Nice vs Rennes
Nice storm past Rennes in five-goal blitz
E. Wahi's hat-trick and two penalties set the tone for a commanding home victory.
Nice delivered a dominant performance against Rennes, cruising to a 5-2 win in Ligue 1. E. Wahi was the star of the show, netting a hat-trick including two penalties, while J. Clauss and M. Amoura also contributed to the home side's tally. Rennes managed to respond with goals from S. Szymański and B. Dia, but it was never enough to stem the Nice tide. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, even if the scoreline was more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
As the Ligue 1 regular season reaches its ninth round, Nice and Rennes prepare to face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both sides have shown competitive form, but the prediction leans towards a strong performance from Nice.
Match factors
Rennes missing top scorer Lepaul
Esteban Lepaul is confirmed out due to ankle injury, removing their leading goal threat
Nice's Wahi in strong scoring form
Wahi has 3 goals this season with 2 in last 5 games, boosting Nice's attack potential
Nice's attacking midfielders provide creative support
Diop and Clauss offer solid assist potential, enhancing chances for forwards
Nice's positive scoring streak at home
Nice has scored in 3 consecutive home games, supporting predicted 3 goals
Rongier's defensive midfield role key for Rennes
Rongier's tackling and interceptions help shield defense against Nice's attack
The context
Rennes currently sit slightly above Nice in the league standings, occupying seventh place with 13 points from seven games, while Nice are ninth with 11 points from eight matches. Historically, their head-to-head clashes have been fairly balanced, with Nice winning half of their 20 meetings against Rennes, who have won five, and five matches ending in draws. These encounters typically produce a decent number of goals, averaging 2.6 per game.
Key insights
E. Wahi
Nice
Wahi has been a consistent goal threat with 3 goals this season, including 2 in the last 5 games, making him a key player for Nice's attack.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in 7 games, 0.43 goals/game
- E
Esteban Lepaul
Rennes
Lepaul is ruled out with an ankle injury, removing Rennes' leading goal threat and weakening their offensive options.
Ligue 1 26/277 goals this season
S. Diop
Nice
Diop is Nice's top assister with 2 assists, providing crucial creative support to forwards like Wahi.
Ligue 1 26/272 assists in 8 games, 0.25 assists/game
J. Clauss
Nice
Clauss contributes with assists and set-piece duties, enhancing Nice's attacking chances at home.
Ligue 1 26/271 assist in 8 games, 0.13 assists/game
Analysis
Nice have been finding the net consistently at home, scoring in their last three home fixtures, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Their striker, E. Wahi, has been in fine form with three goals this season, including two in the last five games, making him a key threat. Supporting him, midfielders like S. Diop and J. Clauss provide creative spark and assist potential, enhancing Nice's offensive options. Rennes, on the other hand, will miss their top scorer Esteban Lepaul due to an ankle injury, which could blunt their attacking edge. Their defensive midfield anchor, V. Rongier, will be crucial in trying to contain Nice's forward momentum.
Key facts
- 1.Nice have won 10 of 20 matches against Rennes, with 5 draws and 5 losses.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals per game between these teams.
- 3.Rennes are 7th in the league with 13 points from 7 games.
- 4.Nice are 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games.
- 5.Nice have scored in their last three home games.
- 6.E. Wahi has scored 3 goals this season, including 2 in the last 5 games.
- 7.Rennes' top scorer Esteban Lepaul is out with an ankle injury.
- 8.S. Diop and J. Clauss provide creative support for Nice's attack.
Prediction
The forecast suggests Nice will take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up, and then extend their advantage to secure a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by Nice, who should capitalise on their home form and attacking strengths.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nice
Away — Rennes
The verdict
In summary, Nice's combination of home scoring form, key attacking players in good shape, and Rennes' injury setback points towards a confident home win. Expect a lively match with Nice asserting themselves to claim a 3-1 victory.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 18:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Wahi
Penalty
Szymański
Assist: Nagida
Wahi
Penalty
Clauss
Assist: Wahi
Frankowski
Thomasson
Amoura
Assist: Diop
Dia
Penalty
Rouault
Yellow Card
Wahi
Yellow Card
Rongier
Diop
Dia
Wahi
Assist: Hein
Coulibaly
Mousa Tamari
Cresswell
Yellow Card
Ndayishimiye
Yellow Card
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Yellow Card
Camara
Yellow Card
Wahi
Clauss
Amoura
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 9M. AmouraM
- 10S. DiopM
- 11E. WahiF
- 23Y. DioufG
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 92J. ClaussM
Substitutes
- 7G. HeinM
- 8M. SansonM
- 21I. JanssonF
- 22I. CamaraM
- 29N. NgoumouF
- 41D. MoranaF
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 84H. KoutouneD
- 87E. PereiraM
Rennes
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4C. CresswellD
- 11Mousa TamariF
- 16N. LemaîtreG
- 17S. SzymańskiM
- 18M. NagidaM
- 21V. RongierM
- 22B. DiaF
- 24A. RouaultD
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 48A. Ait BoudlalD
- 95P. FrankowskiM
Substitutes
- 5Gonçalo OliveiraD
- 6D. CisséM
- 10L. BlasF
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 26Q. MerlinD
- 45M. CamaraM
- 60Kilian BelazzougG
- 90I. SoumaréF
Nice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wahi | F | 85 | 9.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Clauss | M | 85 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Amoura | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Y. Diouf | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| N. Ngoumou | F | 5 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Hein | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| X. Mandza Tsiendi | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Nkounkou | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/5 |
| H. Boudaoui | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Coulibaly | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| H. Koutoune | D | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sanson | M | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Camara | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boulhendi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Jansson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Morana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rennes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Szymański | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 6 | — |
| B. Dia | F | 68 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1/3 |
| M. Nagida | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 |
| I. Soumaré | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Eliezer Mayenda | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Mousa Tamari | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 3/3 |
| P. Frankowski | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Camara | M | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Rongier | M | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Cresswell | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ait Boudlal | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rouault | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lemaître | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Cissé | M | 22 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Reynolds | D | 44 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Thomasson | M | 46 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kilian Belazzoug | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Blas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q. Merlin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Oliveira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Nice vs Rennes?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nice to win against Rennes.
- What score did Fipster predict for Nice vs Rennes?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Nice 3–1 Rennes.
- What were the win probabilities for Nice vs Rennes?
- Fipster's model gave Nice a 81% chance of winning, Rennes a 9% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 81% confidence — a high-confidence call.