Newcastle vs Hull City
Newcastle edge Hull in tight tussle
Early strikes set the tone as Newcastle hold on despite Hull's fightback.
Newcastle took control early with quickfire goals from J. Willock and L. Hall within the first seven minutes, setting a strong foundation. Hull City pulled one back through M. Cho after the break, but it wasn't enough to overturn the lead. Despite Fipster's medium-confidence prediction favouring a Hull win, Newcastle defied expectations to claim a narrow 2-1 victory.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with a tantalising clash between Newcastle and Hull City. Both sides have fresh faces and fresh ambitions as they look to make a strong start to their campaigns. Expect a lively encounter with plenty of attacking intent from both teams.
Key facts
- 1.Hull City are newly promoted after finishing 6th in the Championship last season.
- 2.Newcastle finished 12th in the Premier League last season with 49 points from 38 games.
- 3.Hull City have a better goal difference than Newcastle from last season.
- 4.Newcastle have signed M. Fernandez-Pardo, B. Touré, and L. Horníček this summer.
- 5.Hull City have added S. Thomas, M. Targett, and K. Tzolakis to their squad.
- 6.Bruno Guimarães and A. Gordon have departed Newcastle this summer.
- 7.Hull City lost K. Joseph and I. Pandur in transfers and L. Millar on loan.
The context
Newcastle remain in the same league after finishing 12th last season, while Hull City arrive as the newly promoted side following a strong finish in the Championship. Both teams have been active in the transfer market, with Newcastle bolstered by the arrivals of M. Fernandez-Pardo, B. Touré, and L. Horníček, while Hull City have strengthened their squad with S. Thomas, M. Targett, and K. Tzolakis. The stage is set for a competitive opener as these two sides meet for the first time this season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Newcastle
Away — Hull City
Analysis
Hull City’s promotion has injected fresh energy into the league, and their squad additions suggest they are ready to compete at this higher level. Newcastle, meanwhile, have made some notable signings but lost key players like Bruno Guimarães and A. Gordon, which could affect their cohesion early on. The prediction leans towards an away win, supported by Hull’s superior goal difference last season and their momentum coming into this fixture. A 3-2 scoreline suggests an open game with both sides finding the net, but Hull just edging it in a thrilling contest.
Prediction
We anticipate a closely fought match with Hull City emerging victorious by 3-2. The halftime scoreline of 1-2 hints at an early lead for the visitors, with Newcastle pushing back in the second half but ultimately falling short. Expect a match full of attacking football, with both teams eager to start the season on a high note.
The verdict
This season opener promises excitement and drama, with Hull City looking to make a statement in their return to this league. Newcastle will be keen to prove their mettle at home, but the prediction suggests the visitors will take the spoils in a five-goal thriller. Fans should prepare for an entertaining kickoff to the campaign.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Willock
Assist: Barnes
Hall
Assist: Barnes
Crooks
Yellow Card
Belloumi
Yellow Card
Wissa
Missed Penalty
Tzolakis
Yellow Card
Murphy
Yellow Card
Crooks
Giles
Yellow Card
Thomas
Steur
Cho
Assist: Belloumi
Fernandez-Pardo
Slater
Egan
Belloumi
Willock
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. HallD
- 4S. BotmanD
- 9Y. WissaF
- 11H. BarnesM
- 12M. ThiawD
- 14Sean SteurM
- 20M. Fernandez-PardoM
- 21L. HorníčekG
- 23J. MurphyM
- 28J. WillockM
- 67L. MileyD
Substitutes
- 1N. PopeG
- 5F. SchärD
- 8A. BambaM
- 17B. TouréF
- 49V. SaliaF
- 76M. MileyM
Hull City
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2L. CoyleD
- 3R. GilesD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 7S. ThomasM
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 10M. BelloumiM
- 15J. EganD
- 19K. TzolakisG
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 25M. CrooksM
- 27R. SlaterM
Substitutes
- 11J. GelhardtF
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 14J. Hjertø-DahlM
- 17P. McNairD
- 21E. StroudM
- 29L. Gourna-DouathM
- 42T. IroegbunamM
- 47R. VazF
- 50M. ChoF
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Willock | M | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| H. Barnes | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| S. Botman | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/5 |
| L. Miley | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Schär | D | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| A. Bamba | M | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Touré | F | 16 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Murphy | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Pope | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Miley | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Salia | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hull City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cho | F | 27 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| K. Tzolakis | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | M | 83 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3/6 |
| L. Herrington | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Gelhardt | F | 7 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3/4 |
| J. Egan | D | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Vaz | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Ajayi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Giles | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| O. McBurnie | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Slater | M | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Crooks | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Gourna-Douath | M | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Iroegbunam | M | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 63 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. McNair | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Phillips | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Stroud | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hjertø-Dahl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Newcastle vs Hull City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hull City to win against Newcastle.
- What score did Fipster predict for Newcastle vs Hull City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Newcastle 2–3 Hull City.
- What were the win probabilities for Newcastle vs Hull City?
- Fipster's model gave Newcastle a 24% chance of winning, Hull City a 51% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.