New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati
Match recap
New York Red Bulls beat FC Cincinnati 4–2 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Hall, Forsberg, Smith, and Sofo scored for New York Red Bulls; Smith replied for FC Cincinnati. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.00 for New York Red Bulls versus 2.80 for FC Cincinnati.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 New York Red Bulls win
Actual
4–2
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati promises to be a lively affair, with both teams boasting key offensive talents. Fans can anticipate a competitive match with goals on both ends.
Match factors
New York Red Bulls' attacking trio in form
Hall, Ruvalcaba, and Cowell show strong recent scoring and assisting form, boosting home attack potential
K. Denkey's prolific scoring for FC Cincinnati
Denkey leads with 13 goals and 5 in last 5 games, posing a significant threat despite away status
FC Cincinnati missing key playmaker Evander
Evander is confirmed out, reducing midfield creativity and assist potential for Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls' positive scoring streak at home
Red Bulls have scored in 3 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals
Cowell and Donkor's creative link-up
Cowell's 6 assists and Donkor's 5 assists indicate strong creative midfield-forward connection
The context
This fixture is part of the Regular Season - 6, where New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati have met 19 times previously. FC Cincinnati holds a slight edge with 8 wins to New York's 6, while 5 matches ended in draws. Historically, these encounters average 2.4 goals per game, suggesting a moderately high-scoring contest.
Key insights
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Top scorer with 11 goals and strong home scoring rate, making him a key threat in this fixture.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 27 appearances, 0.41 goals/game
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
Leading scorer with 13 goals and excellent recent form, posing a significant threat despite away status.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 21 appearances, 0.62 goals/game
- E
Evander
FC Cincinnati
Confirmed out, reducing midfield creativity and assist potential for Cincinnati.
C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
Top assister with 6 assists, strong creative link-up with forwards boosting attacking potential.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 26 appearances, 0.23 assists/game
Analysis
New York Red Bulls have a potent attacking trio in Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba Castro, and C. Cowell, who have been in good scoring and assisting form this season. Hall, in particular, has netted 11 goals and maintains a strong home scoring rate. FC Cincinnati's leading scorer K. Denkey is in excellent form with 13 goals, including 5 in his last 5 games, posing a significant threat despite playing away. However, Cincinnati will miss key playmaker Evander, which could hamper their creativity in midfield. The Red Bulls' recent positive scoring streak at home and the creative link-up between Cowell and Donkor add to their attacking edge.
Key facts
- 1.In 19 meetings, FC Cincinnati leads with 8 wins, New York Red Bulls have 6, and 5 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.4 total goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Julian Hall is a key offensive threat for New York Red Bulls with 11 goals this season.
- 4.K. Denkey leads FC Cincinnati with 13 goals and excellent recent form.
- 5.New York Red Bulls have scored in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- 6.FC Cincinnati will miss key playmaker Evander due to injury.
- 7.C. Cowell leads New York Red Bulls with 6 assists this season.
- 8.Ronald Donkor has contributed 5 assists, boosting Red Bulls' creativity.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for New York Red Bulls with a final score of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, indicating a balanced first half before the Red Bulls pull ahead. The match is likely to be competitive and high-scoring, with both teams finding the net but the home side edging it narrowly.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls
Away — FC Cincinnati
The verdict
In summary, expect an entertaining match with New York Red Bulls leveraging their attacking strengths and home form to secure a narrow victory over FC Cincinnati. Fans should brace for a close contest with plenty of goalmouth action.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hall
Assist: Cowell
Goal
Assist: Denkey
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Yellow Card
Forsberg
Donkor
Yellow Card
Smith (OG)
Unknown
Dos Santos
Cowell
Smith
Unknown
Smith
Unknown
Mehmeti
Yellow Card
Ruvalcaba
Valencia
Yellow Card
Unknown
Forsberg
Red Card
Sofo
Assist: Donkor
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
Starting XI
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 6R. VoloderD
- 7C. CowellF
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 34E. HorvathG
- 48R. DonkorM
- 56M. Dos SantosD
Substitutes
- 5O. ValenciaD
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 20J. MinaD
- 26T. ParkerD
- 37M. SofoF
- 39N. BenedettiM
- 66T. RosboroughM
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 79R. MosqueraF
FC Cincinnati
4-4-2Starting XI
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 10EvanderF
- 24K. SmithD
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónD
Substitutes
- 15T. HadebeD
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Donkor | M | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Cade Cowell | F | 70 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2/5 |
| Emil Forsberg(C) | M | 86 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 80 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | F | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Hall | F | 90 | 6.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tim Parker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John McCarthy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Mina | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 10 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nehuen Benedetti | M | 10 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Rosborough | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kévin Denkey | F | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| Evander | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4/9 |
| Kyle Smith | D | 75 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Ramirez | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Teenage Hadebe | D | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New York Red Bulls to win against FC Cincinnati.
- What score did Fipster predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New York Red Bulls 3–2 FC Cincinnati.
- What were the win probabilities for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's model gave New York Red Bulls a 59% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati a 20% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 59% confidence — a medium-confidence call.