Nice vs Strasbourg
Nice edge Strasbourg in tight tussle
A late strike seals a narrow victory for the home side.
Strasbourg took the lead through Dário Essugo just before half-time, but Nice levelled thanks to an own goal by P. Diop in stoppage time of the first half. J. Clauss then clinched the win for Nice with a second-half goal. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win proved spot on.
Outcome probability
This Ligue 1 encounter sees Nice and Strasbourg face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both sides have had mixed fortunes so far this season, with Strasbourg enjoying better form in the league standings. Expect a tactical battle with moments of attacking flair.
Match factors
Strasbourg's attacking midfielders lead scoring
Strasbourg's top scorers are midfielders with strong recent goal form, boosting their scoring chances.
Nice's defense relies on strong passing defenders
Nice's defenders like Mandza Tsiendi excel in passing and tackling, aiding build-up and defense.
Strasbourg on a scoring streak despite conceding
Strasbourg has scored in 4 consecutive games but also concedes frequently, indicating open play.
Nice missing key midfielders and defenders
Nice has 4 confirmed outs including midfielders and defenders, weakening squad depth and creativity.
The context
Strasbourg currently sit 7th in the league with 7 points from 5 games, showing more consistency than Nice, who are 18th with just 2 points from 4 matches. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with Strasbourg holding a slight edge in wins. This fixture is part of the regular season's sixth round, where every point counts.
Key insights
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
Strong scoring form with 2 goals in limited minutes, especially effective away from home.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals in 4 games, 118 mins avg, 0.5 goals/game
Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
Key attacking midfielder with 2 goals this season and good tackling stats, driving Strasbourg’s offense.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals in 4 games, 347 mins avg, 0.5 goals/game
Algot Nanasi
Strasbourg
Top assister with 2 assists, creative influence and set-piece threat.
Ligue 1 26/272 assists in 4 games, 313 mins avg, 0.5 assists/game
- X
X. Mandza Tsiendi
Nice
Defensive stalwart with strong tackling and passing, crucial for Nice’s defensive stability.
Ligue 1 26/27Above average tackling rate (2+ per game), strong duel win rate (~60%)
Analysis
Strasbourg's midfielders have been the main source of goals this season, with players like Samuel Amo-Ameyaw and Gessime Yassine leading the charge. However, Nice's defence, anchored by the reliable Mandza Tsiendi, has shown resilience despite some injury setbacks. Strasbourg's tendency to concede goals could be exploited by Nice, who will look to capitalise on their home advantage and the creative spark from their midfield.
Key facts
- 1.In 18 meetings, Nice have won 6, Strasbourg 7, with 5 draws, indicating a balanced rivalry.
- 2.Strasbourg are 7th in the league with 7 points from 5 games (W2 D1 L2).
- 3.Nice are 18th with 2 points from 4 games (W0 D2 L2), struggling for form.
- 4.Strasbourg average 1.40 points per game, surpassing Nice's 0.50 PPG.
- 5.Strasbourg's top scorers are midfielders with strong recent goal form.
- 6.Nice's Mandza Tsiendi excels in tackling and passing, key for their defence.
- 7.Nice are missing four key players, impacting midfield and defence depth.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Nice with a 2-1 scoreline. This outcome reflects a moderate edge for Nice, who are expected to overcome Strasbourg's better league form through tactical discipline and key contributions from their attacking midfielders. The match should be competitive, but Nice's home performance and defensive solidity give them the slight upper hand.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nice
No standout top scorers flagged for Nice
Away — Strasbourg
The verdict
In summary, while Strasbourg have shown stronger form this season, Nice's home advantage and ability to convert chances should see them narrowly claim victory. Fans can anticipate an engaging match with goals from both sides, but ultimately a 2-1 win for Nice looks the most likely result.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Coulibaly
Dário Essugo
Assist: Harder
Diop (OG)
Oso
Yellow Card
Harder
Sousa
Dário Essugo
Wahi
Amo-Ameyaw
Diop
Yellow Card
Mitchell
Clauss
Assist: Diop
Witsel
Hein
Match Statistics
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 7G. HeinM
- 9M. AmouraM
- 11E. WahiF
- 23Y. DioufG
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 28A. WitselM
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 92J. ClaussM
Substitutes
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 10S. DiopM
- 21I. JanssonF
- 36A. SeiduD
- 38A. CamaraM
- 41D. MoranaF
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 84H. KoutouneD
- 87E. PereiraM
Strasbourg
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1F. JörgensenG
- 4J. MitchellD
- 7S. Amo-AmeyawF
- 14Dário EssugoM
- 16G. AntwiD
- 21P. DiopM
- 23Diogo SousaM
- 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
- 36OsoD
- 40C. HarderF
- 80Gessime YassineF
Substitutes
- 10G. ReynaM
- 12M. PiekutowskiG
- 19Fabio Amadu Uri BaldéF
- 24L. HøgsbergD
- 28Tyrese NoubissieM
- 29S. El MourabetM
- 30J. OrtegaF
- 43Y. BeckerD
Nice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Clauss | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Diouf | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Hein | M | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| H. Boudaoui | M | 53 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| X. Mandza Tsiendi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| I. Jansson | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Witsel | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Nkounkou | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/5 |
| D. Coulibaly | M | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Pereira | M | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 17 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Wahi | F | 73 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| M. Amoura | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| T. Boulhendi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Seidu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Koutoune | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Camara | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Morana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Strasbourg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dário Essugo | M | 73 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| G. Antwi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| C. Harder | F | 63 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Jörgensen | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/8 |
| Diogo Sousa | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Diop | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Oso | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | F | 73 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 4/8 |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 17 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ortega | F | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Noubissie | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Piekutowski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Becker | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Nice vs Strasbourg?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nice to win against Strasbourg.
- What score did Fipster predict for Nice vs Strasbourg?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Nice 2–1 Strasbourg.
- What were the win probabilities for Nice vs Strasbourg?
- Fipster's model gave Nice a 51% chance of winning, Strasbourg a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.