Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire snatch win at Orlando
Lewandowski's penalty seals a 2-1 victory after an early strike.
Chicago Fire took an early lead through P. Dithejane's goal in the 4th minute, setting the tone for a tight contest. Orlando City SC responded after the break with D. Brekalo's equaliser, but R. Lewandowski's penalty in the 69th minute proved decisive. This 2-1 result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable home win for Orlando.
Outcome probability
Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire face off in what promises to be an entertaining MLS regular season encounter. Both teams boast potent attacking options, but Orlando's recent form and home advantage give them the edge in this clash.
Match factors
Orlando's Ojeda leads potent attack
Martín Ojeda's 11 goals this season make him Orlando's primary scoring threat, likely to exploit Chicago's defense.
Chicago relies on Cuypers for goals
Hugo Cuypers has 13 goals in 11 games, a prolific scorer who will challenge Orlando's backline.
Atuesta's creative influence key for Orlando
Eduard Atuesta's 3 assists in last 5 games highlight his role as Orlando's main playmaker.
Zinckernagel drives Chicago's creativity
Philip Zinckernagel leads Chicago with 7 assists this season, crucial for unlocking defenses.
Spicer's recent scoring surge
Tyrese Spicer scored 3 goals in last 5 games, showing improved form and impact off the bench.
The context
This match is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 20. Orlando City SC have been strong at home, while Chicago Fire rely heavily on their top scorer Hugo Cuypers. The fixture offers a chance for Orlando to consolidate their position with a confident home performance.
Key insights
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Martín Ojeda's 11 goals this season make him Orlando's primary scoring threat, likely to exploit Chicago's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 15 appearances, 0.73 goals/game
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
Hugo Cuypers has 13 goals in 11 games, a prolific scorer who will challenge Orlando's backline.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 11 appearances, 1.18 goals/game
E. Atuesta
Orlando City SC
Eduard Atuesta's 3 assists in last 5 games highlight his role as Orlando's main playmaker.
Major League Soccer 26/273 assists in 13 appearances, 0.23 assists/game
P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
Philip Zinckernagel leads Chicago with 7 assists this season, crucial for unlocking defenses.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 17 appearances, 0.41 assists/game
Analysis
Orlando City's Martín Ojeda leads the charge with 11 goals this season, making him a key threat to Chicago's defence. Eduard Atuesta's creative spark, with 3 assists in the last 5 games, adds to Orlando's attacking potency. Chicago Fire's Hugo Cuypers, with 13 goals in 11 games, remains a formidable opponent, supported by Philip Zinckernagel's 7 assists. However, the aggregated probabilities strongly favour a home win, with a predicted halftime score of 2-1 and a fulltime result of 3-1. The match is also expected to be competitive, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City's Martín Ojeda has scored 11 goals in 15 appearances this season.
- 2.Eduard Atuesta has provided 3 assists in the last 5 games for Orlando City.
- 3.Chicago Fire's Hugo Cuypers has netted 13 goals in 11 games this season.
- 4.Philip Zinckernagel leads Chicago with 7 assists this season.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 2-1 in favour of Orlando City SC.
- 6.The expected total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
We anticipate Orlando City SC to take the win with a 3-1 scoreline. The home side should establish an early lead, reflected in the predicted 2-1 halftime score, before securing the victory in the second half. Key players like Ojeda and Atuesta are expected to influence the outcome significantly.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Orlando City SC
Away — Chicago Fire
The verdict
In summary, Orlando City SC's attacking prowess and home form should see them through against a determined Chicago Fire side. Expect a lively game with goals and a few cards, culminating in a 3-1 home victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dithejane
Assist: Poręba
Cartagena
Spicer
Unknown
Brekalo
Assist: Griezmann
Luis Otávio
Yellow Card
Bamba
Poręba
Gutman
Ellis
Jansson
Yellow Card
Lewandowski
Penalty
Dorsey
Radojević
Yellow Card
Lewandowski
Rogers
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Orlando City SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Adrián MarínD
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 6R. JanssonD
- 7A. GriezmannM
- 14T. SpicerM
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 24G. DorseyD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
Substitutes
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 57IagoD
- 87Marco PasalicF
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 3J. ElliottD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 15A. GutmanD
- 16J. WatermanD
- 19J. BambaF
- 24J. DeanD
- 29D. PorębaM
- 42T. D'AvillaM
Substitutes
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 5S. RogersD
- 7M. Haile-SelassieM
- 14V. RadojevićD
- 17R. LodM
- 20Jason ShokalookF
- 22M. PinedaD
- 44J. CohenG
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Griezmann | M | 86 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 86 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Luis Otávio | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Griffin Dorsey | D | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Justin Ellis | F | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Wilder Cartagena | M | 43 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 43 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Jansson(C) | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | M | 43 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joran Gerbet | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daryl Dike | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 43 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | F | 43 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tiago Souza | F | 43 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | G | 86 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | F | 83 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Jack Elliott(C) | D | 86 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joel Waterman | D | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Jonathan Bamba | F | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/5 |
| David Poreba | M | 61 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jason Shokalook | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Cohen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Rogers | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |