NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Ref: M. MarchettiStadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin · 10,800 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
FK Jablonec 4 3 NK Varazdin
Advances:
FK Jablonec

Match recap

NK Varazdin beat FK Jablonec 3–2 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

2-1 NK Varazdin win

Actual

3–2

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

NK Varazdin 65%Draw 18%FK Jablonec 17%

The 2nd Qualifying Round fixture between NK Varazdin and FK Jablonec promises an engaging contest, with both sides eager to progress. Varazdin's attacking prowess at home and Jablonec's resilience set the stage for a tight encounter.

Match factors

Form Momentumhigh

FK Jablonec's Midfielder Vakhtang Tchanturishvili Shows Scoring Form

Tchanturishvili has scored 1 goal in 6 appearances this season, showing good recent form especially at home with 1 goal in 2 home games.

Head To Head Factormedium

NK Varazdin's I. Mamut and Iuri Tavares Scored in Last Meeting

Both Mamut and Tavares scored in the recent fixture against FK Jablonec, indicating their potential to impact this rematch.

Statistical Edgemedium

NK Varazdin Strong Home Scoring Record

NK Varazdin averages 3 goals scored per home game, well above league average, suggesting home advantage in attack.

Injury Impacthigh

No Confirmed Injuries for Either Team

Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads available, maintaining tactical stability.

The context

NK Varazdin have played two matches in this competition so far, with a record of one win and one loss, scoring three goals and conceding four. FK Jablonec have a more extensive run with six matches played, winning four and losing two, netting nine goals and conceding five. Their recent knockout success includes a 1-0 home win against Rangers in the Playoff round.

Analysis

Varazdin's home scoring average of three goals per game suggests they will pose a significant threat, especially with key players like I. Mamut and Iuri Tavares, both of whom scored in their last meeting against Jablonec. Jablonec's top scorer Vakhtang Tchanturishvili, with one goal in six appearances, remains a danger, particularly given his recent form at home. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical stability. The head-to-head record slightly favours Varazdin, having won their only previous encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.NK Varazdin have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 3 / GA 4).
  2. 2.FK Jablonec have played 6 matches in this competition (W4 D0 L2, GF 9 / GA 5).
  3. 3.FK Jablonec's most recent knockout result was a 1-0 home win against Rangers in the Playoff round.
  4. 4.NK Varazdin have a strong home scoring record, averaging 3 goals per home game.
  5. 5.In their only head-to-head meeting, NK Varazdin won 1-0 against FK Jablonec.
  6. 6.Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads are available.
  7. 7.The predicted match will likely see 3 cards, indicating a competitive encounter.

Prediction

We predict a 2-1 victory for NK Varazdin, with a halftime lead of 1-0. This aligns with the most probable scoreline and reflects Varazdin's home advantage and attacking capabilities. The match is expected to feature three cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — NK Varazdin

I. Mamut

I. Mamut

Forward

NK Varazdin

Total Goals
0
League avg: 0.16
Iuri Tavares

Iuri Tavares

Midfielder

NK Varazdin

Total Goals
0
League avg: 0.16

Away — FK Jablonec

Vakhtang Tchanturishvili

Vakhtang Tchanturishvili

Midfielder

FK Jablonec

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.16
6 played
6 starts
210 mins
~35 mins/game

The verdict

In summary, NK Varazdin's home form and key player contributions should see them through to a narrow win over FK Jablonec. Expect a lively match with goals and a few cards, but ultimately a home victory to progress in the competition.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:29 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?
Fipster's AI model predicted NK Varazdin to win against FK Jablonec.
What score did Fipster predict for NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?
Fipster predicted a final score of NK Varazdin 2–1 FK Jablonec.
What were the win probabilities for NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?
Fipster's model gave NK Varazdin a 65% chance of winning, FK Jablonec a 17% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 65% confidence — a high-confidence call.