New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution
Match recap
New York Red Bulls beat New England Revolution 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Hall scored for New York Red Bulls. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.96 for New York Red Bulls versus 0.37 for New England Revolution.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 New York Red Bulls win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
The New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution face off in what promises to be a closely contested MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
NY Red Bulls' attacking trio in strong form
Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba, and Ronald Donkor show good recent scoring and assist form, boosting home attack potential
Carles Gil's creative influence for New England
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and is a key playmaker, posing a threat to NY Red Bulls defense
NY Red Bulls' home scoring rate advantage
NY Red Bulls average 1.57 goals per home game, higher than their overall average, supporting predicted 3 goals
New England's recent scoring streak despite defensive struggles
New England scored in 4 of last 5 games but conceded in all, indicating an open game likely
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 2. Historically, New York Red Bulls have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of 20 matches against New England Revolution, who have won 7, with 4 draws. The average goals per match between these sides is 2.8, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
Key insights
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Top scorer for New York Red Bulls with 10 goals, showing strong recent form and key home performance.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 26 apps, 0.38 avg per game
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Leading scorer with 12 goals and key playmaker, posing a significant threat to the opposition defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 27 apps, 0.44 avg per game
Analysis
New York Red Bulls boast a strong attacking trio in Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba, and Ronald Donkor, all in good recent form. Hall, the top scorer with 10 goals this season, is a key threat, especially at home. New England's Carles Gil counters with 12 goals and creative playmaking, making him a significant danger. Both teams have full squads available, suggesting tactical plans can be executed without disruption. The prediction of a 3-2 scoreline aligns with the teams' recent scoring patterns and the likelihood of an open game.
Key facts
- 1.New York Red Bulls have won 9 of 20 head-to-head matches against New England Revolution.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.8, indicating open play.
- 3.Julian Hall is New York Red Bulls' top scorer with 10 goals this season.
- 4.Carles Gil leads New England Revolution with 12 goals this season.
- 5.Both teams have full squads available for this fixture.
- 6.New York Red Bulls average 1.57 goals per home game this season.
- 7.New England Revolution have scored in 4 of their last 5 games but conceded in all.
Prediction
Expect New York Red Bulls to clinch a narrow 3-2 victory. Their home scoring rate and attacking form give them the edge, but New England Revolution's offensive capabilities mean this will be a tight and thrilling contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls
Away — New England Revolution
The verdict
In summary, this MLS regular season match should deliver plenty of goals and excitement. New York Red Bulls are favoured to come out on top, but New England Revolution will push hard to spoil the party. Fans can look forward to a lively encounter with key players like Julian Hall and Carles Gil likely to influence the outcome.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yow
Yellow Card
Donkor
Yellow Card
Turgeman
Yellow Card
Donkor
Hall
Assist: Mehmeti
Langoni
Polster
Dos Santos
Raines
Yellow Card
Gil
Yellow Card
Yow
Ruvalcaba
Raines
Nealis
Yellow Card
Unknown
Cowell
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
Starting XI
- 2J. CheD
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 7C. CowellF
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 34E. HorvathG
- 48R. DonkorM
- 56M. Dos SantosD
Substitutes
- 4G. BerggrenM
- 5O. ValenciaD
- 6R. VoloderD
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 20J. MinaD
- 66T. RosboroughM
- 70A. RojasF
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 79R. MosqueraF
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 3B. CeballosD
- 7G. YowF
- 8M. PolsterM
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 21B. RainesM
- 23W. SandsD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniF
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 5K. HughesD
- 14J. YueillM
- 32M. FryF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 57J. MussendenM
- 59J. DaF
- 80A. YusufM
- 88A. FarrellD
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| Justin Che | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Julian Hall | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Cade Cowell | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | F | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| John McCarthy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustav Berggren | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Rosborough | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Mina | D | 18 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Rojas | F | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilay Feingold | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Luca Langoni | F | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Brayan Ceballos | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Matt Polster | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | 82 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Javaun Mussenden | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Hughes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Da | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Fry | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New York Red Bulls to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New York Red Bulls 3–2 New England Revolution.
- What were the win probabilities for New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's model gave New York Red Bulls a 35% chance of winning, New England Revolution a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.