Match recap
Nice and Metz drew 0–0 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.50 for Nice versus 0.73 for Metz. Nice sit 16th in the Ligue 1 table while Metz are 18th.
Analysis
As the Ligue 1 season nears its climax, Nice host Metz in a match that promises goals and drama. Both teams are fighting to improve their standings, but recent form and stats suggest a home win is on the cards.
Nice currently sit 16th with 31 points, while Metz languish at 18th with just 16 points after 33 games. Historically, Nice have the upper hand with 7 wins in 16 meetings against Metz. The home advantage and better goal difference (-23 vs -44) further tilt the scales in Nice's favour.
Nice's attacking trio of Mohamed-Ali Cho, Elye Wahi, and Sofiane Diop have been in fine form, combining for numerous goals and assists recently. Cho, in particular, boasts 7 goals in his last 10 matches with a sharp 79% shot accuracy. Metz's defence, conceding over 2.3 goals per away game, looks vulnerable. Meanwhile, Nice's creative midfielders Charles Vanhoutte and Jonathan Clauss provide excellent service, increasing the likelihood of goals. Discipline could be a factor with an expected 4 cards, but no major injury concerns for Nice.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Nice, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The home side's attacking momentum and Metz's defensive struggles make this a plausible outcome. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of 4 cards likely to be shown.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Nice's attacking trio in form
Cho, Wahi, and Diop show strong recent scoring form, likely to challenge Metz's weak defense.
Superior assist potential from Clauss and Vanhoutte
Their crossing and key passes exceed league averages, enhancing Nice's chance creation.
Nice's positive scoring streak at home
Nice has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 2 goals in this match.
No significant injuries for Nice
Full squad availability boosts tactical consistency and attacking options.
Metz's defensive frailties
Metz concedes over 2.3 goals per game away, vulnerable to Nice's attacking threats.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Nice's superior form, home advantage, and attacking prowess should see them edge past Metz in a closely contested match. Fans can expect a lively game with goals and some robust challenges, culminating in a deserved home win.
- Nice have won 7 of 16 meetings against Metz, with 5 draws and 4 losses.
- Nice are ranked 16th with 31 points after 33 games; Metz are 18th with 16 points.
- Nice have a significantly better goal difference (-23) than Metz (-44) this season.
- Metz concede over 2.3 goals per away game, highlighting defensive frailties.
- Mohamed-Ali Cho has scored 7 goals in his last 10 matches with 79% shot accuracy.
- Charles Vanhoutte has provided 4 assists recently, with 55 passes per game.
- Jonathan Clauss contributes 3 assists with strong crossing and set-piece delivery.
- The predicted total cards count for the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nice
Away — Metz
No standout top scorers flagged for Metz
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Wahi
Yellow Card
Boudache
Vanhoutte
Munongo
Stambouli
Diop
Traoré
Yellow Card
Abuashvili
Peprah Oppong
Yellow Card
Clauss
Touré
Sanson
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 32 |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2Ali El AbdiM
- 4DanteD
- 8Morgan Stéphane SansonM
- 10Sofiane DiopF
- 11Sepe Elye WahiF
- 24Charles VanhoutteM
- 32Kaïl BoudacheF
- 33Antoine MendyD
- 37Kojo Peprah OppongD
- 80Yehvann DioufG
- 92Jonathan ClaussM
Substitutes
- 6Hicham BoudaouiM
- 20Tom Alexis LouchetM
- 21Isak Alexander JanssonF
- 25Mohamed-Ali ChoF
- 28Abdulay BahD
- 31Maxime DupéG
- 55Youssouf Nyange NdayishimiyeM
- 90Kevin CarlosF
- 99Salis Abdul SamedM
Metz
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Jonathan Frost FischerG
- 2Maxime Jean-Yves ColinD
- 9Giorgi AbuashviliF
- 10Gauthier HeinF
- 11Giorgi KvilitaiaF
- 12Alpha Amadou TouréM
- 15Terry YegbeD
- 21Benjamin Fernand Lucien François StambouliM
- 33B. MunongoM
- 38Sadibou SanéD
- 70Bouna Junior SarrD
Substitutes
- 4Urie-Michel MboulaD
- 5Jean-Philippe GbaminM
- 8Boubacar TraoréM
- 16Romain Jean-BaptisteG
- 29Ismaël GuertiM
- 30Mouhamadou Habibou DialloF
- 35J. PandoreF
- 39Koffi Franck KouaoD
- 97Fodé Ballo-TouréD
Nice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yehvann Diouf | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dante(C) | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Antoine Mendy | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Morgan Sanson | M | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jonathan Clauss | M | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Ali Abdi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2/6 |
| Sofiane Diop | F | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2/4 |
| Charles Vanhoutte | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Kaïl Boudache | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Elye Wahi | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdulay Juma Bah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssouf Ndayishimiye | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxime Dupé | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ali Cho | F | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tom Louchet | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Jansson | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
Metz
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadibou Sané | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Terry Yegbe | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Maxime Colin | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Fischer | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bouna Sarr(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gauthier Hein | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | F | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Benjamin Stambouli | M | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alpha Touré | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Believe Munongo | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fodé Ballo-Touré | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koffi Kouao | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romain Jean-Baptiste | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Habibou Diallo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismaël Guerti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urie-Michel Mboula | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boubacar Traoré | M | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jahyann Pandore | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |