighten up defensively to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 28 Sep 2026, 01:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sarajian
Assist: Griezmann
Nogueira
Yellow Card
Habroune
Assist: Rodríguez
Griezmann
Habroune
Yellow Card
Jansson
Yellow Card
Méndez
Yellow Card
Brekalo
Yellow Card
Sarajian
Nogueira
Méndez
Assist: Habroune
Pasalic
Yellow Card
Atuesta
Pasalic
Josef Martínez
Chambost
Habroune
Zaroury
Brekalo
Angulo
Assist: Ojeda
Farsi
Match Statistics
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 10M. OjedaF
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 23Harvey SarajianM
- 27Vinícius NogueiraD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloD
- 87Marco PasalicM
Substitutes
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesF
- 57IagoD
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Starting XI
- 7D. ChambostM
- 8S. RodríguezM
- 10Brais MéndezF
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 21A. ZarouryM
- 23M. FarsiD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 28P. SchulteG
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 77Josef MartínezF
Substitutes
- 1N. HagenG
- 2M. HerreraD
- 3E. BaillyD
- 4R. CamachoD
- 11B. LennonD
- 17S. BangouraM
- 20André GomesM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 33G. TapiaF
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Griezmann | F | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1/1 |
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Angulo | D | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| M. Ojeda | F | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Harvey Sarajian | M | 46 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Dike | F | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| W. Cartagena | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 7 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Rhein Goncalves | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Brekalo | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Jansson | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | M | 38 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Nogueira | D | 52 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Atuesta | M | 62 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Habroune | M | 83 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2/5 |
| Brais Méndez | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3/6 |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1/1 |
| G. Tapia | F | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Zaroury | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 3/6 |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Farsi | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Amundsen | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Chambost | M | 70 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Josef Martínez | F | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Lennon | D | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 20 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Giaccone | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Herrera | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bailly | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hagen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Orlando City SC to win against Columbus Crew.
- What score did Fipster predict for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Orlando City SC 3–0 Columbus Crew.
- What were the win probabilities for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's model gave Orlando City SC a 95% chance of winning, Columbus Crew a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.