Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle
Match recap
Nottingham Forest and Newcastle drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Anderson scored for Nottingham Forest; Barnes replied for Newcastle. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.19 for Nottingham Forest versus 1.55 for Newcastle. Nottingham Forest sit 16th in the Premier League table while Newcastle are 12th.
Analysis
Nottingham Forest host Newcastle in what promises to be a closely contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players in form, a tight game is on the cards.
Historically, Newcastle have had the upper hand with 7 wins to Forest's 3 in their 13 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could level the playing field. Forest sit 16th in the league, while Newcastle are slightly better placed at 13th.
Forest's midfielder M. Gibbs-White is in scintillating form, netting 5 goals in his last 5 games, making him a constant threat. Newcastle's attacking options, including Igor Jesus, also bring goal threat, but the absence of Bruno Guimarães might blunt their creativity. Both defences have vulnerabilities, especially with Forest missing Neco Williams.
Prediction
Given the attacking talents on both sides and defensive frailties, a 1-1 draw looks the most probable outcome. The first half is expected to be cagey with a 0-0 scoreline, and the match could see around four cards as tensions rise.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Gibbs-White's Form vs Newcastle's Defense
Gibbs-White's recent scoring streak exploits Newcastle's defensive vulnerabilities, especially with key defenders injured.
Newcastle's Midfield Creativity at Risk
Bruno Guimarães' questionable fitness may reduce Newcastle's attacking midfield effectiveness and chance creation.
Forest's Home Scoring Momentum
Nottingham Forest has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong attacking momentum at home.
Defensive Absences for Nottingham Forest
Forest's defensive stalwart Neco Williams is injured, potentially weakening their defense against Newcastle's attackers.
Igor Jesus' Consistent Contribution
Igor Jesus shows consistent goal and assist contributions, making him a dual threat in attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a competitive match with both teams sharing the spoils. Forest's home momentum and Gibbs-White's form will be key, but Newcastle's resilience should ensure they leave with a point.
- In 13 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 3, Newcastle 7, with 3 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.7 total goals.
- Nottingham Forest are ranked 16th with 42 points from 35 games.
- Newcastle are ranked 13th with 45 points from 35 games.
- M. Gibbs-White has scored 5 goals in his last 5 games for Forest.
- Igor Jesus has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games.
- Bruno Guimarães is questionable due to injury, impacting Newcastle's midfield.
- Forest's defender Neco Williams is injured, potentially weakening their defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nottingham Forest
Away — Newcastle
No standout top scorers flagged for Newcastle
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Domínguez
Igor Jesus
Yellow Card
Yates
Yellow Card
Murphy
Woltemade
Bakwa
Osula
Awoniyi
Barnes
Assist: Ramsey
Netz
Igor Jesus
Anderson
Assist: McAtee
Guimarães
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3N. WilliamsM
- 4MoratoD
- 8E. AndersonM
- 9T. AwoniyiF
- 16N. DomínguezM
- 19Igor JesusF
- 23JairD
- 25L. NetzM
- 26M. SelsG
- 29D. BakwaF
- 31N. MilenkovićD
Substitutes
- 11C. WoodF
- 17Eric Emanuel da Silva MoreiraF
- 20L. LuccaF
- 21O. HutchinsonF
- 22R. YatesM
- 24J. McAteeM
- 27S. OrtegaG
- 51A. WhitehallM
- 61J. SinclairM
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. PopeG
- 3L. HallD
- 4S. BotmanD
- 7JoelintonM
- 8S. TonaliM
- 12M. ThiawD
- 18W. OsulaF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 27N. WoltemadeM
- 33D. BurnD
- 39Bruno GuimarãesM
Substitutes
- 2K. TrippierD
- 9Y. WissaF
- 10A. GordonF
- 11H. BarnesM
- 20A. ElangaF
- 28J. WillockM
- 32A. RamsdaleG
- 37A. MurphyD
- 41J. RamseyM
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Anderson | M | 98 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Luca Netz | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Matz Sels | G | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morato | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Dilane Bakwa | F | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Neco Williams(C) | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Milenković | D | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jair | D | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | F | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefan Ortega | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Whitehall | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric da Silva Moreira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Sinclair | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | F | 34 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| James McAtee | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Yates | M | 53 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Chris Wood | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sven Botman | D | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lewis Hall | D | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Guimarães(C) | M | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Joelinton | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3/6 |
| Sandro Tonali | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nick Woltemade | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nick Pope | G | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| William Osula | F | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kieran Trippier | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willock | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Ramsdale | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Gordon | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Murphy | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Barnes | M | 37 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 37 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yoane Wissa | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |