New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami
Red Bulls shut out Inter Miami
A solid defensive display and a late flourish secure a 2-0 win for New York.
New York Red Bulls claimed a 2-0 victory over Inter Miami in Major League Soccer, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win. An early own goal by Casemiro set the tone, and Emil Forsberg sealed the result with a goal in stoppage time. The Red Bulls' clean sheet and timely strikes made this a convincing home win rather than the predicted close contest.
Outcome probability
The New York Red Bulls face off against Inter Miami in a regular season MLS clash that looks set to deliver goals and drama. Both sides have shown attacking prowess, setting the stage for an entertaining contest.
Match factors
Messi's prolific scoring form
Lionel Messi leads with 21 goals this season, scoring 6 in last 5 matches, providing a major attacking threat
New York Red Bulls' reliance on Hall and Ruvalcaba
Julian Hall and Jorge Ruvalcaba are key scorers with 11 and 8 goals respectively, but recent form is moderate
Inter Miami's consistent scoring streak
Inter Miami has scored in last 5 matches, led by Messi and Suárez's recent goal contributions
Cowell's creative influence for New York Red Bulls
Cade Cowell leads assists for home team with 6, providing key chances especially at home
Donkor's dual threat in goals and assists
Ronald Donkor contributes both goals (2) and assists (5), above average for midfielders
The context
This fixture is part of the 31st round of the MLS regular season. Historically, these two teams have met 13 times with an evenly split record: six wins apiece and one draw. Their encounters tend to be goal-rich affairs, averaging nearly four goals per game, which bodes well for fans craving excitement.
Key insights
- L
Lionel Messi Cuccittini
Inter Miami
Messi's prolific scoring form makes him a major threat, with 21 goals this season and 6 in the last 5 matches.
Major League Soccer 26/2721 goals in 22 appearances, 0.95 goals/game
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Hall is the leading scorer for New York Red Bulls with 11 goals, providing a consistent attacking outlet.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 appearances, 0.42 goals/game
Cade Cowell
New York Red Bulls
Cowell's creative influence is key, leading the team with 6 assists and consistently creating chances.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 26 appearances, 0.23 assists/game
- L
Luis Suárez Díaz
Inter Miami
Suárez adds to Miami's firepower with 13 goals this season and good recent scoring form.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 24 appearances, 0.54 goals/game
Analysis
Inter Miami's attacking threat is spearheaded by Lionel Messi, who boasts an impressive 21 goals in 22 appearances this season, including six in his last five matches. Luis Suárez also adds firepower with 13 goals and recent scoring form. New York Red Bulls rely heavily on Julian Hall and Jorge Ruvalcaba, who have contributed 11 and 8 goals respectively, though their recent form is less prolific. Creative outlets like Cade Cowell for the Red Bulls and Rodrigo De Paul for Miami will be key in unlocking defences. The prediction leans towards a narrow away win, reflecting Miami's slightly sharper attacking edge and consistent scoring streak.
Key facts
- 1.New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami have each won 6 of their 13 meetings, with 1 draw.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 3.8 goals per game.
- 3.Lionel Messi has scored 21 goals in 22 MLS appearances this season.
- 4.Luis Suárez has netted 13 goals this season, showing strong recent form.
- 5.Julian Hall leads New York Red Bulls with 11 goals this season.
- 6.Cade Cowell is the top assister for New York Red Bulls with 6 assists.
Prediction
Expect a thrilling 3-2 victory for Inter Miami. The match should see plenty of goalmouth action, with Messi likely to be involved in the decisive moments. New York Red Bulls will push hard, but Miami's firepower should just edge it in the end.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls
Away — Inter Miami
The verdict
While the prediction favours Inter Miami, the close head-to-head record and high-scoring nature of their meetings suggest this will be a tightly contested match. Fans should prepare for an entertaining encounter with goals aplenty and a nail-biting finish.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 01:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Casemiro (OG)
Riquelme Fillipi
Cowell
Galarza
Luján
Berterame
Ayala
Sofo
Ruvalcaba
Bazán
Yellow Card
Mehmeti
Hall
Forsberg
Assist: Harper
Morales
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7C. CowellF
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 14J. BazánD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 26T. ParkerD
- 34E. HorvathG
- 37M. SofoM
- 48R. DonkorM
- 59D. PadelfordD
Substitutes
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 8D. RuízM
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 17C. HarperF
- 56M. Dos SantosD
- 60S. KoneM
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 79R. MosqueraF
Inter Miami
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2G. LujánD
- 3ReguilónD
- 5CasemiroD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 9L. SuárezF
- 11Riquelme FillipiF
- 16MicaelD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 22D. AyalaM
- 80M. GalarzaM
- 97D. St. ClairG
Substitutes
- 4F. MuraD
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 17I. FrayD
- 20S. MoralesM
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 42Y. BrightM
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 88A. ShawM
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Forsberg | M | 5 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Parker | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Nealis | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Sofo | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| D. Padelford | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 5 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Harper | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kone | M | 14 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bazán | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| E. Choupo-Moting | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Donkor | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Hall | F | 85 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| C. Cowell | F | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. McCarthy | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mosquera | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dos Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ruíz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. St. Clair | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Reguilón | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| L. Messi | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Micael | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| L. Suárez | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Berterame | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| G. Luján | D | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| D. Ayala | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Segovia | M | 16 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Casemiro | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Morales | M | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| I. Fray | D | 24 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Shaw | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Mura | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ríos Novo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Inter Miami to win against New York Red Bulls.
- What score did Fipster predict for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New York Red Bulls 2–3 Inter Miami.
- What were the win probabilities for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's model gave New York Red Bulls a 32% chance of winning, Inter Miami a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.