Newcastle vs Liverpool
Newcastle and Liverpool share spoils in thriller
A late penalty from Szoboszlai rescues a point for Liverpool after a see-saw battle.
Newcastle and Liverpool fought out a 2-2 draw in a pulsating Premier League encounter. A. Elanga's early strike set the tone, but Liverpool's C. Gakpo and Newcastle's J. Willock traded blows after the break. The drama peaked with D. Szoboszlai converting a penalty deep into stoppage time to deny Newcastle a win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Liverpool victory, proving the Magpies had other ideas.
Analysis
The 2026-27 Premier League season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Newcastle, known as The Magpies, and Liverpool, The Reds. Both teams are eager to set the tone for the campaign ahead, with fresh summer business and tactical tweaks promising an exciting encounter.
Newcastle have bolstered their squad with the arrival of Sean Steur, aiming to fill the gap left by the departure of K. Trippier, who has moved on as a free agent. Liverpool, meanwhile, enter the season unchanged in personnel, looking to leverage their established squad depth and experience.
While Newcastle will be keen to make a strong impression at home, Liverpool's superior goal difference from last season and higher league finish suggest they have the edge. The Reds' attacking prowess is expected to challenge Newcastle's defence, with the prediction favouring a narrow 2-1 away win. The match is also anticipated to be competitive, with a likely total of four cards reflecting the intensity of a season opener.
Prediction
Expect Liverpool to clinch a 2-1 victory over Newcastle in this season opener. The prediction carries moderate confidence at 35%, indicating a closely fought contest but with The Reds edging out The Magpies thanks to their attacking quality and tactical discipline.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
This fixture promises a lively start to the season, with Liverpool's experience and goal-scoring ability predicted to secure the three points. Newcastle's new signing Sean Steur will be one to watch as they look to upset the odds. Fans can anticipate a spirited match with plenty of action and a few cards to keep the referees busy.
- Newcastle have signed Sean Steur ahead of the new season.
- K. Trippier has departed Newcastle as a free agent.
- Liverpool finished higher than Newcastle last season with a better goal difference (+12).
- This is the first competitive match of the 2026-27 Premier League season.
- Prediction favours Liverpool to win 2-1 away at Newcastle.
- Moderate confidence (35%) in the predicted away win outcome.
- Four total cards are expected, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Newcastle
Away — Liverpool
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Elanga
Assist: Osula
Wissa
Yellow Card
Frimpong
Yellow Card
Kerkez
Yellow Card
Miley
Yellow Card
Gakpo
Assist: Gravenberch
Steur
Osula
Willock
Assist: Wissa
Ngumoha
Wirtz
Ramsey
Yellow Card
Jacquet
Miley
Elanga
Gravenberch
Murphy
Yellow Card
van Dijk
Yellow Card
Horníček
Yellow Card
Wissa
Szoboszlai
Penalty
Match Statistics
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. HallD
- 4S. BotmanD
- 9Y. WissaM
- 10W. OsulaF
- 11H. BarnesM
- 12M. ThiawD
- 14Sean SteurM
- 19A. ElangaM
- 21L. HorníčekG
- 37A. DedićD
- 67L. MileyM
Substitutes
- 5F. SchärD
- 8A. BambaM
- 17B. TouréF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 24E. JaouenG
- 27N. WoltemadeF
- 28J. WillockM
- 41J. RamseyM
- 51L. ShaharD
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 9A. IsakF
- 18C. GakpoM
- 30J. FrimpongD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 73R. NgumohaM
Substitutes
- 3W. EndoM
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 23Víctor MuñozF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 33R. AraújoD
- 42T. NyoniM
- 53J. McConnellM
- 67L. KoumasF
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hall | D | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Anthony Elanga | M | 76 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Lukáš Horníček | G | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Miley | M | 76 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Sven Botman | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoane Wissa | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Harvey Barnes | M | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| William Osula | F | 56 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Amar Dedić | D | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Malick Thiaw(C) | D | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fabian Schär | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ewen Jaouen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bazoumana Touré | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Shahar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willock | M | 37 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aladji Bamba | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Gakpo | M | 93 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | M | 78 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Florian Wirtz | M | 63 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alexander Isak | F | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Virgil van Dijk(C) | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | M | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Jérémy Jacquet | D | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alisson | G | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Ngumoha | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Trey Nyoni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James McConnell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wataru Endo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Tsimikas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Araújo | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Mac Allister | M | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Newcastle vs Liverpool?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Liverpool to win against Newcastle.
- What score did Fipster predict for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Newcastle 1–2 Liverpool.
- What were the win probabilities for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
- Fipster's model gave Newcastle a 32% chance of winning, Liverpool a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.