Newcastle vs Everton

Premier LeagueMatchweek 9

Newcastle

Not Started
VS

Everton

Ref: John BrooksSt. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne · 52,758 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winhigh

Your time to shine.

Fancy your chances? Challenge a mate on this game.

Challenge a friend

Newcastle and Everton face off in the ninth round of the regular season, with both sides eager to climb the league table. The Magpies look to leverage their home advantage to claim all three points against the Toffees.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
2–1
Half-time1–0
Newcastle Win
HIGH
Confidence
Newcastle 70%Draw 15%Everton 15%

The context

Everton currently sit 9th in the league with 10 points from 8 games, while Newcastle are 14th with 8 points from 7 matches. Historically, Everton have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of 20 matches compared to Newcastle's 7, with an average of 2.6 goals per encounter.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Everton's key attackers show better scoring form

Thierno Barry leads Everton with 3 goals in 7 games, showing consistent scoring threat.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Newcastle's defense led by L. Hall is solid and contributes offensively

Hall's combination of defensive solidity and goal involvement gives Newcastle an edge at the back and in attack.

Form Momentummedium

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall's recent form boosts Everton midfield creativity

Dewsbury-Hall's recent high rating and goal involvement enhance Everton's attacking options.

Injury Impacthigh

Newcastle missing key defenders Jaouen and Livramento

Confirmed absences of Jaouen (GK) and Livramento (Def) weaken Newcastle's defensive depth.

Analysis

Newcastle's defence, marshalled by L. Hall who boasts an 86% passing accuracy and contributes offensively, will be key to stifling Everton's attack. Everton's top scorer Thierno Barry, with 3 goals in 7 games, poses a consistent threat, supported by Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall's recent creative form. However, Newcastle's missing defensive duo Jaouen and Livramento could test their backline depth. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests Newcastle will start strongly, but Everton's resilience means a close finish is expected.

Key insights

  • T

    Thierno Barry

    Everton

    Leads Everton's scoring with 3 goals in 7 games, showing consistent threat up front.

    Premier League 26/273 goals in 7 games

  • L

    L. Hall

    Newcastle

    Combines solid defence with offensive contributions, boasting 86% passing accuracy and a goal and assist this season.

    Premier League 26/2786% passing accuracy, 1 goal, 1 assist

  • K

    Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

    Everton

    Boosts Everton's midfield creativity with goals and a recent high match rating of 9.0.

    Premier League 26/27Goals and assists this season, 9.0 rating in last match

Prediction

The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Newcastle, with the Magpies taking a 1-0 lead into halftime and Everton pulling one back late on. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive and physical encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Everton lead head-to-head with 9 wins to Newcastle's 7 in 20 matches.
  2. 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.6, indicating moderate scoring.
  3. 3.Everton are 9th in the league with 10 points from 8 games.
  4. 4.Newcastle are 14th with 8 points from 7 games.
  5. 5.Newcastle's L. Hall has 86% passing accuracy and contributes both goals and assists.
  6. 6.Everton's Thierno Barry is their top scorer with 3 goals in 7 games.
  7. 7.Newcastle are missing key defenders Jaouen and Livramento for this match.

The verdict

Expect a tightly fought contest with Newcastle narrowly prevailing thanks to solid defensive contributions and timely goals. Everton will push hard, but the Magpies' home form and key player performances should see them through.

Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Newcastle vs Everton?
Fipster's AI model predicts Newcastle to win against Everton.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Fipster predicts a final score of Newcastle 2–1 Everton.
What are the win probabilities for Newcastle vs Everton?
Fipster's model gives Newcastle a 70% chance of winning, Everton a 15% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 70% confidence — a high-confidence call.
← Back to Premier LeagueMore Premier League predictions →