Norway vs Denmark
Haaland shines as Norway edge Denmark
A thrilling five-goal encounter sees Norway hold on for a narrow win.
Norway secured a 3-2 victory over Denmark in the UEFA Nations League, with Erling Haaland starring by netting twice, including the decisive goal in the 74th minute. Oscar Bobb's early strike set the tone before Denmark fought back through M. Damsgaard and R. Højlund, keeping the contest tight. Despite the close scoreline, Norway managed to hold their lead, and Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was ultimately on the money.
Analysis
The upcoming fixture between Norway and Denmark promises an intriguing battle, with both sides boasting talented attackers and solid squads. Fans can expect a competitive encounter with plenty of tactical nuances.
This match marks the opening round of the competition, setting the tone for both teams. Norway and Denmark enter with full squads, aiming to assert early dominance and gain valuable points.
Norway's attacking threat is spearheaded by Erling Haaland, whose physicality and clinical finishing pose a significant challenge to Denmark's defence. Denmark will rely on the crossing prowess of fullback J. Mæhle to supply their forwards, including creative midfielder Christian Eriksen. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a tight contest, with both teams likely to find the net but Norway holding a slight edge.
Prediction
The forecast favours a home win for Norway with a 2-1 scoreline. The confidence level stands at 35%, indicating a moderate but clear preference for Norway to come out on top in this closely matched fixture.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Haaland's Physicality vs Denmark Defense
Haaland's strength and finishing could exploit Denmark's defensive vulnerabilities, especially aerially
Denmark's Wide Play Threat
Mæhle's crossing and assist ability provide Denmark with strong wing service to forwards
Højlund's Potential Impact if Fit
Rising Napoli forward could influence match outcome if passed fitness test
No Confirmed Injuries for Either Side
Both teams have full squads available, maximizing tactical options
Key Takeaways
Expect a spirited encounter with Norway just shading the contest thanks to Haaland's influence and home advantage. Denmark will push hard, but Norway's attacking edge should secure the three points.
- Erling Haaland is the top Norway striker with a 65% chance to score.
- Denmark's J. Mæhle is known for his crossing and assist ability.
- Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is four.
- The most likely full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Norway.
- Denmark's Christian Eriksen is a key creative and scoring threat.
- Rising Napoli forward R. Højlund could impact if fit.
- The match is the first round of the competition.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Norway
Away — Denmark
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Bobb
Assist: Ødegaard
Haaland
Assist: Nusa
Damsgaard
Kristensen
Yellow Card
Højlund
Berg
Bobb
Aursnes
Møller Wolfe
Yellow Card
Dorgu
Yellow Card
Haaland
Assist: Ødegaard
Mow Froholdt
Dorgu
Højlund
Damsgaard
Hjulmand
Nusa
Isaksen
Yellow Card
Møller Wolfe
Red Card
Match Statistics
Norway
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 3K. AjerD
- 6P. BergM
- 7F. AursnesD
- 8S. BergeM
- 9E. HaalandF
- 10M. ØdegaardM
- 14J. RyersonD
- 17T. HeggemD
- 20A. NusaF
- 22Oscar BobbF
Substitutes
- 2O. BjørtuftD
- 4L. ØstigårdD
- 5D. Møller WolfeD
- 11J. Strand LarsenF
- 12S. TangvikG
- 13E. SelvikG
- 15O. Didrik BlombergM
- 16M. PedersenD
- 18K. ThorstvedtM
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 21A. SchjelderupF
- 23E. BotheimF
Denmark
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. AndersenD
- 3O. ProvstgaardD
- 5J. MæhleD
- 7Victor Mow FroholdtM
- 9R. HøjlundF
- 13R. KristensenD
- 14M. DamsgaardM
- 17P. DorguM
- 21M. HjulmandM
- 22F. JörgensenG
- 23P. HøjbjergM
Substitutes
- 1A. JungdalG
- 4L. HøgsbergD
- 6V. NelssonD
- 8G. IsaksenF
- 10T. JørgensenM
- 11A. DaghimF
- 12M. BidstrupM
- 15V. Bak JensenD
- 16M. HermansenG
- 18A. GaaeiD
- 19K. HøghF
- 20A. GrønbækM
Norway
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | F | 90 | 9.5 | 2 | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 90 | 8.3 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Oscar Bobb | F | 66 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Berge | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Nusa | F | 89 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 4/12 |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| T. Heggem | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Berg | M | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Aursnes | D | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Aasgaard | M | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 1 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Møller Wolfe | D | 27 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tangvik | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Botheim | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Østigård | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Selvik | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Bjørtuft | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Didrik Blomberg | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Denmark
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Højlund | F | 82 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5/5 |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Jörgensen | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Dorgu | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| J. Mæhle | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Kristensen | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Jørgensen | M | 2 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 75 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Grønbæk | M | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 15 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hermansen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Nelsson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Bak Jensen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jungdal | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Daghim | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Norway vs Denmark?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Norway to win against Denmark.
- What score did Fipster predict for Norway vs Denmark?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Norway 2–1 Denmark.
- What were the win probabilities for Norway vs Denmark?
- Fipster's model gave Norway a 35% chance of winning, Denmark a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.







