Newcastle vs West Ham
Match recap
Newcastle beat West Ham 3–1 in their Premier League fixture. Woltemade, Osula, and Osula scored for Newcastle; Castellanos replied for West Ham. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.70 for Newcastle versus 0.88 for West Ham. Newcastle sit 12th in the Premier League table while West Ham are 18th.
Analysis
As the Premier League season nears its climax, Newcastle host West Ham in what promises to be a closely contested fixture. With both teams eager to secure vital points, the Magpies' recent home form and attacking prowess set the stage for an exciting encounter.
Newcastle currently sit 13th with 46 points, while West Ham linger near the relegation zone at 18th with 36 points. Historically, Newcastle have the upper hand in this fixture, winning half of their 20 meetings against West Ham. The Magpies have scored in their last five home games, showcasing their offensive momentum at St James' Park.
The prediction favours a 2-1 home win, supported by a 21.5% probability for this exact scoreline. Newcastle's attacking midfield duo, Harvey Barnes and William Osula, have been in fine form recently, combining for multiple goals in the last five games. West Ham's Jarrod Bowen remains a creative threat, but the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities away from home could be exploited by Newcastle's sharp attackers. The expected total of four cards suggests a moderately disciplined match.
Prediction
Expect Newcastle to lead 1-0 at halftime, maintaining their advantage to clinch a 2-1 victory by fulltime. The Magpies' home scoring streak and attacking depth should prove decisive, while West Ham will push for a goal but likely fall short. Four total cards are anticipated, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Newcastle's attacking midfield strength
Barnes and Osula's recent scoring form provides Newcastle a strong attacking edge at home.
Bruno Guimarães' questionable fitness
Newcastle's key playmaker may be limited by ankle injury, affecting creativity and defense.
Jarrod Bowen's creative influence for West Ham
Bowen leads West Ham in assists and key passes, crucial for their attacking chances.
Newcastle's home scoring streak
Newcastle has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum at St James' Park.
West Ham's defensive vulnerabilities
West Ham concedes frequently away, Newcastle's attackers can exploit defensive lapses.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Newcastle's blend of recent scoring form, home advantage, and historical edge points to a narrow but confident 2-1 win over West Ham. Fans can look forward to a spirited match with key contributions from Barnes and Osula, and a tactical battle that should keep the referee busy but not overwhelmed.
- Newcastle have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against West Ham, with 4 draws and 6 losses.
- Head-to-head fixtures average 3.5 goals per game, indicating open play.
- Newcastle are 13th in the league with 46 points from 36 games (13W, 7D, 16L).
- West Ham sit 18th with 36 points from 36 games (9W, 9D, 18L).
- Newcastle have scored in their last 5 home matches, showing strong offensive form.
- Harvey Barnes has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games, contributing to Newcastle's attack.
- Jarrod Bowen leads West Ham with 10 assists this season, key to their creativity.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting moderate discipline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Newcastle
Away — West Ham
No standout top scorers flagged for West Ham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Woltemade
Assist: Barnes
Osula
Assist: Ramsey
Todibo
Tonali
Souček
Yellow Card
Souček
Wan-Bissaka
Osula
Assist: Willock
Diouf
Yellow Card
Castellanos
Assist: Hermansen
Barnes
Woltemade
Kanté
Yellow Card
Hall
Yellow Card
Osula
Trippier
Match Statistics
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. PopeG
- 2K. TrippierD
- 3L. HallD
- 4S. BotmanD
- 8S. TonaliM
- 11H. BarnesM
- 12M. ThiawD
- 18W. OsulaF
- 27N. WoltemadeM
- 39Bruno GuimarãesM
- 41J. RamseyM
Substitutes
- 9Y. WissaF
- 10A. GordonF
- 20A. ElangaF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 28J. WillockM
- 32A. RamsdaleG
- 33D. BurnD
- 37A. MurphyD
- 62S. NeaveF
West Ham
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 4A. DisasiD
- 7C. SummervilleF
- 9C. WilsonF
- 12E. DioufM
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 20J. BowenF
- 25J. TodiboD
- 28T. SoučekM
- 29A. Wan-BissakaM
Substitutes
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 19PabloF
- 23A. AreolaG
- 27S. MagassaM
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 32F. PottsM
- 55M. KantéM
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | F | 85 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Nick Pope | G | 98 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 98 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/5 |
| Nick Woltemade | M | 75 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 98 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sven Botman | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Barnes | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Kieran Trippier(C) | D | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sandro Tonali | M | 53 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Hall | D | 98 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Aaron Ramsdale | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Gordon | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Murphy | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Neave | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willock | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Dan Burn | D | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yoane Wissa | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | D | 98 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Crysencio Summerville | F | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/7 |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomáš Souček | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | M | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Jarrod Bowen(C) | F | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Axel Disasi | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Callum Wilson | F | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/4 |
| Jean-Clair Todibo | D | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mads Hermansen | G | 98 | 5.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Freddie Potts | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Kilman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Scarles | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alphonse Aréola | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soungoutou Magassa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentín Castellanos | F | 72 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo Felipe | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamadou Kanté | M | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |