Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo
Omonia Nicosia clinch narrow win over Celta Vigo
J. Balkovec's late strike seals a tight Europa League victory for the hosts.
Omonia Nicosia edged out Celta Vigo 1-0 in a closely contested Europa League match, with J. Balkovec scoring the decisive goal in the 88th minute. The result matched Fipster's prediction of a home win, albeit with a slightly different scoreline. It was a hard-fought victory that kept the hosts' hopes alive in the competition.
Outcome probability
Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo face off in a group stage match where the home side looks poised to continue their positive run. Both teams arrive with full squads, setting the stage for a competitive fixture.
Match factors
No injury absences for either team
Both Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
Omonia Nicosia positive scoring streak
Omonia Nicosia have scored in their last 2 matches and kept a clean sheet in their last home game, indicating good form at home.
Omonia Nicosia strong home defensive record
Omonia Nicosia have conceded 0 goals at home in recent matches, suggesting a defensive edge in this fixture.
The context
In this competition, Omonia Nicosia have played two matches, winning one and drawing one, scoring twice and conceding just once. Their recent home performances have been particularly strong, with a clean sheet in their last home game.
Key facts
- 1.Omonia Nicosia have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L0, GF 2 / GA 1).
- 2.Omonia Nicosia have kept a clean sheet in their last home match.
- 3.Both teams have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
- 4.Omonia Nicosia have conceded 0 goals at home in recent matches.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Omonia Nicosia.
- 6.The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 to Omonia Nicosia.
- 7.The match is expected to see around 4 cards issued.
Analysis
Omonia Nicosia's defensive solidity at home, having conceded no goals in recent matches, gives them an edge against Celta Vigo. The home side's scoring streak in their last two matches adds to their attacking threat. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo will need to break down a well-organised defence to get on the scoresheet. The predicted halftime lead of 1-0 for Omonia aligns with their recent form and defensive record.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Omonia Nicosia
Away — Celta Vigo
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Omonia Nicosia, with a halftime score of 1-0. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest. Omonia's home advantage and recent form make them the likely winners in this group stage fixture.
The verdict
All signs point to a narrow win for Omonia Nicosia as they leverage their home defensive strength and scoring momentum. Celta Vigo will provide a challenge, but the home side's consistency should see them through to a 2-1 victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Jutglà
Driouech
Tankovic
Swedberg
Yellow Card
Burcio
Durán
Coulibaly
Núñez
Balkovec
Ewandro
Montnor
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Omonia Nicosia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5S. CoulibalyD
- 7J. MontnorM
- 11EwandroM
- 14M. MarićM
- 22M. TankovicM
- 29J. BalkovecD
- 37Ľ. ŠatkaD
- 40FabianoG
- 74P. AndreouM
- 93J. DuverneD
- 99L. DionyF
Substitutes
- 1T. KaminskiG
- 9A. KakoullisF
- 17F. TănaseM
- 20L. BrouwersM
- 21M. MayambelaF
- 27S. SimičD
- 77L. NégoD
- 78P. MichaelG
- 85A. NeophytouF
- 90C. KonstantinidisD
Celta Vigo
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 2C. StarfeltD
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 8Miguel RománM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 13I. RaduG
- 15Álvaro NúñezM
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 24C. DriouechM
- 30H. BurcioF
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 6I. MoribaM
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 17Javi RuedaD
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 21S. CáceresD
- 22Javi GalánD
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezM
Omonia Nicosia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jure Balkovec | D | 91 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean-Kévin Duverne | D | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Senou Coulibaly | D | 91 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fabiano(C) | G | 91 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ewandro Costa | M | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Ľubomír Šatka | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Andreou | M | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Marić | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Muamer Tanković | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jaden Montnor | M | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Loïs Diony | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefan Simic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florin Tănase | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihlali Mayambela | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pantelis Michail | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Konstantinidis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Kaminski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angelos Neophytou | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loic Négo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luuk Brouwers | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | G | 91 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Núñez | M | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Carl Starfelt(C) | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Burcio | F | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pablo Durán | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Couhaib Driouech | M | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Miguel Román | M | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ferrán Jutglà | F | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdoulaye Faye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilaix Moriba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Rueda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Altay Bayındır | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Cáceres | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Williot Swedberg | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hugo González | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Omonia Nicosia to win against Celta Vigo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Omonia Nicosia 2–1 Celta Vigo.
- What were the win probabilities for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's model gave Omonia Nicosia a 85% chance of winning, Celta Vigo a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.