Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
Match recap
Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Gibbs-White scored for Nottingham Forest; Tavernier replied for Bournemouth. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.87 for Nottingham Forest versus 1.00 for Bournemouth. Nottingham Forest sit 16th in the Premier League table while Bournemouth are 6th.
Analysis
As the curtain falls on the 2025/26 season, Nottingham Forest host Bournemouth in a fixture that promises a competitive edge. Both sides have had their moments, but recent form and squad availability hint at an away win.
Nottingham Forest sit 16th with 43 points, struggling for consistency, while Bournemouth enjoy a comfortable 6th place with 56 points. Historically, Bournemouth have dominated this fixture, winning 8 of 15 encounters, with Forest only managing 2 victories.
Bournemouth's attacking momentum is clear, having scored in their last five matches, while Forest face the challenge of missing key players like Hudson-Odoi and Murillo, impacting both creativity and defensive solidity. Midfielder M. Gibbs-White remains Forest's standout performer with 14 goals, but Bournemouth's overall form and head-to-head advantage give them the upper hand.
Prediction
Expect a tight first half with no goals, but Bournemouth to edge the contest 2-1 by fulltime. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, acknowledging the close nature of the fixture.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Gibbs-White's Form vs Bournemouth Defense
Gibbs-White's recent scoring streak exploits Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities effectively.
Anderson's Passing and Defensive Impact
Anderson's superior passing accuracy and tackling provide midfield control advantage for Forest.
Absence of Hudson-Odoi and Murillo Weakens Forest Attack and Defense
Missing key attacker and defender reduces Forest's creativity and defensive solidity.
Bournemouth's Consistent Scoring Streak
Bournemouth has scored in last 5 matches, indicating strong attacking momentum away from home.
Milenković and Williams Defensive Stability
Their defensive consistency and passing accuracy help Forest maintain structure under pressure.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Bournemouth's consistent scoring and superior league position, combined with Forest's injury woes, point towards an away victory. Fans can anticipate a spirited match with Bournemouth clinching the points in the final whistle drama.
- Bournemouth lead head-to-head with 8 wins to Forest's 2 in 15 meetings.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring.
- Bournemouth rank 6th with 56 points; Nottingham Forest 16th with 43 points.
- Forest's M. Gibbs-White is top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- Bournemouth have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong form.
- Forest miss key players Hudson-Odoi and Murillo due to injury.
- Predicted total cards in the match is 4, suggesting a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nottingham Forest
Away — Bournemouth
No standout top scorers flagged for Bournemouth
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hill
Yellow Card
Gibbs-White
Assist: Hutchinson
Tavernier
Assist: Truffert
Tóth
Wood
Jair
Anderson
Sangaré
Awoniyi
Yellow Card
Rayan
Kroupi
Evanilson
Hutchinson
Smith
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3N. WilliamsD
- 4MoratoD
- 6I. SangaréM
- 8E. AndersonM
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 11C. WoodF
- 19Igor JesusF
- 21O. HutchinsonM
- 23JairD
- 26M. SelsG
- 31N. MilenkovićD
Substitutes
- 9T. AwoniyiF
- 14D. NdoyeF
- 16N. DomínguezM
- 22R. YatesM
- 24J. McAteeM
- 25L. NetzD
- 27S. OrtegaG
- 44Z. AbbottD
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5M. SenesiD
- 9EvanilsonF
- 12T. AdamsM
- 15A. SmithD
- 16M. TavernierM
- 22E. KroupiM
- 23J. HillD
- 27A. TóthM
- 37RayanM
Substitutes
- 4L. CookM
- 7D. BrooksM
- 11B. DoakF
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 19J. KluivertF
- 21A. AdliF
- 26E. ÜnalF
- 29C. MandasG
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Hutchinson | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 0/4 |
| Nikola Milenković | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Morgan Gibbs-White(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Morato | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 65 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Neco Williams | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Matz Sels | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Wood | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jair | D | 63 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dan Ndoye | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Abbott | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Ortega | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Yates | M | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Netz | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| James McAtee | M | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Tavernier | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2/3 |
| Adrien Truffert | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Marcos Senesi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Smith(C) | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Evanilson | F | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Rayan | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Alex Tóth | M | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| James Hill | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | M | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Đorđe Petrović | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bafodé Diakité | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Mandas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Brooks | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Adli | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Justin Kluivert | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lewis Cook | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | F | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Enes Ünal | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |