Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia
Olympiakos edge Jagiellonia in tight Europa clash
Yaremchuk's late strike seals a narrow home victory.
Olympiakos Piraeus secured a 2-1 win over Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League, overturning an early deficit thanks to goals from A. González before the break and R. Yaremchuk in the second half. K. Szmyt had given Jagiellonia the lead at 20 minutes, but Olympiakos' resilience paid off with a decisive finish at 84 minutes. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win proved spot on, making this a well-forecasted outcome.
Outcome probability
Olympiakos Piraeus face off against Jagiellonia in a group stage match where the home side is favoured to take the spoils. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, but Olympiakos' home conditions could prove decisive.
Match factors
Limited individual player data restricts scorer predictions
Neither team has topScorers or topAssisters data, limiting player-level scoring and assist forecasts.
Jagiellonia's strong recent scoring streak
Jagiellonia has scored in their last 4 matches, showing good attacking form despite limited player data.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads are likely available, maintaining tactical stability.
Home advantage favors Olympiakos Piraeus
Predicted home win and recent home wins suggest Olympiakos can leverage home conditions despite sparse player data.
The context
Jagiellonia have impressed in this competition so far, remaining unbeaten with three wins and a draw from four matches, scoring nine goals and conceding three. Their recent play-off win away at Saburtalo 2-1 highlights their ability to perform on the road. Olympiakos, meanwhile, are looking to capitalise on home advantage to improve their standing in the group.
Key facts
- 1.Olympiakos Piraeus are predicted to win 2-1 against Jagiellonia.
- 2.Jagiellonia remain unbeaten in this competition with 3 wins and 1 draw from 4 matches.
- 3.Jagiellonia scored 9 goals and conceded 3 in their recent competition matches.
- 4.No confirmed injuries for either team, suggesting full squads available.
- 5.The match is expected to feature around 3 cards, indicating moderate physicality.
- 6.Jagiellonia recently won a play-off away match 2-1 against Saburtalo.
- 7.Home advantage is a significant factor favouring Olympiakos Piraeus.
Analysis
The aggregated probabilities suggest a home win is the most likely outcome, with a 2-1 scoreline the modal prediction. Olympiakos' ability to leverage home conditions and Jagiellonia's strong recent scoring streak set the stage for a competitive match. Neither side has confirmed injuries, so tactical stability is expected. The match is also predicted to see around three cards, indicating a moderately physical contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Olympiakos Piraeus
Away — Jagiellonia
Prediction
We predict Olympiakos Piraeus will narrowly overcome Jagiellonia with a 2-1 victory. The home side's edge in familiar surroundings and recent form should be enough to secure the win, though Jagiellonia's attacking threat means it won't be a stroll in the park.
The verdict
This encounter promises a lively contest with goals on both sides. Olympiakos' home advantage and Jagiellonia's scoring form make for an intriguing battle, but the home team is expected to come out on top by a single goal margin.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Olympiakos Piraeus has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Szmyt
Assist: Prelec
Wojtuszek
Yellow Card
Onyemaechi
Yellow Card
González
Assist: Retsos
Onyemaechi
Romanczuk
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
Yellow Card
González
Klynge
Imaz
Prelec
Hezze
Yellow Card
Hezze
Chiquinho
Bernardo Vital
Yellow Card
Saliakas
Yaremchuk
Assist: Freuler
Conceição
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo Freuler | M | 93 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Chiquinho | M | 77 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3/6 |
| Armando González | F | 62 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Hezze | M | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Pirola | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Panagiotis Retsos(C) | D | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jota Silva | M | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1/7 |
| Stefan Ortega | G | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onyemaechi Bruno | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Manolis Saliakas | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Zinedin Smajlović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stournaras | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Carmo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Filis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Kouraklis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Theofanis Bakoulas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Yaremchuk | F | 31 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Puerta | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nair Tiknizyan | D | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Bailey | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Marcus Pedersen | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Jagiellonia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kajetan Szmyt | F | 93 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Sławomir Abramowicz | G | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nik Prelec | F | 75 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ferslev Anders Klynge | M | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Taras Romanczuk(C) | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | F | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Norbert Wojtuszek | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Apostolos Konstantopoulos | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Montóia | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Michał Perchel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandar Ćirković | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Agbonifo | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartlomiej Krasiewicz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Jóźwiak | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dušan Stojinović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartłomiej Wdowik | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssuf Sylla | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hampus Finndell | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Eryk Kozłowski | M | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Olympiakos Piraeus to win against Jagiellonia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia.
- What were the win probabilities for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
- Fipster's model gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 61% chance of winning, Jagiellonia a 19% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 61% confidence — a medium-confidence call.