NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano
Runavik hold Lugano to a draw
A spirited home side stifles Lugano's expected narrow win in the Conference League.
NSI Runavik and FC Lugano played out a 2-2 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Runavik's P. Knudsen and M. Lindh scoring before Lugano's Y. Cimignani and K. Behrens responded. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Lugano win, the home side's resilience ensured the spoils were shared, defying expectations of a narrow away victory.
- First leg:
- FC Lugano 2 0 NSI Runavik
- Aggregate:
- FC Lugano 4 2 NSI Runavik
- Advances:
- FC Lugano
Outcome probability
The third qualifying round fixture between NSI Runavik and FC Lugano promises a close encounter, with Lugano looking to maintain their perfect record in this competition.
Match factors
FC Lugano's superior scoring form
FC Lugano averages 3 goals per game with 100% recent wins, while NSI Runavik struggles to score at home (0.5 goals avg)
Behrens as key attacking threat
Kevin Behrens' 4 goals in last 5 games and strong away scoring make him a focal point against NSI Runavik's defense
FC Lugano's winning streak and clean sheets
FC Lugano has won last 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets, showing strong defensive and offensive form
Creative midfield support from Bislimi and Papadopoulos
Bislimi and Papadopoulos provide high passing accuracy and assists, enhancing FC Lugano's attacking chances
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads available for tactical execution
The context
FC Lugano have been in fine form in this competition, winning all three of their matches so far and scoring eight goals while conceding just one. NSI Runavik have had a mixed run with two wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring five and conceding six. The teams have met once before, with Lugano winning 2-0 away.
Key insights
K. Behrens
FC Lugano
Kevin Behrens is the key attacking threat with 4 goals in the last 5 games, including 3 in a single away match, making him a focal point against NSI Runavik.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/274 goals last 5 games, 3 goals in 1 away game
U. Bislimi
FC Lugano
Creative midfielder U. Bislimi provides high passing accuracy and an assist, boosting Lugano's attacking chances.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances, 90% passing accuracy
A. Papadopoulos
FC Lugano
Defender A. Papadopoulos contributes both defensively and offensively with a good assist record and high passing accuracy.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances, 93% passing accuracy
Analysis
Lugano's attacking prowess and defensive solidity have been key to their success, boasting a strong away record and a clean sheet in two of their three wins. NSI Runavik have struggled to find the net consistently at home, averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Kevin Behrens stands out for Lugano, with four goals in the last five games and a particularly strong away scoring record. The midfield creativity of U. Bislimi and the defensive contributions of A. Papadopoulos further bolster Lugano's chances.
Key facts
- 1.FC Lugano have won all 3 matches in this competition, scoring 8 and conceding 1.
- 2.NSI Runavik have played 5 matches (W2 D1 L2) with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.
- 3.FC Lugano won the only previous meeting 2-0 away at NSI Runavik.
- 4.Kevin Behrens has scored 4 goals in the last 5 games, including 3 in one away match.
- 5.FC Lugano have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 3 matches in this competition.
- 6.NSI Runavik average 0.5 goals per home game in this competition.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction is a narrow 1-0 victory for FC Lugano, with the goal likely coming in the first half. The match is expected to be competitive, but Lugano's superior form and previous head-to-head advantage give them the edge.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NSI Runavik
No standout top scorers flagged for NSI Runavik
Away — FC Lugano
The verdict
Expect a tightly contested match with FC Lugano's quality and momentum proving decisive. NSI Runavik will need to tighten their defence and find a spark upfront to challenge the visitors' winning streak.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Knudsen
Lindh
Assist: Knudsen
Dos Santos
Cimignani
Assist: Zanotti
Nolsøe
Lindh
Behrens
Assist: Steffen
Joensen
Yellow Card
Przybylski
Benjaminsen
Pihlström
Steffen
Match Statistics
NSI Runavik
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2S. Skytte
- 3V. í DavidsenD
- 4D. ObbekjærD
- 6B. NolsøeM
- 11M. LindhM
- 12F. DrinicD
- 13T. AmosG
- 16P. KnudsenM
- 17J. BenjaminsenD
- 29E. JoensenM
- 33M. PrzybylskiF
Substitutes
- 1K. JoensenG
- 5A. ElíssonD
- 9T. HestadM
- 10K. OlsenF
- 22J. TrondargjogvD
- 28M. DanielsenF
- 30D. DanielsenG
FC Lugano
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 6A. PapadopoulosD
- 8A. GrgićM
- 11R. SteffenF
- 16D. von BallmoosG
- 17L. MaiD
- 18J. BichselD
- 21Y. CimignaniM
- 24E. PihlströmM
- 25U. BislimiM
- 27Daniel Dos SantosF
- 91K. BehrensF
Substitutes
- 3H. DelcroixD
- 4D. KelvinD
- 14A. KendouciM
- 22B. CastroF
- 23G. AjdinM
- 28F. GebhardtG
- 30D. MoncadaF
- 39C. NdiayeG
- 44João Victor Schlickmann CarboneD
- 46M. ZanottiD
NSI Runavik
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petur Knudsen(C) | M | 93 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tom Amos | G | 93 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marius Lindh | M | 79 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/6 |
| Sammy Skytte | F | 93 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jann Benjaminsen | D | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Beinir Nolsøe | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Obbekjær | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michał Przybylski | F | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Viljormur Davidsen | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Joensen | M | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Drinic | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kristian Joensen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Hestad | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Danielsen | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dánial Danielsen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jóel Tróndargjógv | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Klæmint Olsen | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Freyr Elísson | D | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Lugano
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uran Bislimi | M | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Renato Steffen(C) | F | 88 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Kevin Behrens | F | 93 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 7 | 4 | — | 0/1 |
| Anto Grgić | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Yanis Cimignani | M | 93 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Elias Pihlström | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Joel Bichsel | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Dos Santos | F | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Lars Lukas Mai | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David von Ballmoos | G | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Beckham Castro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hannes Delcroix | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gjan Ajdin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Kendouci | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dereck Moncada | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carbone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmadou Ndiaye | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Gebhardt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Kelvin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Zanotti | D | 30 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |