Norwich vs Bolton
Bolton edge thrilling seven-goal thriller at Norwich
A seesaw battle sees Bolton snatch a narrow 4-3 victory after a frantic start and a flurry of goals.
Norwich and Bolton served up a seven-goal spectacle with early strikes from M. Touré and T. Gale setting the tone. Bolton's Gaizka Larrazabal and S. Dalby turned the tide just before and after the break, while Norwich's J. Stacey kept hopes alive. However, A. Ito's goal sealed Bolton's narrow win, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Norwich clean sheet.
Outcome probability
Norwich and Bolton face off in what promises to be a one-sided affair, with Norwich holding the upper hand in league position and recent form.
Match factors
Norwich's attacking trio in strong form
Mohamed Touré leads with 4 goals in last 5, supported by Brooks and Kvistgaarden, boosting Norwich's scoring potential
José Córdoba's passing dominance
Córdoba's 65.8 passes per game and 82% accuracy surpass league defender averages, aiding Norwich's build-up
Norwich's positive scoring streak at home
Norwich scored in last 3 home games, averaging 2.3 goals, indicating strong home attacking form
Key Bolton defender out, others doubtful
Bolton's confirmed out defender Stephenson weakens defense; doubtful defenders Brunt and Famewo add uncertainty
Bolton's defensive stalwart Forino-Joseph
Forino-Joseph's 79% duel win rate and high tackles make him crucial to Bolton's defense against Norwich attack
The context
Norwich currently sit 10th in the league with 9 points from 6 games, while Bolton are down in 17th with 7 points from 7 matches. The Canaries boast a positive goal difference of +1, contrasting sharply with Bolton's -5, highlighting the gulf in both attack and defence.
Key insights
Mohamed Touré
Norwich
Touré’s 4 goals in last 5 games and strong home form make him the key threat for Norwich.
Championship 26/274 goals in last 5 games, 0.8 goals/game last 5
- J
José Córdoba Chambers
Norwich
Córdoba’s passing dominance with 65.8 passes per game and 82% accuracy aids Norwich’s build-up play.
Championship 26/2765.8 passes per game, 82% accuracy
- C
Chris Forino-Joseph
Bolton
Forino-Joseph’s 79% duel win rate and defensive work are crucial for Bolton’s backline.
Championship 26/2779% duel win rate
Analysis
Norwich's attacking trio, led by Mohamed Touré who has netted 4 goals in his last 5 games, is in fine fettle. Touré's home form is particularly impressive, scoring twice in as many home matches. Supporting him are Andre Chance Brooks and Mathias Damm Kvistgaarden, adding to Norwich's scoring threat. Defensively, Norwich benefit from José Córdoba Chambers, whose passing accuracy and volume help control the game. Bolton's defence will rely heavily on Chris Forino-Joseph, a defensive stalwart with a 79% duel win rate, but the absence of key defender Stephenson and doubts over others weaken their backline.
Key facts
- 1.Norwich are 10th with 9 points from 6 games (W3 D0 L3).
- 2.Bolton are 17th with 7 points from 7 games (W2 D1 L4).
- 3.Norwich have a goal difference of +1; Bolton have -5.
- 4.Norwich average 1.50 points per game; Bolton average 1.00.
- 5.Mohamed Touré has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games.
- 6.José Córdoba Chambers leads Norwich in passes per game with 65.8 and 82% accuracy.
- 7.Bolton's Chris Forino-Joseph has a 79% duel win rate.
- 8.Bolton's defender Stephenson is out, weakening their defence.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-0 victory for Norwich. Their superior points per game, goal difference, and attacking form suggest they will comfortably outscore Bolton. While the confidence in the exact scoreline is low due to limited match history, the overall expectation is a dominant home win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Norwich
Away — Bolton
The verdict
Expect Norwich to assert their dominance early and maintain control throughout, with Bolton struggling to contain their hosts. Mohamed Touré is the man to watch for goals, while Bolton will need a defensive masterclass from Forino-Joseph to keep the scoreline respectable.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Touré
Assist: Brooks
Gale
Assist: Ruben Rodrigues
Touré
McConville
Assist: Schwartau
Larrazabal
Assist: Conway
Dalby
Assist: Dong
Musaba
Schwartau
Stacey
Assist: Maghoma
Dong
Ruben Rodrigues
Ito
Assist: Iling-Junior
Brooks
Larrazabal
Dalby
Match Statistics
Norwich
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1V. KovačevićG
- 3J. StaceyD
- 7P. MattssonM
- 11A. BrooksM
- 14B. ChriseneD
- 15Ruairi McConvilleD
- 21M. TouréF
- 23K. McLeanM
- 29O. SchwartauM
- 33J. CórdobaD
- 49A. MusabaM
Substitutes
- 6H. DarlingD
- 13D. YongwaD
- 16Jacob WrightM
- 17A. CrnacF
- 24J. MakamaF
- 25P. MaghomaM
- 26S. FieldM
- 32D. GrimshawG
- 35K. FisherD
Bolton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6B. DaviesD
- 7K. DongM
- 8J. SheehanM
- 10S. DalbyF
- 11T. GaleM
- 18E. ToalD
- 20Ruben RodriguesM
- 21E. ErhahonM
- 22Gaizka LarrazabalD
- 25M. ConwayD
- 31G. BazunuG
Substitutes
- 1J. BonhamG
- 4X. SimonsM
- 9T. BairF
- 12D. WatsonM
- 14A. FamewoD
- 16S. Iling-JuniorF
- 17A. ItoM
- 26J. NelsonF
- 45J. McAteeF
Norwich
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Touré | F | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ruairi McConville | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. Stacey | D | 90 | 6.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Brooks | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| A. Crnac | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Makama | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mattsson | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. McLean | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Maghoma | M | 31 | 6.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| V. Kovačević | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Musaba | M | 59 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jacob Wright | M | 31 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Chrisene | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| D. Yongwa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Grimshaw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Field | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Darling | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bolton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dalby | F | 92 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| T. Gale | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | D | 83 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Ito | M | 20 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Iling-Junior | F | 20 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Dong | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| B. Davies | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Conway | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Toal | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Erhahon | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| G. Bazunu | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| X. Simons | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Watson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McAtee | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bair | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bonham | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Famewo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Norwich vs Bolton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Norwich to win against Bolton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Norwich vs Bolton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Norwich 3–0 Bolton.
- What were the win probabilities for Norwich vs Bolton?
- Fipster's model gave Norwich a 35% chance of winning, Bolton a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.