Norway vs France

World CupMatchweek 3

Norway

WWLWW
FIFA#12
Full Time
14
HT: 13

France

WWWWW
FIFA#3
Ref: M. OliverGillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts · 68,756 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinmediumHit
Full-time story

Dembélé's hat-trick powers France past Norway

France's early blitz and late flourish secure a commanding 4-1 World Cup victory.

Ousmane Dembélé was the star of the show, netting a first-half hat-trick to put France firmly in control against Norway. Despite a quick reply from T. Aasgaard, France's dominance was clear, capped off by a late goal from D. Doué in stoppage time. Norway's missed penalty at 50' was a costly blow. Fipster's prediction of a French win was spot on, though the margin was more emphatic than expected.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
12
HT 0–1
Final Result
14
HT 1–3
86%Excellent
A
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review28 Jun 2026

Analysis

As the group stage nears its conclusion, Norway face a stern test against France. Both teams have shown strong form, but France's deeper squad calibre could prove decisive in this closely contested match.

Norway, with three prior World Cup appearances and a best finish of Round of 16 in 1998, topped their qualifying group with 24 points and a +32 goal difference. France, boasting 16 World Cup appearances and two titles (1998, 2018), also qualified directly, finishing first in their group with 16 points and a +12 goal difference. Neither team is hosting the tournament.

The match-up features a moderate calibre edge to France, with 24 of their 26 players competing in top-five European leagues, including stars like L. Hernández and O. Dembélé. Norway counters with 17 players in top leagues, led by E. Haaland. Norway's perfect recent form (five wins) is impressive, but France's strong run (four wins, one draw) and UEFA competition experience give them the upper hand. Tactical battles such as Haaland versus Upamecano will be key.


Prediction

Expect France to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted half-time score of 0-1. Norway will respond, but France's quality should secure a 2-1 victory. The game is likely to be competitive with around three cards shown, reflecting the high stakes and intensity.

Outcome probability

Norway 19%Draw 19%France 62%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Haaland vs Upamecano Duel

Haaland's scoring form challenges Upamecano's defensive solidity; key matchup for Norway's goal threat

Statistical Edgehigh

France's Creative Midfield Dominance

Olise and Rabiot's high assist rates and passing accuracy give France an edge in chance creation

Form Momentumhigh

Mbappé's Recent Scoring Surge

Mbappé's 4 goals in last 2 matches boost France's attacking confidence and goal expectancy

Tactical Advantagemedium

Møller Wolfe's Offensive Support

Norway's defender Møller Wolfe provides attacking width and assists, potentially stretching France's defense

Injury Impacthigh

No Key Injuries Reported

Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical consistency

Key Takeaways

This encounter promises a tight contest with France's superior squad depth likely tipping the scales. Norway's resilience and home advantage will keep them in the game, but the French flair and experience should see them through to a narrow win.

  • Norway has 3 prior World Cup appearances; best finish: Round of 16 (1998).
  • France has 16 prior World Cup appearances; best finish: Champions (1998, 2018).
  • Norway topped their qualifying group with 24 points and a +32 goal difference.
  • France topped their qualifying group with 16 points and a +12 goal difference.
  • France's squad features 24 of 26 players in top-five European leagues.
  • Norway's squad features 17 of 26 players in top-five European leagues.
  • Norway's recent form is perfect with 5 wins in last 5 matches.
  • France's recent form is strong with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeNorway

E. Haaland

E. Haaland

Attacker

Norway

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.21
1 played
1 starts
95 mins
~95 mins/game
L. Østigård

L. Østigård

Defender

Norway

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.21
1 played
22 mins
~22 mins/game

AwayFrance

Kylian Mbappé

Kylian Mbappé

Attacker

France

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.21
1 played
1 starts
97 mins
~97 mins/game
B. Barcola

B. Barcola

Attacker

France

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.21
1 played
17 mins
~17 mins/game