New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union cruise past New York Red Bulls
Union's trio of goals secures a comfortable win in New York.
Philadelphia Union took control early with M. Iloski's strike in the 21st minute and never looked back, adding two more goals after the break through Cavan Sullivan and Neil Pierre. New York Red Bulls managed a consolation goal from E. Choupo-Moting at 74 minutes, but it was too little too late. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more decisive than forecast.
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union promises an exciting encounter, with both sides boasting key attacking talents. Fans can expect a high-scoring affair as the teams battle for crucial points in round 22.
Match factors
Philadelphia's Iloski leads scoring charge
M. Iloski's 10 goals this season make him a key threat against New York's defense
New York's Hall excels at home
J. Hall has scored 9 goals with strong home form, boosting Red Bulls' attack
Philadelphia missing key midfielder Sullivan
Cavan Sullivan is confirmed out due to suspension, weakening midfield creativity
Philadelphia on a scoring streak
Philadelphia has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
New York's Cowell key in assists
Cade Cowell leads New York with 5 assists, crucial for creating scoring chances
The context
Philadelphia Union have been on a scoring streak, finding the net in their last five matches, which bodes well for their attacking confidence. Meanwhile, New York Red Bulls rely heavily on their top scorer J. Hall, who has been prolific at home this season. The absence of Philadelphia's midfielder C. Sullivan due to suspension could impact their midfield creativity.
Key insights

M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Leading scorer with 10 goals this season, Iloski is a key threat to New York’s defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 20 appearances, 0.5 goals/game

J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
Top scorer with 9 goals and strong home form, Hall is crucial for New York’s attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 19 appearances, 0.47 goals/game
- C
C. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
Suspended midfielder Sullivan’s absence weakens Philadelphia’s midfield creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/27High yellow card rate (0.26 per game)

C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
Leading assister with 5 assists, Cowell is vital for creating scoring chances at home.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 18 appearances, 0.28 assists/game
Analysis
Statistically, Philadelphia Union hold the edge in head-to-head meetings, having won 10 of the 20 encounters against New York Red Bulls, who have won 3, with 7 draws. The average goals per match in these fixtures is 2.3, indicating a tendency for open play. Philadelphia's leading scorer M. Iloski, with 10 goals this season, is a significant threat, especially given his recent form. New York's J. Hall, with 9 goals and strong home form, will look to counteract that threat. Philadelphia's key defender N. Pierre also provides solidity at the back, while New York's creative outlet C. Cowell is crucial for chance creation.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against New York Red Bulls.
- 2.New York Red Bulls have won 3 head-to-head matches, with 7 draws.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals per game.
- 4.M. Iloski leads Philadelphia with 10 goals this season.
- 5.J. Hall is New York's top scorer with 9 goals, strong at home.
- 6.Philadelphia has scored in their last 5 matches.
- 7.C. Sullivan is suspended for Philadelphia, weakening midfield.
- 8.C. Cowell leads New York with 5 assists this season.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Philadelphia Union with a final scoreline of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of Philadelphia, reflecting their attacking momentum and ability to break down New York's defence early on. The match is also anticipated to be competitive with around four cards shown, suggesting a spirited contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls


Away — Philadelphia Union


The verdict
In summary, expect a thrilling encounter with Philadelphia Union's attacking prowess just edging out New York Red Bulls' home efforts. Key players like M. Iloski and J. Hall will be pivotal, but the Union's recent form and tactical edge should see them through to a narrow victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Iloski
Ruvalcaba
Sullivan
Vassilev
Pierre
Forsberg
Dos Santos
Cowell
Choupo-Moting
Assist: Sofo
Donkor
Yellow Card
Sullivan
Damiani
Jean-Jacques
Anello
Yellow Card
Westfield
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. CheD
- 7C. CowellM
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 11J. RuvalcabaM
- 12D. NealisD
- 14J. BazánD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 34E. HorvathG
- 48R. DonkorM
- 56M. Dos SantosD
Substitutes
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 5O. ValenciaD
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 17C. HarperF
- 26T. ParkerD
- 37M. SofoF
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 91M. JimenezF
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 76A. RickG
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Che | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Bazán | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Cade Cowell | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Hall | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/5 |
| Emil Forsberg(C) | M | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 67 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mijahir Jimenez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John McCarthy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Parker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | F | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 23 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Harper | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 80 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5/7 |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Milan Iloski | F | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 64 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Andre Blake(C) | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kai Wagner | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ben Bender | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Rick | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Rafanello | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quinn Sullivan | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


