Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
Stach stuns Forest with late winner
Leeds snatch a narrow victory at the City Ground thanks to an 88th-minute strike.
In a tight Premier League encounter, Leeds edged Nottingham Forest 1-0 with A. Stach's decisive goal just before the final whistle. The visitors' late breakthrough defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, turning the expected outcome on its head. Forest were left to rue missed opportunities as Leeds secured all three points in dramatic fashion.
Analysis
The new football season kicks off with Nottingham Forest facing Leeds in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams will be eager to start on the front foot, setting the tone for the months ahead.
As the curtain rises on the 2026 campaign, Nottingham Forest and Leeds prepare to battle it out in their first league fixture. Last season saw both sides finish in the mid-table pack, making this opener a chance to gain early momentum and assert their ambitions for the new term.
The prediction leans towards a Nottingham Forest victory, with a 33% aggregated probability for a home win, notably the 2-1 scoreline being the most likely outcome. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, suggesting Forest will take an early lead and hold on despite Leeds' efforts. Both teams have shown competitive spirit in previous seasons, so expect a tightly contested match with around four cards likely to be issued.
Prediction
Expect Nottingham Forest to start strong and lead at halftime by 1-0. Leeds will push back in the second half, but Forest should hold firm to secure a 2-1 win. The match will be competitive, with a moderate number of fouls and cards adding to the intensity.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
This season opener sets the stage for an intriguing campaign. Nottingham Forest's predicted narrow victory over Leeds could provide them with the confidence boost needed early on, while Leeds will look to bounce back in their next fixtures. Fans can anticipate a spirited contest with goals and some robust challenges.
- Nottingham Forest are predicted to win with a 33% aggregated probability for home victory.
- The most likely fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Nottingham Forest.
- Halftime score prediction is 1-0, consistent with the fulltime result.
- Total cards expected in the match are around four, indicating a competitive game.
- Leeds finished last season slightly higher in the league standings than Nottingham Forest.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Head to Head
Aina
Yellow Card
Goal Disallowed - offside
Calvert-Lewin
Yellow Card
Jair
Yellow Card
Ndoye
Wilson
McAtee
Aina
Aaronson
Stach
Murillo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 14 |  Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3N. WilliamsM
- 5MurilloD
- 6I. SangaréM
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteF
- 11Igor JesusF
- 14D. NdoyeF
- 23JairD
- 24J. McAteeM
- 26M. SelsG
- 31N. MilenkovićD
- 34O. AinaM
Substitutes
- 2O. DiomandeD
- 7C. Hudson-OdoiF
- 8N. DomínguezM
- 9C. WoodF
- 12JohnG
- 15A. KalimuendoF
- 21X. SchlagerM
- 25L. NetzD
- 44Z. AbbottD
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. TraffordG
- 2J. BogleM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 6J. RodonD
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 10H. WilsonF
- 11B. AaronsonF
- 15J. BijolD
- 18A. StachM
- 24J. JustinM
Substitutes
- 7D. JamesF
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 14L. NmechaF
- 19N. OkaforF
- 22A. TanakaM
- 23Lucas PerriG
- 30N. ElvediD
- 50A. CresswellM
- 65J. LienouD
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McAtee | M | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Murillo | D | 63 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ola Aina | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 |
| Matz Sels | G | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jair | D | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nikola Milenković | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Morgan Gibbs-White(C) | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/5 |
| Dan Ndoye | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Neco Williams | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Callum Hudson Odoi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Abbott | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Netz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnaud Kalimuendo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Victor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Wood | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Justin | M | 63 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Ampadu(C) | M | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| James Trafford | G | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 63 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Harry Wilson | F | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Joe Rodon | D | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brenden Aaronson | F | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jayden Bogle | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jayden Lienou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Cresswell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel James | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Okafor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Perri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |