Orlando City SC vs Charlotte
Match recap
Orlando City SC beat Charlotte 4–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Luis Otávio, Ojeda, Ojeda, and Gómez scored for Orlando City SC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.90 for Orlando City SC versus 1.57 for Charlotte.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Orlando City SC win
Actual
4–1
Outcome probability
Orlando City SC and Charlotte are gearing up for a competitive clash in the regular season. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking flair, promising an entertaining encounter with goals likely at both ends.
Match factors
Orlando City's potent attacking trio
Ojeda, Griezmann, and Angulo form a high-scoring frontline with strong recent form and synergy
Justin Ellis as key playmaker
Ellis leads Orlando City in assists and links well with top scorers, enhancing scoring chances
Charlotte's reliance on Toklomati Giorno
Giorno is Charlotte's main goal threat with 11 goals and strong recent scoring form
Griezmann's excellent recent scoring and assisting form
Griezmann has scored 4 goals and provided multiple assists in last 5 games, boosting Orlando's attack
Orlando City missing two midfielders
Braian Ojeda and Tyrese Spicer are confirmed out, potentially weakening midfield depth
The context
This fixture marks the ninth round of the regular season, with Orlando City SC holding a historical edge in their head-to-head meetings against Charlotte. The teams have met 13 times previously, with Orlando City winning six of those encounters, Charlotte two, and five ending in draws. Past matches have averaged 2.7 goals, indicating a tendency for open play and goal-scoring opportunities.
Key insights
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Top scorer with 13 goals this season and strong recent form, scoring twice in this fixture to lead Orlando's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 22 appearances, 0.59 goals/game
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Creative midfielder with 9 goals and 5 assists this season, contributing significantly to Orlando's offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 12 appearances, 0.75 goals/game
- I
Iván Angulo Cortés
Orlando City SC
Consistent starter with 6 goals this season and strong recent scoring streak, adding depth to Orlando's frontline.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 28 appearances, 0.21 goals/game
Idan Toklomati Giorno
Charlotte
Leading scorer for Charlotte with 11 goals and strong recent form, posing the main attacking threat for the visitors.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 27 appearances, 0.41 goals/game
Justin Ellis
Orlando City SC
Top assister with 8 assists, providing key creative support and linking well with Orlando's top scorers.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 20 appearances, 0.4 assists/game
Analysis
Orlando City SC boast a potent attacking trio featuring Martín Ojeda, Antoine Griezmann, and Iván Angulo Cortés, all in strong recent form. Ojeda, the top scorer with 13 goals this season, netted twice in this fixture, underlining his threat. Griezmann's creativity and goal-scoring have been impressive, contributing significantly to Orlando's offensive output. Charlotte rely heavily on Idan Toklomati Giorno, their leading scorer with 11 goals, who also found the net in this match. Despite missing two midfielders, Orlando's attacking depth and home advantage give them the upper hand in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC have won 6 of 13 meetings against Charlotte.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals per game.
- 3.Martín Ojeda scored 2 goals in this fixture for Orlando City SC.
- 4.Charlotte's Idan Toklomati Giorno scored 1 goal in this fixture.
- 5.Orlando City's attacking trio (Ojeda, Griezmann, Angulo) are in strong recent form.
- 6.Orlando City SC are missing two midfielders, potentially affecting depth.
- 7.Antoine Griezmann has 9 goals and 5 assists this season, showing excellent form.
- 8.Justin Ellis leads Orlando City SC with 8 assists, linking well with attackers.
Prediction
We predict a home win for Orlando City SC with a 3-2 scoreline. The match is expected to be tightly contested, reflected in the likely 1-1 halftime score, but Orlando's attacking quality should see them edge ahead in the second half to secure the victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Orlando City SC
Away — Charlotte
The verdict
In summary, expect an exciting, high-scoring game with Orlando City SC's attacking trio making the difference. Charlotte will pose a threat, but Orlando's firepower and historical advantage should see them through to a narrow win.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:47 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luis Otávio
Assist: Taifi
Angulo
Yellow Card
Goal
Assist: Biel
Westwood
Yellow Card
Luis Otávio
Yellow Card
Ojeda
Yellow Card
Ojeda
Assist: Ellis
Toffolo
Yellow Card
Ojeda
Tiago
Yellow Card
de la Torre
Aloko
Toklomati Giorno
Tiago
Taifi
Gómez
Yellow Card
Westwood
Toffolo
Gómez
Assist: Angulo
Angulo
Ellis
Luis Otávio
Match Statistics
Orlando City SC
5-3-2Starting XI
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 6R. JanssonD
- 8B. OjedaM
- 10M. OjedaF
- 11TiagoM
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 22Justin EllisF
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloD
Substitutes
- 12Javier OteroG
- 21N. MillerD
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 29T. Reid-BrownD
- 34Y. TsukadaF
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesF
- 65Gustavo Caraballo DelgadoF
- 80I. GómezM
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 4A. PrivettD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10W. ZahaM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 16Pep BielM
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 37R. AlokoM
Substitutes
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 11L. AbadaF
- 13B. BronicoM
- 18K. VargasF
- 21T. MillerG
- 23D. SchneggD
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 28D. DianiM
- 39J. NeeleyD
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martín Ojeda | F | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0/2 |
| Luis Otávio | M | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Maxime Crepeau | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Marin | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | D | 78 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Robin Jansson(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Justin Ellis | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Iago Silva | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bernardo Rhein | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolan Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yutaro Tsukada | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colin Guske | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caraballo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Gómez | M | 12 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Westwood(C) | M | 80 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Wilfried Zaha | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/5 |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Idan Toklomati Jorno | F | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pep Biel | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 0/3 |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Privett | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rodolfo Aloko | M | 73 | 5.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Liel Abada | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Miller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Neeley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Schnegg | D | 10 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Djibril Diani | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Orlando City SC to win against Charlotte.
- What score did Fipster predict for Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Orlando City SC 3–2 Charlotte.
- What were the win probabilities for Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?
- Fipster's model gave Orlando City SC a 90% chance of winning, Charlotte a 5% chance, and a 5% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 90% confidence — a high-confidence call.