New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
St. Louis City stroll past New York Red Bulls
A commanding 3-0 victory with goals spread from the first minute to stoppage time.
St. Louis City made an early statement with Rafael Navarro's strike in the 5th minute and sealed the deal with late goals from S. Becher and T. Ostrák. The 3-0 scoreline reflects a comfortable win away from home, comfortably matching Fipster's prediction of an away victory, albeit with a slightly different score.
Outcome probability
As the regular season rolls on, New York Red Bulls face off against St. Louis City in what promises to be a lively contest. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
St. Louis City's attacking momentum
St. Louis City has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form
Julian Hall's scoring consistency
Hall leads New York Red Bulls with 9 goals and strong away scoring form
Simon Becher's recent goal surge
Becher scored 3 goals in last 5 games, boosting St. Louis City's attack
St. Louis City's doubtful midfielder Palmer Ault
Ault's ankle injury status may limit midfield options and creativity
The context
St. Louis City currently sit 5th in the league with 41 points from 25 games, reflecting a solid campaign so far. New York Red Bulls, meanwhile, are looking to leverage their attacking talents to disrupt their opponents' rhythm. This fixture is part of the regular season's 27th round, where every point counts.
Key insights
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Hall leads the team with 9 goals and has strong away scoring form, making him a key threat in this match.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 25 appearances, 0.36 avg per game
Simon Becher
St. Louis City
Becher has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games, boosting St. Louis City's attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals in 23 appearances, 0.17 avg per game
- P
Palmer Ault
St. Louis City
Ault is doubtful with an ankle injury, which may limit midfield options and creativity for St. Louis City.
Major League Soccer 26/27Limited recent minutes due to injury
Analysis
St. Louis City have been on a scoring streak, netting in their last five matches, which bodes well for their offensive momentum. Julian Hall leads the Red Bulls with nine goals this season and boasts strong away scoring form, making him a key threat. Meanwhile, Simon Becher has been in fine fettle for St. Louis City, scoring three goals in his last five games and contributing assists, adding a creative spark to their attack. However, St. Louis City face a potential setback with midfielder Palmer Ault doubtful due to an ankle injury, which could impact their midfield creativity.
Key facts
- 1.St. Louis City are 5th in the league with 41 points from 25 games (W11 D8 L6).
- 2.Julian Hall is New York Red Bulls' top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 3.Simon Becher has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games for St. Louis City.
- 4.St. Louis City have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 5.Palmer Ault is doubtful for St. Louis City due to an ankle injury.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-2 in favour of St. Louis City.
- 7.The match is expected to see around 4 cards shown.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for St. Louis City with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of St. Louis City, consistent with the full-time result. The match is also anticipated to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls
Away — St. Louis City
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter with both sides pushing forward. St. Louis City's recent attacking form and key players' contributions should see them edge out New York Red Bulls in a closely fought 3-2 victory. Fans should prepare for an entertaining match with plenty of goalmouth action.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 02:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Navarro
Assist: Wallem
Baumgartl
Yellow Card
Padelford
Ruvalcaba
Mățan
Holse
Kone
Edelman
Navarro
Forsberg
Yellow Card
Parker
Becher
Assist: Durkin
Sofo
Ostrák
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +12 | 47 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 47 |
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7C. CowellF
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 14J. BazánD
- 26T. ParkerD
- 34E. HorvathG
- 37M. SofoM
- 59D. PadelfordD
- 60S. KoneM
Substitutes
- 6R. VoloderD
- 66T. RosboroughM
- 70A. RojasF
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 80N. WorthM
St. Louis City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 6C. WallemM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 14T. TotlandM
- 19C. HolseF
- 21D. PolvaraD
- 23A. MățanF
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 27F. FallD
- 32T. BaumgartlD
Substitutes
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 7T. OstrákM
- 11S. BecherF
- 20Rafael SantosD
- 28M. PerezM
- 39B. LundtG
- 59M. JoynerM
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
- 99J. OrozcoD
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cowell | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/7 |
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Choupo-Moting | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3/4 |
| A. Rojas | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bazán | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| E. Forsberg | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Kone | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| R. Voloder | D | 3 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Padelford | D | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Sofo | M | 87 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| D. Nealis | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Parker | D | 87 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Worth | M | 6 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rosborough | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McCarthy | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Navarro | F | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| C. Durkin | M | 90 | 8.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| D. Polvara | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| T. Ostrák | M | 5 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| R. Bürki | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Becher | F | 19 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Wallem | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | 1/3 |
| F. Fall | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Baumgartl | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. MacNaughton | D | 5 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Edelman | M | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jeong Sang-Bin | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Holse | F | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Totland | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Mățan | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| B. Lundt | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Joyner | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted St. Louis City to win against New York Red Bulls.
- What score did Fipster predict for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New York Red Bulls 2–3 St. Louis City.
- What were the win probabilities for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster's model gave New York Red Bulls a 10% chance of winning, St. Louis City a 79% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 79% confidence — a high-confidence call.